Zagłębie Lubin II vs Carina Gubin: match statistics
Zagłębie Lubin II vs Carina Gubin: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Zagłębie Lubin II played Carina Gubin in 3 Liga Group 3 (Poland). The match was played on 12 May 2026. Final score: 1:4.
Current form
Zagłębie Lubin II: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Carina Gubin: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Zagłębie Lubin II scores 2.34 and concedes 1.72 goals per match. Carina Gubin scores 1.33 and concedes 1.60. League average: 3.17 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Zagłębie Lubin II 62%, Carina Gubin 77%. Over 2.5: Zagłębie Lubin II 76%, Carina Gubin 60%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Zagłębie Lubin II has higher xG: 1.91 vs 1.26. Zagłębie Lubin II: 12.4 shots per match, Carina Gubin: 2.6.
Match halves
Zagłębie Lubin II: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.45. Carina Gubin: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.30.
Goals by minute
Zagłębie Lubin II: 0-15 (46 goals). Carina Gubin: 0-15 (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 3: 3.17 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Zagłębie Lubin II possess a clear offensive advantage: at home they average 2.73 goals per game with 16.47 shots and 6.6 on target, while Carina away posts 1.47 goals with 9.7 shots and 2.8 on target. The hosts also generate more high-quality chances (average xG 1.99 at home vs 1.26 xG for Carina away) and achieve a higher conversion rate (17% vs 15%). In the last five matches Zagłębie scored 12 goals, won 3 games and averages 1.8 points per match, whereas Carina has scored only 3 goals, has no wins and averages 0.6 points per match. Defensively both teams concede at a similar level (Zagłębie 1.73 goals conceded per home game vs 1.8 for Carina away), but the hosts have a better home goal difference (+15 vs -5) and a higher clean sheet rate (27% vs 13%). Considering a 67% home win rate, the xG and shot volume advantage, I favor a Zagłębie victory and assign them 68% probability, 18% for a draw and 14% for an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams display high seasonal BTTS rates: Zagłębie Lubin II 75% and Carina Gubin 73% (avg. 74%), providing a strong base signal for BTTS - Yes. Over the season Zagłębie scored 68 and conceded 50 (seasonal averages 1.31 scored and 1.31 conceded), while Carina has 43 scored and 48 conceded (1.47 scored and 1.8 conceded), indicating both sides frequently allow goals. Last 5 matches show a form divergence: Zagłębie scored 12 and conceded 10 (2.4/2.0 per match), whereas Carina only 3 scored and 5 conceded (0.6/1.0), which slightly reduces confidence in Carina’s scoring. Recent xG shows 1.71 xG for Zagłębie and 0.85 for Carina with xG against 1.79 and 0.68 respectively, so Zagłębie creates and concedes more chances while Carina generates fewer opportunities. Considering the dominant seasonal BTTS signal (avg. 74%), over2.5 with BTTS indicators (50% and 60%) and adjustment for Carina’s weaker recent scoring form, I favor the "Yes" scenario (78% vs 22%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I expect a total of 2.95 goals in the match: 1.56 for Zagłębie Lubin II (season average scored 1.31 and opponent Carina conceded 1.80 → (1.31+1.80)/2 = 1.56) and 1.39 for Carina Gubin (1.47 scored and 1.31 conceded by the hosts → 1.39). Both teams have high over 1.5 rates: home 81% of matches, away 87%, and BTTS rates of 75% and 73%, which strongly supports Over 1.5. The signal for Over 2.5 is moderate: seasonally Over 2.5 occurred for the hosts in 56% and for the away team in 67%; additionally the hosts in the last 5 matches scored 12 and conceded 10 (avg 2.4 scored and 2.0 conceded → total 4.4), while the away team in the last 5 scored 3 and conceded 5 (0.6/1.0 → total 1.6). Over 3.5 looks unlikely: seasonally 19% for the hosts and 47% for the away team, and our expected 2.95 goals implies roughly a 31% chance of Over 3.5. Best pick is Over 1.5 — the strongest and most consistent signal comes from 81%/87% and 2.95 expected goals, therefore I recommend betting Over on the 1.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I predict a Half-Time/Full-Time result of draw at the break and home win, because the away team drew at the break in 80% of their last five matches, and the average first-half goals are 1.42 for Zagłębie versus 1.40 for Carina. Zagłębie Lubin II is in better form: in the last five matches they won 60% of games and scored an average of 2.4 goals per match, while Carina Gubin has not won (0%) and averaged 0.6 goals. After the break the home side also collects significantly more points and produces more turnarounds — in the last five matches they earned an average of 1.6 points in second halves versus 0.6 for the away side. Additionally both teams frequently score (BTTS 75% for the hosts vs 73% for the visitors), so the most likely scenario is a draw at HT and a Zagłębie win after 90 minutes (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Zagłębie Lubin II | Carina Gubin | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 11% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.49 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.45 | 4.93 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Zagłębie Lubin II is 125% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Zagłębie Lubin II · 0.8 pts / match - Carina Gubin
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Zagłębie Lubin II is 76% better for: goals scored per match.
2.34 goals / match - Zagłębie Lubin II · 1.33 goals / match - Carina Gubin
Carina Gubin is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.72 goals / match - Zagłębie Lubin II · 1.6 goals / match - Carina Gubin
Zagłębie Lubin II scores in 83% of matches (24 of 29 matches), while Carina Gubin keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 30 matches).
Carina Gubin scores in 90% of matches (27 of 30 matches), while Zagłębie Lubin II keeps a clean sheet in 24% (7 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Zagłębie Lubin II
Over / Under - Carina Gubin
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Carina Gubin is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / match - Zagłębie Lubin II · 1.6 pts / match - Carina Gubin
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Zagłębie Lubin II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Carina Gubin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 30%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (46 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (34). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (14 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Zagłębie Lubin II
Carina Gubin
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 3).
Teams vs league
| Zagłębie Lubin II | Liga | Carina Gubin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.07 | 3.17 | ▼ 2.93 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 59% | ▲ 77% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 76% | 65% | ▼ 60% |
| Clean sheets | • 24% | 23% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 31% | 38% | ▲ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | • 41% | 41% | ▲ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Carina GubinGoalPrzemyslaw Haraszkiewicz
- Zagłębie Lubin IIGoalDominik Gregorski
- Carina GubinGoalPrzemyslaw Haraszkiewicz
- Carina GubinGoalPatryk Bednarczyk
- Carina GubinGoalMaciej Diduszko
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Zagłębie Lubin II 0 - 0 - 1 Carina Gubin. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Zagłębie Lubin II vs Carina Gubin?
The 3 Liga Group 3 match finished Zagłębie Lubin II 1:4 Carina Gubin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Zagłębie Lubin II vs Carina Gubin?
Zagłębie Lubin II score 2.34 goals per game on average and Carina Gubin 1.33. The 3 Liga Group 3 average is 3.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Zagłębie Lubin II's matches and 77% of Carina Gubin's.
What form are Zagłębie Lubin II and Carina Gubin in?
Over the last 5 games Zagłębie Lubin II have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Carina Gubin 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Zagłębie Lubin II vs Carina Gubin?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.