York City vs Eastleigh: match statistics
York City presents decidedly higher form and offensive potential in this clash. The hosts sit in 2nd place with an impressive record of 25 wins and a +37 goal difference in home matches, while Eastleigh plas-es in 19th position with a negative away balance (-9). York City averages 3.11 goals per game at home while conceding only 1.06, achieving a 67% win rate and failing to score in just 6% of matches. Eastleigh loses half of their away games (50%), scores an average of only 1.11 goals, and fails to score in 39% of matches. Form in the last 5 matches also favors the hosts (2.4 PPG vs 1.4 for the visitors). xG statistics (2.01 vs 1.29) and possession (61% vs 42%) further confirm the advantage of York City, who should win comfortably in front of their home crowd.
York City vs Eastleigh: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
York City played Eastleigh in National League (England). The match was played on 7 March 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
York City: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Eastleigh: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
York City scores 2.61 and concedes 0.97 goals per match. Eastleigh scores 1.26 and concedes 1.71. League average: 2.93 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: York City 61%, Eastleigh 69%. Over 2.5: York City 75%, Eastleigh 57%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
York City has higher xG: 2.03 vs 1.32. York City: 16.5 shots per match, Eastleigh: 9.3.
Match halves
York City: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 1.50. Eastleigh: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
York City: 76-90+ (30 goals). Eastleigh: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 2.93 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
York City presents decidedly higher form and offensive potential in this clash. The hosts sit in 2nd place with an impressive record of 25 wins and a +37 goal difference in home matches, while Eastleigh plas-es in 19th position with a negative away balance (-9). York City averages 3.11 goals per game at home while conceding only 1.06, achieving a 67% win rate and failing to score in just 6% of matches. Eastleigh loses half of their away games (50%), scores an average of only 1.11 goals, and fails to score in 39% of matches. Form in the last 5 matches also favors the hosts (2.4 PPG vs 1.4 for the visitors). xG statistics (2.01 vs 1.29) and possession (61% vs 42%) further confirm the advantage of York City, who should win comfortably in front of their home crowd.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| York City | Eastleigh | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 45% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
York City is 71% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - York City · 1.4 pts / match - Eastleigh
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
York City is 107% better for: goals scored per match.
2.61 goals / match - York City · 1.26 goals / match - Eastleigh
York City is 76% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.97 goals / match - York City · 1.71 goals / match - Eastleigh
York City scores in 94% of matches (34 of 36 matches), while Eastleigh keeps a clean sheet in 9% (3 of 35 matches).
Eastleigh scores in 74% of matches (26 of 35 matches), while York City keeps a clean sheet in 36% (13 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - York City
Over / Under - Eastleigh
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
York City is 52% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.61 pts / match - York City · 1.06 pts / match - Eastleigh
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
York City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 69%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Eastleigh - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (30 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +19 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
York City
Eastleigh
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| York City | Liga | Eastleigh | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.58 | 2.93 | • 2.97 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 57% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 56% | • 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 24% | ▼ 9% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 72% | ▼ 54% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 94% | 81% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: York City 1 - 0 - 0 Eastleigh. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of York City vs Eastleigh?
The National League match finished York City 3:1 Eastleigh. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before York City vs Eastleigh?
York City score 2.61 goals per game on average and Eastleigh 1.26. The National League average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 61% of York City's matches and 69% of Eastleigh's.
What form are York City and Eastleigh in?
Over the last 5 games York City have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Eastleigh 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for York City vs Eastleigh?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for York City vs Eastleigh: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.