Yunnan Yukun vs Chengdu Better City FC: match statistics

Chengdu Better City FC sit top of the table, with 13 wins and just 2 defeats in 21 matches, while Yunnan Yukun have already lost 9 times. However, the hosts are effective at home: they average 2.2 goals from an xG of 1.71, register 15.8 shots per match, and win 50% of their home fixtures. The visitors have a higher away win rate, prevailing in 60% of matches, but their recent form points to a strong tendency toward draws: their last five games all ended level. Yunnan have conceded as many as 15 goals in their last five matches, compared with 8 for Chengdu, yet both teams are currently averaging only 1 point per game. The hosts’ advantage in chance creation and home-field edge offset Chengdu’s superior league position and more stable defence, making a draw the most likely outcome.

The BTTS signal is clear, as both teams have scored and conceded in 100% of their last 5 matches, compared with the league average of 64%. Yunnan Yukun have averaged 2.8 goals scored during this period but conceded as many as 3.0, significantly increasing the likelihood of the opposition finding the net. Chengdu Better City FC have averaged 1.6 goals in their last five matches, with an xG of 1.99 compared with the 1.72 xG allowed by the hosts. Over the entire season, the hosts have recorded BTTS in 55% of matches, while the figure stands at 70% for the visitors. Yunnan also create a high volume of chances at home, averaging 2.07 xG and 7.0 shots on target per match. The BTTS - Yes selection is further supported by the low number of matches in which the teams have failed to score: just 9% for the hosts and 10% for the visitors.

Yunnan Yukun average 2.27 goals per game this season, while Chengdu concede 1.30 per match, with the hosts creating an exceptionally high 2.07 xG. The visitors also possess considerable attacking threat: their average xG stands at 1.48, while Yunnan have conceded as many as 3.0 goals per game across their last five matches. The Over 1.5 line has landed in 73% of the hosts’ games and 80% of Chengdu’s, while both teams have scored at least once in 91% and 90% of their respective matches. In addition, Yunnan’s last five games have produced an average of 5.8 total goals, with the team scoring 14 and conceding 15. Over 1.5 is therefore best supported by both the quality of chances created and the consistent frequency with which this low goal line is surpassed.

Yunnan Yukun have a clearly stronger profile for a fast start: they held the lead at the break in 55% of matches, compared with just 20% for Chengdu Better City, while the hosts average 1.0 goals before half-time against 0.5 for the visitors. The home side’s advantage is also evident in chance creation, with average xG of 2.07 versus 1.48 and 7.0 shots on target compared with 3.7. Across the full match, Yunnan average 2.27 goals scored and 0.73 conceded, whereas Chengdu score 1.70 and allow opponents 1.30 goals. The visitors frequently remain level at half-time, as seen in 60% of their matches, making the X/1 scenario a significant alternative; however, the hosts’ superior quality from the outset primarily points towards 1/1. Caution is warranted due to recent form: Yunnan conceded an average of 3.0 goals across their previous five matches, while Chengdu drew all five, yet the long-term figures still favour a home win in both halves.