Yunnan Yukun vs Beijing Guoan: match statistics
Yunnan Yukun vs Beijing Guoan: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Yunnan Yukun played Beijing Guoan in Chinese Super League (China). The match was played on 2 May 2026. Final score: 3:3.
Current form
Yunnan Yukun: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Beijing Guoan: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Yunnan Yukun scores 2.13 and concedes 1.75 goals per match. Beijing Guoan scores 1.13 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.90 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Yunnan Yukun 75%, Beijing Guoan 63%. Over 2.5: Yunnan Yukun 100%, Beijing Guoan 50%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Yunnan Yukun has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.50. Yunnan Yukun: 16.6 shots per match, Beijing Guoan: 12.4.
Match halves
Yunnan Yukun: half-time lead 63%, second-half goals 0.50. Beijing Guoan: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
Yunnan Yukun: 31-45+ (5 goals). Beijing Guoan: 61-75 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Chinese Super League: 2.90 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Yunnan Yukun holds a clear offensive advantage: the hosts average 2.33 goals at home versus 1.00 goals that Beijing Guoan score away. Additionally, Yunnan averages 18.67 shots (6 on target) per home match with a 13% conversion rate, while the visitors average 11.2 shots (3.6 on target) and 9% efficiency. In terms of chance quality Yunnan records 1.96 xG at home versus 1.42 xG for the visitors on the road, but Beijing appear very compact defensively away — only 0.8 goals conceded and 60% clean sheets. Over the last 5 matches the hosts have scored 9 and conceded 11 (PPG 1.2), while the visitors have scored 5 and conceded 8 (PPG 0.8), which indicates greater goal-scoring potential for the hosts despite inconsistent form. Therefore I tip the home win, with estimated probabilities: home 60%, draw 20%, away 20%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal for BTTS - Yes is the home form: Yunnan Yukun have 100% home matches with both teams scoring this season and 0% clean sheets, with BTTS in 80% of their last 5 matches and an average of 2.2 goals conceded. Visitors Beijing Guoan record 60% clean sheets on the road this season and 40% BTTS overall, but their BTTS rose to 60% in the last 5 fixtures and they concede 1.6 goals on average, indicating defensive weakening. xG metrics confirm both sides' goal potential: Yunnan have xG_for 1.62 versus the opponent's xG_against 1.27, while Beijing have xG_for 1.42 versus the home xG_against 1.17, so both teams generate more expected goals than the opponent typically defends. Similar chance creation (14.33 vs 11.2 shots and shots on target 3.67 vs 3.6) and a league BTTS rate of 53% further support a Goal/Goal scenario. Considering 100% BTTS for the hosts, 80% in the last 5 and rising BTTS for the visitors, I assign BTTS - Yes an 80% probability versus 20% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG-based estimate: Yunnan Yukun’s attacking xG 1.62 and Beijing’s conceded xG 1.27 imply 1.45 goals for the home side, while Beijing’s attacking xG 1.42 and Yunnan’s conceded xG 1.17 imply 1.30 for the away side, totaling 2.75. A Poisson model for a mean of 2.75 yields probabilities of roughly 76% for Over 1.5 goals, 52% for Over 2.5 goals and 30% for Over 3.5 goals. Season data confirm a higher scoring tendency from the home team: Yunnan has 100% of matches Over 1.5 and 67% Over 2.5, while Beijing records 60% and 40% respectively; additionally Yunnan concedes on average 2.33 goals per game versus 0.8 conceded by Beijing. In the last 5 matches Yunnan scored 9 goals (1.8 avg) and conceded 11 (2.2 avg), and Beijing scored 5 (1.0 avg) and conceded 8 (1.6 avg), which increases the likelihood of goals particularly from the home side. Based on this, the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (≈76%) — Over 2.5 is moderate (52%), while Over 3.5 is too risky (30%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is HT/FT 1/2 — the home team leads at half-time and the visitors complete a turnaround in the second half. In the last 5 matches the home side led at the break in 3 of 5 games (60%) and averaged 1.4 goals by half-time, while the visitors averaged 0.0 goals by half-time in those 5 matches. In the second half the visitors average 1.0 goal (last 5), win 60% of second halves, and the home team concedes an average of 1.67 goals after the break, which favors turnarounds. On the season the visitors win 40% of away matches versus 0% home wins for the hosts, and xG shows 1.62 xG for the home side versus 1.42 xG for the visitors — this explains the home lead at half-time but also the likelihood of relinquishing that lead.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Yunnan Yukun | Beijing Guoan | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Yunnan Yukun is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Yunnan Yukun · 0.8 pts / match - Beijing Guoan
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Yunnan Yukun is 88% better for: goals scored per match.
2.13 goals / match - Yunnan Yukun · 1.13 goals / match - Beijing Guoan
Beijing Guoan is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.75 goals / match - Yunnan Yukun · 1.38 goals / match - Beijing Guoan
Yunnan Yukun scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Beijing Guoan keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).
Beijing Guoan scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Yunnan Yukun keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Yunnan Yukun
Over / Under - Beijing Guoan
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Yunnan Yukun is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.88 pts / match - Yunnan Yukun · 1.25 pts / match - Beijing Guoan
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Yunnan Yukun - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 63% of matches and wins 50%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Beijing Guoan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Yunnan Yukun
Beijing Guoan
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Chinese Super League).
Teams vs league
| Yunnan Yukun | Liga | Beijing Guoan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.88 | 2.90 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 55% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 25% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 66% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 87% | • 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Yunnan Yukun 0 - 0 - 2 Beijing Guoan. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Yunnan Yukun vs Beijing Guoan?
The Chinese Super League match finished Yunnan Yukun 3:3 Beijing Guoan. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Yunnan Yukun and Beijing Guoan?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Yunnan Yukun won 0, Beijing Guoan won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Yunnan Yukun vs Beijing Guoan?
Yunnan Yukun score 2.13 goals per game on average and Beijing Guoan 1.13. The Chinese Super League average is 2.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Yunnan Yukun's matches and 63% of Beijing Guoan's.
What form are Yunnan Yukun and Beijing Guoan in?
Over the last 5 games Yunnan Yukun have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Beijing Guoan 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Yunnan Yukun vs Beijing Guoan?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Yunnan Yukun vs Beijing Guoan: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.