Žalgiris vs Kauno Žalgiris: match statistics
Žalgiris vs Kauno Žalgiris: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Žalgiris played Kauno Žalgiris in A Lyga (Lithuania). The match was played on 5 April 2026. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
Žalgiris: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Kauno Žalgiris: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Žalgiris scores 1.67 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Kauno Žalgiris scores 2.50 and concedes 0.50. League average: 2.24 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Žalgiris 50%, Kauno Žalgiris 50%. Over 2.5: Žalgiris 50%, Kauno Žalgiris 67%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Kauno Žalgiris has higher xG: 1.71 vs 1.69. Žalgiris: 14.7 shots per match, Kauno Žalgiris: 13.8.
Match halves
Žalgiris: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67. Kauno Žalgiris: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.33.
Goals by minute
Žalgiris: 16-30 (3 goals). Kauno Žalgiris: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
A Lyga: 2.24 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-2. Average goals 2.25, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Kauno Žalgiris is the league leader (position 1) and away has a record of 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per match. Žalgiris at home has 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match and posting home xG 1.53 versus 1.36 xG against. The visitors generate higher xG (1.84 vs 1.53) and have more shots on target (avg. 6.67 SOT and 15 shots per match with 20% conversion vs 5.5 SOT, 13 shots and 15% conversion for the hosts), indicating better quality and efficiency of chances. In the last 5 matches Kauno form is 'wwwwd' with an average 2.6 points per match, while Žalgiris is 'wwwld' with 2.0 points per match, and the away goal difference for the visitors is +7 versus +2 for the hosts. Based on superior offensive metrics (3.0 vs 2.0 goals), defensive metrics (0.67 vs 1.5 conceded) and advantages in xG and efficiency, I favor a Kauno victory (65%), with 20% for the hosts and 15% for a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The xG-based model estimates approximate expected goals of 1.27 for the home side and 1.55 for the visitors (calculating home average xG 1.58 and xG against 0.96, and away xG 1.84 and xG against home 1.26), which under a Poisson distribution would theoretically imply ~57% chance of BTTS. However, the home side’s seasonal stats contradict this: Žalgiris has 67% clean sheets and concedes only 0.33 goals per match on average, and their season BTTS rate is just 33%, which reduces the likelihood of both teams scoring. Kauno Žalgiris possess a strong attack (3.0 goals per game on average, xG 1.84 and 6.67 shots on target per game) and a season BTTS of 67%, so the away team can realistically score. Nevertheless, in the last 5 matches BTTS occurred in only 40% of cases, and the league BTTS rate is 39%, indicating a tendency against both teams scoring. Considering the home defensive advantage (67% clean sheets) and the recent lower BTTS trend, I recommend No with a probability of 60% versus 40% for Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Calculated xG indicates about 1.27 goals for Žalgiris (average of xG attack 1.58 and away xG defense 0.96) and 1.55 for Kauno Žalgiris (average of xG attack 1.84 and home xG defense 1.26), total 2.82. With this aggregate value the Poisson model gives P(Over 1.5) ≈77%, P(Over 2.5) ≈54% and P(Over 3.5) ≈31%, with the strongest signal for Over 1.5. Supporting this prediction are shot stats: Žalgiris averages 12.67 shots and 5.67 on target with a 16% conversion, Kauno 15.0 shots and 6.67 on target with a 20% conversion, which increases goal probability. Season indicators further show Kauno has 100% of matches Over 2.5 goals and Žalgiris 67% of matches Over 1.5, therefore I recommend Over 1.5 as the optimal line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Hosts led at the break in 2 of 3 matches (67%) and averaged 1.33 goals by half-time, conceding 0.0 goals before the break. Visitors have a perfect record this season (100% wins) and superior full-match metrics: average xG 1.84 versus 1.58, and on average 15 shots and 6.67 on target compared to the hosts' 12.67 shots and 5.67 on target. The key signal is the second half — visitors average 2.0 goals after the break and have won the second half in 100% of cases, while the hosts keep a clean sheet at half-time in 100% of their matches. This suggests a 1-0 lead at half-time for the hosts followed by a turnaround by the visitors in the second half due to higher productivity and post-break xG; therefore I rate HT/FT 1/2 as the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Žalgiris | Kauno Žalgiris | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kauno Žalgiris is 30% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Žalgiris · 2.6 pts / match - Kauno Žalgiris
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kauno Žalgiris is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1.67 goals / match - Žalgiris · 2.5 goals / match - Kauno Žalgiris
Kauno Žalgiris is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Žalgiris · 0.5 goals / match - Kauno Žalgiris
Žalgiris scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Kauno Žalgiris keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).
Kauno Žalgiris scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Žalgiris keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Žalgiris
Over / Under - Kauno Žalgiris
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kauno Žalgiris is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.67 pts / match - Žalgiris · 1.83 pts / match - Kauno Žalgiris
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Žalgiris - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Kauno Žalgiris - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 83%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Žalgiris
Kauno Žalgiris
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (A Lyga).
Teams vs league
| Žalgiris | Liga | Kauno Žalgiris | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.67 | 2.24 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 38% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 38% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 40% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 62% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 68% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Žalgiris 1 - 1 - 2 Kauno Žalgiris. Average goals 2.25, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Žalgiris vs Kauno Žalgiris?
The A Lyga match finished Žalgiris 0:3 Kauno Žalgiris. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Žalgiris and Kauno Žalgiris?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Žalgiris won 1, Kauno Žalgiris won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Žalgiris vs Kauno Žalgiris?
Žalgiris score 1.67 goals per game on average and Kauno Žalgiris 2.50. The A Lyga average is 2.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Žalgiris's matches and 50% of Kauno Žalgiris's.
What form are Žalgiris and Kauno Žalgiris in?
Over the last 5 games Žalgiris have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Kauno Žalgiris 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Žalgiris vs Kauno Žalgiris?
The statistical background for Žalgiris vs Kauno Žalgiris — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.