Zagłębie Lubin vs Lech Poznań: match statistics
Zagłębie Lubin is in excellent form, winning four of their last five matches and securing 2.6 points per game. The hosts are highly effective at home, winning 50% of their home fixtures and conceding just 0.92 goals per match while keeping clean sheets in 42% of them. Lech Poznań, on the other hand, is going through a clear crisis, having lost their last three matches and earning only 1.2 points per game over the last five rounds. Although the visitors have better possession statistics (54%) and away xG (1.73), their current form and defensive issues (9 goals conceded in the last 5 games) favor the home side. Considering Zagłębie's home advantage and Lech's slump in form, I expect a home win, although a draw also remains a realistic scenario.
Zagłębie Lubin vs Lech Poznań: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Zagłębie Lubin played Lech Poznań in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The match was played on 15 March 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Zagłębie Lubin: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Lech Poznań: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Zagłębie Lubin scores 1.67 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Lech Poznań scores 1.71 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.74 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Zagłębie Lubin 58%, Lech Poznań 71%. Over 2.5: Zagłębie Lubin 54%, Lech Poznań 71%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Lech Poznań has higher xG: 1.88 vs 1.45. Zagłębie Lubin: 11.8 shots per match, Lech Poznań: 16.7.
Match halves
Zagłębie Lubin: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.88. Lech Poznań: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Zagłębie Lubin: 76-90+ (11 goals). Lech Poznań: 16-30 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ekstraklasa: 2.74 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Zagłębie Lubin is in excellent form, winning four of their last five matches and securing 2.6 points per game. The hosts are highly effective at home, winning 50% of their home fixtures and conceding just 0.92 goals per match while keeping clean sheets in 42% of them. Lech Poznań, on the other hand, is going through a clear crisis, having lost their last three matches and earning only 1.2 points per game over the last five rounds. Although the visitors have better possession statistics (54%) and away xG (1.73), their current form and defensive issues (9 goals conceded in the last 5 games) favor the home side. Considering Zagłębie's home advantage and Lech's slump in form, I expect a home win, although a draw also remains a realistic scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Zagłębie Lubin | Lech Poznań | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Zagłębie Lubin is 8% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Zagłębie Lubin · 2.4 pts / match - Lech Poznań
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Zagłębie Lubin is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.17 goals / match - Zagłębie Lubin · 1.5 goals / match - Lech Poznań
Zagłębie Lubin scores in 79% of matches (19 of 24 matches), while Lech Poznań keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 matches).
Lech Poznań scores in 88% of matches (21 of 24 matches), while Zagłębie Lubin keeps a clean sheet in 33% (8 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Zagłębie Lubin
Over / Under - Lech Poznań
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lech Poznań is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Zagłębie Lubin · 1.58 pts / match - Lech Poznań
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Zagłębie Lubin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Lech Poznań - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Zagłębie Lubin
Lech Poznań
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).
Teams vs league
| Zagłębie Lubin | Liga | Lech Poznań | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.83 | 2.74 | ▲ 3.21 |
| Both teams scored | • 58% | 58% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 54% | 52% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 25% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 74% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 77% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Zagłębie Lubin 1 - 0 - 0 Lech Poznań. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Zagłębie Lubin vs Lech Poznań?
The Ekstraklasa match finished Zagłębie Lubin 0:1 Lech Poznań. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Zagłębie Lubin vs Lech Poznań?
Zagłębie Lubin score 1.67 goals per game on average and Lech Poznań 1.71. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Zagłębie Lubin's matches and 71% of Lech Poznań's.
What form are Zagłębie Lubin and Lech Poznań in?
Over the last 5 games Zagłębie Lubin have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Lech Poznań 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Zagłębie Lubin vs Lech Poznań?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Zagłębie Lubin vs Lech Poznań: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.