Zagłębie Lubin vs Lech Poznań: match statistics
Zagłębie Lubin is in excellent form, winning four of their last five matches and securing 2.6 points per game. The hosts are highly effective at home, winning 50% of their home fixtures and conceding just 0.92 goals per match while keeping clean sheets in 42% of them. Lech Poznań, on the other hand, is going through a clear crisis, having lost their last three matches and earning only 1.2 points per game over the last five rounds. Although the visitors have better possession statistics (54%) and away xG (1.73), their current form and defensive issues (9 goals conceded in the last 5 games) favor the home side. Considering Zagłębie's home advantage and Lech's slump in form, I expect a home win, although a draw also remains a realistic scenario.
Zagłębie Lubin vs Lech Poznań: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Zagłębie Lubin play Lech Poznań in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The match date is 15 March 2026 at 14:45. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Zagłębie Lubin: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Lech Poznań: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Zagłębie Lubin scores 1.32 and concedes 1.12 goals per match. Lech Poznań scores 1.82 and concedes 1.32. League average: 2.74 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Zagłębie Lubin 47%, Lech Poznań 68%. Over 2.5: Zagłębie Lubin 44%, Lech Poznań 68%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Lech Poznań has higher xG: 1.94 vs 1.42. Zagłębie Lubin: 12.1 shots per match, Lech Poznań: 17.4.
Match halves
Zagłębie Lubin: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.71. Lech Poznań: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.82.
Goals by minute
Zagłębie Lubin: 0-15 (11 goals). Lech Poznań: 31-45+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ekstraklasa: 2.74 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Zagłębie Lubin is in excellent form, winning four of their last five matches and securing 2.6 points per game. The hosts are highly effective at home, winning 50% of their home fixtures and conceding just 0.92 goals per match while keeping clean sheets in 42% of them. Lech Poznań, on the other hand, is going through a clear crisis, having lost their last three matches and earning only 1.2 points per game over the last five rounds. Although the visitors have better possession statistics (54%) and away xG (1.73), their current form and defensive issues (9 goals conceded in the last 5 games) favor the home side. Considering Zagłębie's home advantage and Lech's slump in form, I expect a home win, although a draw also remains a realistic scenario.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Zagłębie Lubin | Lech Poznań | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lech Poznań is 175% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Zagłębie Lubin · 2.2 pts / match - Lech Poznań
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lech Poznań is 38% better for: goals scored per match.
1.32 goals / match - Zagłębie Lubin · 1.82 goals / match - Lech Poznań
Zagłębie Lubin is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.12 goals / match - Zagłębie Lubin · 1.32 goals / match - Lech Poznań
Zagłębie Lubin scores in 68% of matches (23 of 34 matches), while Lech Poznań keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 matches).
Lech Poznań scores in 88% of matches (30 of 34 matches), while Zagłębie Lubin keeps a clean sheet in 32% (11 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Zagłębie Lubin
Over / Under — Lech Poznań
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lech Poznań is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / match - Zagłębie Lubin · 1.79 pts / match - Lech Poznań
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Zagłębie Lubin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Lech Poznań - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +7 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (16 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Zagłębie Lubin
Lech Poznań
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).
Teams vs league
| Zagłębie Lubin | Liga | Lech Poznań | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.44 | 2.74 | ▲ 3.15 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 58% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 52% | ▲ 68% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 25% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 73% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 77% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Zagłębie Lubin 1 - 0 - 0 Lech Poznań. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Zagłębie Lubin vs Lech Poznań?
The Ekstraklasa match finished Zagłębie Lubin 0:1 Lech Poznań. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Zagłębie Lubin vs Lech Poznań?
Zagłębie Lubin score 1.32 goals per game on average and Lech Poznań 1.82. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Zagłębie Lubin's matches and 68% of Lech Poznań's.
What form are Zagłębie Lubin and Lech Poznań in?
Over the last 5 games Zagłębie Lubin have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Lech Poznań 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Zagłębie Lubin vs Lech Poznań?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Zagłębie Lubin vs Lech Poznań: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.