Zagłębie Sosnowiec vs Raków Częstochowa II: match statistics
Zagłębie Sosnowiec vs Raków Częstochowa II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Zagłębie Sosnowiec played Raków Częstochowa II in 3 Liga Group 3 (Poland). The match was played on 14 October 2026. Venue: ArcelorMittal Park. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Zagłębie Sosnowiec: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Raków Częstochowa II: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Zagłębie Sosnowiec scores 1.45 and concedes 0.82 goals per match. Raków Częstochowa II scores 1.30 and concedes 1.90. League average: 2.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Zagłębie Sosnowiec 36%, Raków Częstochowa II 60%. Over 2.5: Zagłębie Sosnowiec 45%, Raków Częstochowa II 60%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Zagłębie Sosnowiec has higher xG: 1.71 vs 1.59. Zagłębie Sosnowiec: 6.9 shots per match, Raków Częstochowa II: 10.6.
Match halves
Zagłębie Sosnowiec: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.73. Raków Częstochowa II: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Zagłębie Sosnowiec: 46-60 (5 goals). Raków Częstochowa II: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 3: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Zagłębie Sosnowiec have won every home match so far, scoring an average of 2.5 goals and conceding just 0.5, while Raków Częstochowa II concede an average of 2.2 goals away from home. The hosts also create higher-quality chances: their home xG is 2.07, while opponents’ xG in away games against Raków is also 2.07. The defensive difference is just as clear — opponents’ xG against Zagłębie at home is only 0.74, compared with Raków’s away xG of 1.6. In their last five matches, Zagłębie have won 3 times, while Raków have won 2 and drawn twice, so the visitors cannot be ruled out. However, home advantage and a more solid defence point to a Zagłębie win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Raków Częstochowa II average 2.0 goals per match, while Zagłębie Sosnowiec concede 1.5, making an away goal seem fairly likely. The hosts do score only 0.5 goals per match, but their average xG is 1.6, while their opponents allow chances worth 2.07 xG. This suggests Zagłębie have a chance to overcome their poor finishing and find the net as well. The case for BTTS - Yes is also supported by the fact that 60% of the away side’s matches have seen both teams score, although caution is warranted: this figure was 40% for each team across their last five matches. Both teams to score is therefore somewhat more likely, but the edge is not substantial.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal points to at least two goals: this threshold was reached in 100% of Raków II’s matches, compared with just 50% of Zagłębie’s. The visitors score an average of 2.0 goals and concede 2.2, with Over 2.5 goals landing in 80% of their matches. However, caution is warranted: in their last five matches, both teams averaged 1.0 goal scored, and Over 2.5 goals landed in 40% of each team’s games. With a forecast of 2.75 total goals, Over 1.5 offers a clearer edge than the riskier bet on at least three goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome, as Zagłębie were level at the break in 75% of the matches analysed and have not conceded a first-half goal in their last five games. Raków II tend to decide matches after the interval, averaging 1.6 goals in the second half, while Zagłębie have yet to score in that period and concede an average of 1.25 goals. Across the full match, the visitors average 2.0 goals compared with 0.5 for the hosts, which points to an away win after a closely contested first half. However, this scenario is far from certain: Zagłębie have won three of their last five matches, and over that span both teams averaged just 0.6 second-half goals. Therefore, X/2 is the strongest individual pick, but is assigned a moderate 25% probability.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Zagłębie Sosnowiec | Raków Częstochowa II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.53 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Zagłębie Sosnowiec is 50% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Zagłębie Sosnowiec · 1.6 pts / match - Raków Częstochowa II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Zagłębie Sosnowiec is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
1.45 goals / match - Zagłębie Sosnowiec · 1.3 goals / match - Raków Częstochowa II
Zagłębie Sosnowiec is 132% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.82 goals / match - Zagłębie Sosnowiec · 1.9 goals / match - Raków Częstochowa II
Zagłębie Sosnowiec scores in 73% of matches (8 of 11 matches), while Raków Częstochowa II keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).
Raków Częstochowa II scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while Zagłębie Sosnowiec keeps a clean sheet in 45% (5 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Zagłębie Sosnowiec
Over / Under - Raków Częstochowa II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Zagłębie Sosnowiec is 47% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.91 pts / match - Zagłębie Sosnowiec · 1.3 pts / match - Raków Częstochowa II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Zagłębie Sosnowiec - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 64%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Raków Częstochowa II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Zagłębie Sosnowiec
Raków Częstochowa II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 3).
Teams vs league
| Zagłębie Sosnowiec | Liga | Raków Częstochowa II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.27 | 2.85 | ▲ 3.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 36% | 55% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 54% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 45% | 25% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 71% | • 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 80% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Zagłębie SosnowiecGoalMaksymilian Podgórski
FAQ
What was the result of Zagłębie Sosnowiec vs Raków Częstochowa II?
The 3 Liga Group 3 match finished Zagłębie Sosnowiec 1:0 Raków Częstochowa II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Zagłębie Sosnowiec vs Raków Częstochowa II?
Zagłębie Sosnowiec score 1.45 goals per game on average and Raków Częstochowa II 1.30. The 3 Liga Group 3 average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Zagłębie Sosnowiec's matches and 60% of Raków Częstochowa II's.
What form are Zagłębie Sosnowiec and Raków Częstochowa II in?
Over the last 5 games Zagłębie Sosnowiec have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Raków Częstochowa II 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Zagłębie Sosnowiec vs Raków Częstochowa II?
The statistical background for Zagłębie Sosnowiec vs Raków Częstochowa II — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.