York City vs Forest Green Rovers: match statistics
York City displays impressive home form with a 60% win rate and an average of 3.13 goals per match at home, making them a formidable opponent on their own ground. The hosts are in excellent condition, winning 4 of their last 5 matches overall and scoring 13 goals in this period. Forest Green Rovers is going through a weaker spell, earning only 1 point per game in their last five matches and conceding as many as 10 goals. The difference in offensive quality is clear – York averages 7.73 shots on target per home match compared to Forest Green's 5.57 away. The hosts' high possession rate (62%) and their shooting efficiency (18% conversion) combined with the visitors' poor form suggest a York City victory, although Forest Green has a solid away record this season (43% wins), which could make the match more balanced than recent form suggests.
York City vs Forest Green Rovers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
York City played Forest Green Rovers in National League (England). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
York City: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Forest Green Rovers: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
York City scores 2.62 and concedes 0.97 goals per match. Forest Green Rovers scores 1.73 and concedes 1.03. League average: 2.84 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: York City 62%, Forest Green Rovers 67%. Over 2.5: York City 72%, Forest Green Rovers 47%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
York City has higher xG: 2.10 vs 2.07. York City: 17.1 shots per match, Forest Green Rovers: 17.0.
Match halves
York City: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 1.55. Forest Green Rovers: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.93.
Goals by minute
York City: 76-90+ (24 goals). Forest Green Rovers: 46-60 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 2.84 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
York City displays impressive home form with a 60% win rate and an average of 3.13 goals per match at home, making them a formidable opponent on their own ground. The hosts are in excellent condition, winning 4 of their last 5 matches overall and scoring 13 goals in this period. Forest Green Rovers is going through a weaker spell, earning only 1 point per game in their last five matches and conceding as many as 10 goals. The difference in offensive quality is clear – York averages 7.73 shots on target per home match compared to Forest Green's 5.57 away. The hosts' high possession rate (62%) and their shooting efficiency (18% conversion) combined with the visitors' poor form suggest a York City victory, although Forest Green has a solid away record this season (43% wins), which could make the match more balanced than recent form suggests.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| York City | Forest Green Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
York City is 63% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - York City · 1.6 pts / match - Forest Green Rovers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
York City is 51% better for: goals scored per match.
2.62 goals / match - York City · 1.73 goals / match - Forest Green Rovers
York City is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.97 goals / match - York City · 1.03 goals / match - Forest Green Rovers
York City scores in 93% of matches (27 of 29 matches), while Forest Green Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 27% (8 of 30 matches).
Forest Green Rovers scores in 87% of matches (26 of 30 matches), while York City keeps a clean sheet in 34% (10 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - York City
Over / Under - Forest Green Rovers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
York City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 66%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Forest Green Rovers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (24 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +16 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
York City
Forest Green Rovers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| York City | Liga | Forest Green Rovers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.59 | 2.84 | • 2.77 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 55% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 72% | 54% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 34% | 25% | ▲ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 72% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 93% | 80% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: York City 0 - 1 - 0 Forest Green Rovers. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of York City vs Forest Green Rovers?
The National League match finished York City 2:1 Forest Green Rovers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before York City vs Forest Green Rovers?
York City score 2.62 goals per game on average and Forest Green Rovers 1.73. The National League average is 2.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 62% of York City's matches and 67% of Forest Green Rovers's.
What form are York City and Forest Green Rovers in?
Over the last 5 games York City have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Forest Green Rovers 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for York City vs Forest Green Rovers?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for York City vs Forest Green Rovers: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.