Yunnan Yukun vs Zhejiang FC: match statistics
Yunnan Yukun vs Zhejiang FC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Yunnan Yukun played Zhejiang FC in Chinese Super League (China). The match was played on 6 May 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Yunnan Yukun: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Zhejiang FC: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Yunnan Yukun scores 2.22 and concedes 1.89 goals per match. Zhejiang FC scores 1.00 and concedes 1.44. League average: 2.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Yunnan Yukun 78%, Zhejiang FC 33%. Over 2.5: Yunnan Yukun 100%, Zhejiang FC 44%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Yunnan Yukun has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.57. Yunnan Yukun: 16.1 shots per match, Zhejiang FC: 13.9.
Match halves
Yunnan Yukun: half-time lead 56%, second-half goals 0.67. Zhejiang FC: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Yunnan Yukun: 31-45+ (6 goals). Zhejiang FC: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Chinese Super League: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win based on clear statistical advantages. Yunnan Yukun averages 2.5 goals per home match, while Zhejiang FC scores only 1.0 goals away and fails to score in 75% of their away games. The hosts average 5.75 shots on target per match with a 15% conversion, whereas the visitors have only 3.75 shots on target and an 8% conversion, translating to 11 Yunnan goals in the last 5 matches versus just 2 Zhejiang goals in the same period. Defensively the home advantage is also evident — Yunnan concedes 1.75 goals per home match, while Zhejiang concedes 2.5 goals away and has recorded no clean sheets on the road; additionally expected goals favor the hosts (xG 1.84 vs 1.41), hence the probability split 70/18/12.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes as the more likely outcome (60% vs 40%). The signal is driven by Yunnan Yukun, who have BTTS in 80% of their last 5 matches and average 2.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded, indicating open, high-scoring home fixtures. Zhejiang FC have only 20% BTTS in their last 5 matches and average 0.4 goals scored, but concede 2.0 on average (2.5 for the season), so they can still allow the hosts to score despite finishing issues. Additionally, seasonal xG favor the home side (home xG 1.7 vs away xG 1.41) with more shots on target (5.6 vs 3.75), increasing the likelihood that the visitors will find a response after conceding. Considering the league BTTS rate of 56% and seasonal BTTS values of 40% for hosts and 25% for guests, recent trends and the advantage in chance creation support the Both Teams To Score scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I forecast Over 2.5 goals as the best option; expected goals are 1.60 for Yunnan and 1.35 for Zhejiang, totalling 2.95. The calculation is based on xG: Yunnan has xG_for 1.70 and Zhejiang xG_against 1.49 (average 1.60 for the home side); Zhejiang has xG_for 1.41 and Yunnan xG_against 1.29 (average 1.35 for the away side). Additionally, Yunnan averages 15.0 shots and 5.6 on target per match versus Zhejiang’s 12.5/3.75, and season-long over 1.5 rates are 60% (Yunnan) and 100% (Zhejiang); in the last 5 matches Yunnan have 100% Over 2.5 while Zhejiang have 60%, supporting a higher probability of Over 2.5 goals. Although Yunnan concede only 0.6 goals seasonally, their form over the last 5 matches shows 2.4 conceded, and Zhejiang concede 2.5 on the season, so the risk of goals from both sides increases. Consequently I recommend Over at the 2.5 line (probability ~68%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
In the last 5 matches the home side led at the break in 60% of games (3 of 5) and averaged 1.6 goals by half-time, whereas Zhejiang averaged 0.2 first-half goals, which strongly favors Yunnan at Half-Time. Home xG is 1.70 versus 1.41 for the visitors, and the hosts register an average of 5.6 shots on target compared to 3.75 for their opponents, so they create more high-quality chances before the break. The visitors concede an average of 2.5 goals per match and tend to score in the second half (on average 1.0 goal in the second half), so they may grab a consolation goal after the interval, but that does not negate the hosts’ advantage. The home side also performs better when leading at the break (an average of 2.0 points in such matches versus 0.4 for the away team), therefore the strongest signal is a lead at the break and an eventual home win (HT/FT = 1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Yunnan Yukun | Zhejiang FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.21 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Yunnan Yukun is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Yunnan Yukun · 0.8 pts / match - Zhejiang FC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Yunnan Yukun is 122% better for: goals scored per match.
2.22 goals / match - Yunnan Yukun · 1 goals / match - Zhejiang FC
Zhejiang FC is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.89 goals / match - Yunnan Yukun · 1.44 goals / match - Zhejiang FC
Yunnan Yukun scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Zhejiang FC keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).
Zhejiang FC scores in 44% of matches (4 of 9 matches), while Yunnan Yukun keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Yunnan Yukun
Over / Under - Zhejiang FC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Yunnan Yukun is 166% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.78 pts / match - Yunnan Yukun · 0.67 pts / match - Zhejiang FC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Yunnan Yukun - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 56% of matches and wins 44%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Zhejiang FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Yunnan Yukun
Zhejiang FC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Chinese Super League).
Teams vs league
| Yunnan Yukun | Liga | Zhejiang FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.11 | 2.92 | ▼ 2.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 78% | 57% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 56% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 24% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 65% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 87% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Yunnan Yukun 0 - 1 - 1 Zhejiang FC. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Yunnan Yukun vs Zhejiang FC?
The Chinese Super League match finished Yunnan Yukun 1:2 Zhejiang FC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Yunnan Yukun and Zhejiang FC?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Yunnan Yukun won 0, Zhejiang FC won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Yunnan Yukun vs Zhejiang FC?
Yunnan Yukun score 2.22 goals per game on average and Zhejiang FC 1.00. The Chinese Super League average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 78% of Yunnan Yukun's matches and 33% of Zhejiang FC's.
What form are Yunnan Yukun and Zhejiang FC in?
Over the last 5 games Yunnan Yukun have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Zhejiang FC 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Yunnan Yukun vs Zhejiang FC?
The statistical background for Yunnan Yukun vs Zhejiang FC — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.