Yverdon Sport vs Wil: match statistics

Yverdon Sport sit 3rd, while Wil are 9th, and the hosts remain unbeaten after four rounds with a record of 2 wins and 2 draws. In their last five matches, Yverdon have scored 12 goals and conceded just 4, whereas Wil have conceded as many as 15 despite scoring the same number of goals. The hosts have not lost at home and have scored in every match, while Wil concede an average of 4.5 goals per away game and have failed to score in 50% of their away appearances. The visitors are capable of creating chances, averaging 16 shots and recording an xG of 1.65, but their defence allows opponents an xG of 1.69 and has yet to keep a clean sheet. Yverdon’s greater current stability and Wil’s clearly weaker defensive trend support a home win, although the visitors’ attacking potential reduces confidence in the pick.

Both teams have recorded BTTS in 60% of their last five matches, above the league average of 50%. Yverdon have averaged 2.4 goals in this run, while Wil have also averaged 2.4, although the visitors are conceding as many as 3.0 goals per match. Wil should create chances against the hosts, who are yet to keep a clean sheet this season, especially given their average of 7.0 shots on target and xG of 1.65 compared with Yverdon’s 1.27. The hosts have been less clinical over the season as a whole, averaging 0.5 goals, but their recent attacking form and 1.60 xG across five matches increase the likelihood of exploiting Wil’s very weak defence, which has conceded 13 goals in their matches so far this season.

Both teams have scored 2.4 goals per match in their last five games, while Wil conceded as many as 3.0 goals per match during this period. Their attacking potential is supported by their average xG figures from the last five matches: 1.60 for Yverdon and 1.85 for Wil. At least three goals were scored in 60% of the hosts’ last five matches and in 80% of Wil’s games, while both teams had over 1.5 goals in 100% of their matches so far this season. Although Yverdon conceded only 0.8 goals per match in their last five outings, Wil averages 7.0 shots on target and has enough quality to keep the game open. Over 1.5 goals is the strongest selection, as the data from both teams strongly supports a minimum of two goals, with greater volatility at higher lines.

In their last five matches, Yverdon were leading at half-time in 60% of games and were never behind at the break, while Wil were trailing after 45 minutes in 40% of their appearances. Before half-time, the hosts averaged 1.6 goals scored and conceded just 0.2, whereas Wil scored 1.0 but allowed opponents to score 1.6. Yverdon’s advantage is also reflected in the full-time results: they won 60% of their last five matches and lost none, while Wil suffered three defeats during that period. However, the visitors remain a threat, averaging seven shots on target per match compared with 1.5 for the hosts, which is why a significant part of the prediction includes a turnaround after the break. Nevertheless, the strongest individual scenario remains Yverdon leading at half-time and maintaining that advantage until the final whistle.