Zabbar St. Patrick vs Mosta: match statistics
Zabbar St. Patrick appears to be the favorite in this meeting, even though both teams have poor statistics this season. The hosts show better form in the last five matches (1.2 points per match) compared to Mosta (0.2 points per match), who have lost four of their last five encounters. Mosta has dramatic away statistics with 75% losses and a negative goal difference of -14, while Zabbar in home matches has a better xG coefficient (0.95 vs 1.14) and a lower average of goals conceded (1.55). A key factor is that Mosta fails to score in 50% of away matches and has very poor shot efficiency (9%). Given the hosts' advantage and the visitors' dismal disposition, a difficult but victorious match for Zabbar St. Patrick is expected, although their low home efficiency (9% wins) increases the probability of a draw.
Zabbar St. Patrick vs Mosta: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Zabbar St. Patrick played Mosta in Maltese Premier League (Malta). The match was played on 7 March 2026. Final score: 5:3.
Current form
Zabbar St. Patrick: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Mosta: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Zabbar St. Patrick scores 1.08 and concedes 1.32 goals per match. Mosta scores 0.88 and concedes 1.76. League average: 2.47 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Zabbar St. Patrick 56%, Mosta 40%. Over 2.5: Zabbar St. Patrick 44%, Mosta 44%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. Zabbar St. Patrick: 7.1 shots per match, Mosta: 7.1.
Match halves
Zabbar St. Patrick: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.52. Mosta: half-time lead 8%, second-half goals 0.52.
Goals by minute
Zabbar St. Patrick: 31-45+ (6 goals). Mosta: 46-60 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Maltese Premier League: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Zabbar St. Patrick appears to be the favorite in this meeting, even though both teams have poor statistics this season. The hosts show better form in the last five matches (1.2 points per match) compared to Mosta (0.2 points per match), who have lost four of their last five encounters. Mosta has dramatic away statistics with 75% losses and a negative goal difference of -14, while Zabbar in home matches has a better xG coefficient (0.95 vs 1.14) and a lower average of goals conceded (1.55). A key factor is that Mosta fails to score in 50% of away matches and has very poor shot efficiency (9%). Given the hosts' advantage and the visitors' dismal disposition, a difficult but victorious match for Zabbar St. Patrick is expected, although their low home efficiency (9% wins) increases the probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Zabbar St. Patrick | Mosta | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Zabbar St. Patrick is 500% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Zabbar St. Patrick · 0.2 pts / match - Mosta
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Zabbar St. Patrick is 23% better for: goals scored per match.
1.08 goals / match - Zabbar St. Patrick · 0.88 goals / match - Mosta
Zabbar St. Patrick is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.32 goals / match - Zabbar St. Patrick · 1.76 goals / match - Mosta
Zabbar St. Patrick scores in 72% of matches (18 of 25 matches), while Mosta keeps a clean sheet in 20% (5 of 25 matches).
Mosta scores in 56% of matches (14 of 25 matches), while Zabbar St. Patrick keeps a clean sheet in 24% (6 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Zabbar St. Patrick
Over / Under - Mosta
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Zabbar St. Patrick is 58% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - Zabbar St. Patrick · 0.76 pts / match - Mosta
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Zabbar St. Patrick - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 16%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mosta - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 8% of matches and wins 16%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Zabbar St. Patrick
Mosta
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Maltese Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Zabbar St. Patrick | Liga | Mosta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.40 | 2.47 | ▲ 2.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 49% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 44% | 43% | • 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 30% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 72% | 67% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | • 72% | 73% | ▲ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Zabbar St. Patrick 0 - 2 - 0 Mosta. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Zabbar St. Patrick vs Mosta?
The Maltese Premier League match finished Zabbar St. Patrick 5:3 Mosta. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Zabbar St. Patrick and Mosta?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Zabbar St. Patrick won 0, Mosta won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Zabbar St. Patrick vs Mosta?
Zabbar St. Patrick score 1.08 goals per game on average and Mosta 0.88. The Maltese Premier League average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Zabbar St. Patrick's matches and 40% of Mosta's.
What form are Zabbar St. Patrick and Mosta in?
Over the last 5 games Zabbar St. Patrick have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Mosta 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Zabbar St. Patrick vs Mosta?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.