Lithuania - A LygaVilniaus LFF stadionasData current as of 15 October 2026

Žalgiris vs Sūduva: match statistics

Žalgiris crest
Žalgiris
4 : 0half-time 2:0
Sūduva crest
Sūduva

Žalgiris vs Sūduva: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Žalgiris played Sūduva in A Lyga (Lithuania). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: Vilniaus LFF stadionas. Final score: 4:0.

Current form

Žalgiris: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Sūduva: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Žalgiris scores 1.47 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. Sūduva scores 1.57 and concedes 0.83. League average: 2.64 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Žalgiris 43%, Sūduva 53%. Over 2.5: Žalgiris 57%, Sūduva 50%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Žalgiris has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.53. Žalgiris: 14.8 shots per match, Sūduva: 12.5.

Match halves

Žalgiris: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.77. Sūduva: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.97.

Goals by minute

Žalgiris: 31-45+ (11 goals). Sūduva: 76-90+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

A Lyga: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 7 previous H2H matches were available: 4-3-0. Average goals 2.14, BTTS 43%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Žalgiris have the home advantage: they have won 60% of their home matches and score an average of 2 goals per game there, while Sūduva concede 1.19 goals on the road. The hosts also create slightly better chances in these conditions, with an average home xG of 1.71 compared with the visitors’ away xG of 1.57. Sūduva, however, have the stronger overall season record: they sit 2nd and have conceded 25 goals, while fourth-placed Žalgiris have conceded 36. The last five matches offer no clear advantage to either side: the hosts have scored 4 and conceded 7, while the visitors have scored 6 and conceded 8. I’m backing Žalgiris on the strength of their home scoring record, although Sūduva’s defence and 31% away draw rate mean a share of the points remains a realistic outcome.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The strongest case for BTTS - No is Žalgiris’ defensive record: the hosts have kept a clean sheet in 64% of their matches and concede just 0.43 goals on average, although Sūduva score an average of 1.5 goals. BTTS has landed in 36% of Žalgiris’ matches, compared with 69% of Sūduva’s, highlighting a clear difference in their profiles. In the hosts’ last five matches, both teams scored only once, despite Žalgiris conceding an average of 1.4 goals over that period. The main risk to this pick is the recent defensive form of both sides, along with attacking xG averages of 1.97 for Žalgiris and 1.61 for Sūduva across their last five matches. Even so, the hosts’ defensive efficiency over the season makes it slightly more likely that at least one team will fail to score.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The strongest signal is for Under 3.5 goals: 79% of Žalgiris' home matches and 87% of Sūduva's away matches finished below this line. The hosts concede just 0.43 goals per game at home and keep a clean sheet in 64% of matches, limiting the chances of a high-scoring game despite the visitors averaging 1.5 goals scored. Both teams show attacking potential, with average xG figures of 1.48 and 1.57 respectively, making the 2.5-goal line a less clear edge. A projected total of 2.4 goals supports the Under 3.5 goals pick, which is also more strongly backed by both teams' results.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

A half-time draw is the most likely outcome: Žalgiris were level at the break in 71% of their home matches and conceded an average of just 0.14 goals before half-time. After the break, the hosts score an average of 1.00 goals, while Sūduva concede 0.81 in that period, pointing to a late decision in Žalgiris’ favour. The hosts’ home record also supports a win: they have won 57% of their matches and have not lost any, while Sūduva have lost 25% of their away games. However, the X/1 pick is not certain, as Žalgiris did not lead at the break in any of their last five matches, while Sūduva did so in 40% of theirs. A draw carried through to full-time therefore remains a significant alternative, although the hosts’ second-half advantage—an average of 2.00 points compared with 1.44 for the visitors—tips the forecast towards X/1.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Half-by-half

2 : 0
1st half
2 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

55Possession (%)45
ŽalgirisSūduva
11Shots10
ŽalgirisSūduva
5Shots on target3
ŽalgirisSūduva
1.76xG1.71
ŽalgirisSūduva
3Corners3
ŽalgirisSūduva
93Dangerous attacks116
ŽalgirisSūduva
15Fouls7
ŽalgirisSūduva
1Cards3
ŽalgirisSūduva

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.47Goals scored / match1.57
ŽalgirisSūduva
1.2Goals conceded / match0.83
ŽalgirisSūduva
57%Average possession51%
ŽalgirisSūduva
4.67Shots on target / match4.87
ŽalgirisSūduva

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.83Shots per match12.5
ŽalgirisSūduva
4.67Shots on target4.87
ŽalgirisSūduva
9.9%Shot conversion12.5%
ŽalgirisSūduva
57%Possession51%
ŽalgirisSūduva
1.72xG for1.53
ŽalgirisSūduva
1.39xG against1.23
ŽalgirisSūduva

Shooting quality

Žalgiris: DominantSūduva: Balanced
ŽalgirisSūduva
Accuracy (shots on target)31%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Sūduva is 14% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Žalgiris · 1.6 pts / match - Sūduva

Žalgiris
LWDWL
Season result split
47% W20% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
14-6-10
1.60 pts / match · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-1-5
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WLWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.99Opponent xG: 1.65BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
Sūduva
WWLDD
Season result split
50% W37% D13% L
Season (W-D-L)
15-11-4
1.87 pts / match · goal difference +22
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
7-5-4
Last 5 away
3-1-1
WWWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.60Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Sūduva is 7% better for: goals scored per match.

1.47 goals / match - Žalgiris · 1.57 goals / match - Sūduva

Sūduva is 45% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.2 goals / match - Žalgiris · 0.83 goals / match - Sūduva

Žalgiris scoring profile: strong

Žalgiris scores in 70% of matches (21 of 30 matches), while Sūduva keeps a clean sheet in 43% (13 of 30 matches).

Sūduva scoring profile: strong

Sūduva scores in 77% of matches (23 of 30 matches), while Žalgiris keeps a clean sheet in 40% (12 of 30 matches).

44Goals scored (season)47
ŽalgirisSūduva
36Goals conceded (season)25
ŽalgirisSūduva
2.67Average goals in match2.4
ŽalgirisSūduva
4Goals scored (last 5)6
ŽalgirisSūduva
7Goals conceded (last 5)8
ŽalgirisSūduva

How often they score at least...

70%1 goal77%
ŽalgirisSūduva
43%2 goals50%
ŽalgirisSūduva
30%3 goals17%
ŽalgirisSūduva
3%4 goals7%
ŽalgirisSūduva

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal57%
ŽalgirisSūduva
40%2 goals17%
ŽalgirisSūduva
20%3 goals3%
ŽalgirisSūduva
0%4 goals3%
ŽalgirisSūduva

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

48%
League average

Goal patterns

23%BTTS at half-time10%
ŽalgirisSūduva
10%BTTS in both halves7%
ŽalgirisSūduva
30%Scored in both halves33%
ŽalgirisSūduva

BTTS and goal count

37%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
ŽalgirisSūduva
20%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
ŽalgirisSūduva
20%BTTS - last 580%
ŽalgirisSūduva

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

70%Min. 1 goal before half-time57%
ŽalgirisSūduva
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time27%
ŽalgirisSūduva
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time3%
ŽalgirisSūduva

2nd half

73%Min. 1 goal after half-time73%
ŽalgirisSūduva
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time57%
ŽalgirisSūduva
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
ŽalgirisSūduva

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Sūduva is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.3 pts / match - Žalgiris · 1.53 pts / match - Sūduva

Žalgiris - half-time state
27% leading50% draw23% trailing
Sūduva - half-time state
33% leading53% draw13% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.3Points per match (1st half)1.53
ŽalgirisSūduva
0.7Goals scored (1st half)0.6
ŽalgirisSūduva
0.53Goals conceded (1st half)0.27
ŽalgirisSūduva
1.23Average goals (1st half)0.87
ŽalgirisSūduva
57%Clean sheet before half-time77%
ŽalgirisSūduva
50%No goal before half-time57%
ŽalgirisSūduva

After half-time (2nd half)

1.43Points per match (2nd half)1.7
ŽalgirisSūduva
0.77Goals scored (2nd half)0.97
ŽalgirisSūduva
0.67Goals conceded (2nd half)0.57
ŽalgirisSūduva
1.43Average goals (2nd half)1.53
ŽalgirisSūduva
57%Clean sheet after half-time53%
ŽalgirisSūduva
50%No goal after half-time33%
ŽalgirisSūduva

Žalgiris - second-half results

37% W33% D30% L
39
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
43
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.30
PPG before half-time
Lead holding174%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Sūduva - second-half results

40% W50% D10% L
46
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
+10
Goal difference (1st half)
51
Second-half points
+12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.53
PPG before half-time
Lead holding152%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Žalgiris - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.60
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match1.00.4
Average goals in match1.40.8
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-30
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Sūduva - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.00
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.41.2
Average goals in match0.82.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Žalgiris
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
8
5
16-30
11
8
31-45
9
9
46-60
5
7
61-75
9
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Sūduva
ScoredConceded
5
2
0-15
6
5
16-30
7
1
31-45
7
4
46-60
6
7
61-75
16
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.54
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
48%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-16%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
54%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Žalgiris

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.33
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
102%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
100%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Sūduva

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.44
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-14.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.40
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
131%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
58%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
34% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
34%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (A Lyga).

Teams vs league

ŽalgirisLigaSūduva
Average goals in match• 2.672.64▼ 2.40
Both teams scored▼ 43%48%▲ 53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 57%52%▼ 50%
Clean sheets▲ 40%32%▲ 43%
Goal before half-time• 70%69%▼ 57%
Goal after half-time▼ 73%78%▼ 73%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.64
Average goals per match
48%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.44
Home goals / match
1.20
Away goals / match
+20%
Home attack advantage
+17%
Home defence advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. ŽalgirisGoalMatas VareikaAssist: Stanislav Bilenkiy
  2. SūduvaYellow cardSidy Mohamed Sanokho
  3. SūduvaRed cardRati Grigalava
  4. ŽalgirisYellow cardGustas Jarusevičius
  5. ŽalgirisSubstitutionOn: Liviu Ion AntalOff: Paulius Golubickas

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (7): Žalgiris 4 - 3 - 0 Sūduva. Average goals 2.14, both teams scored in 43% matches.

Sūduva
0 : 0
Žalgiris
Sūduva
1 : 1
Žalgiris
Žalgiris
1 : 0
Sūduva
FK Sūduva Marijampolė
1 : 3
VMFD Žalgiris Vilnius
VMFD Žalgiris Vilnius
1 : 0
FK Sūduva Marijampolė
FK Sūduva Marijampolė
2 : 2
VMFD Žalgiris Vilnius
VMFD Žalgiris Vilnius
3 : 0
FK Sūduva Marijampolė

FAQ

What was the result of Žalgiris vs Sūduva?

The A Lyga match finished Žalgiris 4:0 Sūduva. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Žalgiris and Sūduva?

In the last 7 head-to-head matches Žalgiris won 4, Sūduva won 0 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 2.14 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Žalgiris vs Sūduva?

Žalgiris score 1.47 goals per game on average and Sūduva 1.57. The A Lyga average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Žalgiris's matches and 53% of Sūduva's.

What form are Žalgiris and Sūduva in?

Over the last 5 games Žalgiris have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Sūduva 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Žalgiris vs Sūduva?

The statistical background for Žalgiris vs Sūduva — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.