Žalgiris vs Panevėžys: match statistics
Despite a lower table position (9th place), Žalgiris displays significantly better offensive form at their home stadium, scoring an average of 2 goals per home match with a high xG (1.75). The hosts dominate possession (68%) and average 18 shots per match, with 5 on target, indicating their advantage in chance creation. Panevėžys has not yet played an away match this season, making it impossible to assess their form on foreign grounds, although their overall form (1.4 PPG) is slightly weaker than the hosts (1.8 PPG). The lack of statistical data for Panevėžys in away matches, combined with Žalgiris' advantage in offensive metrics and possession, points towards a home victory, though their poor defensive efficiency (3 goals conceded on average per home match) could open the door for a draw.
Žalgiris vs Panevėžys: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Žalgiris play Panevėžys in A Lyga (Lithuania). The match date is 27 February 2026 at 19:00. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Žalgiris: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Panevėžys: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Žalgiris scores 1.50 and concedes 1.09 goals per match. Panevėžys scores 0.95 and concedes 1.81. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Žalgiris 45%, Panevėžys 57%. Over 2.5: Žalgiris 59%, Panevėžys 62%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Žalgiris has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.26. Žalgiris: 13.9 shots per match, Panevėžys: 11.0.
Match halves
Žalgiris: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.73. Panevėžys: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.38.
Goals by minute
Žalgiris: 31-45+ (9 goals). Panevėžys: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
A Lyga: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
6 H2H matches: 3-0-3. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 83%.
Match description
Despite a lower table position (9th place), Žalgiris displays significantly better offensive form at their home stadium, scoring an average of 2 goals per home match with a high xG (1.75). The hosts dominate possession (68%) and average 18 shots per match, with 5 on target, indicating their advantage in chance creation. Panevėžys has not yet played an away match this season, making it impossible to assess their form on foreign grounds, although their overall form (1.4 PPG) is slightly weaker than the hosts (1.8 PPG). The lack of statistical data for Panevėžys in away matches, combined with Žalgiris' advantage in offensive metrics and possession, points towards a home victory, though their poor defensive efficiency (3 goals conceded on average per home match) could open the door for a draw.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Žalgiris | Panevėžys | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Žalgiris is 150% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Žalgiris · 0.8 pts / match - Panevėžys
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Žalgiris is 58% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Žalgiris · 0.95 goals / match - Panevėžys
Žalgiris is 66% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.09 goals / match - Žalgiris · 1.81 goals / match - Panevėžys
Žalgiris scores in 73% of matches (16 of 22 matches), while Panevėžys keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 21 matches).
Panevėžys scores in 67% of matches (14 of 21 matches), while Žalgiris keeps a clean sheet in 41% (9 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Žalgiris
Over / Under — Panevėžys
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Žalgiris is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Žalgiris · 1.24 pts / match - Panevėžys
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Žalgiris - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Panevėžys - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 29%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Žalgiris
Panevėžys
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (A Lyga).
Teams vs league
| Žalgiris | Liga | Panevėžys | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.59 | 2.62 | ▲ 2.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 49% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 55% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 32% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 69% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 76% | • 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Žalgiris 3 - 0 - 3 Panevėžys. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 83% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Žalgiris vs Panevėžys?
The A Lyga match finished Žalgiris 4:1 Panevėžys. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Žalgiris and Panevėžys?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Žalgiris won 3, Panevėžys won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 83% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Žalgiris vs Panevėžys?
Žalgiris score 1.50 goals per game on average and Panevėžys 0.95. The A Lyga average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Žalgiris's matches and 57% of Panevėžys's.
What form are Žalgiris and Panevėžys in?
Over the last 5 games Žalgiris have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Panevėžys 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Žalgiris vs Panevėžys?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.