Zamalek vs Al Ahly: match statistics
Zamalek vs Al Ahly: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Zamalek play Al Ahly in Egyptian Premier League (Egypt). The match date is 1 May 2026 at 19:00. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
Zamalek: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Al Ahly: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Zamalek scores 1.50 and concedes 0.65 goals per match. Al Ahly scores 1.69 and concedes 0.92. League average: 2.02 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Zamalek 38%, Al Ahly 58%. Over 2.5: Zamalek 35%, Al Ahly 50%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Al Ahly has higher xG: 1.76 vs 1.47. Zamalek: 13.3 shots per match, Al Ahly: 15.6.
Match halves
Zamalek: half-time lead 54%, second-half goals 0.81. Al Ahly: half-time lead 54%, second-half goals 0.81.
Goals by minute
Zamalek: 76-90+ (10 goals). Al Ahly: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Egyptian Premier League: 2.02 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I back the home win ('1') because Zamalek has a clear defensive edge at home: they concede only 0.25 goals per game on average, keep a clean sheet in 75% of matches and have 0% home defeats this season. Al Ahly arrive in poorer form — averaging 0.8 points in the last 5 matches and conceding 8 goals, with an away concession rate of 1.33 goals per game. In attack both teams are similar in efficiency: Zamalek scores 1.33 goals at home (xG 1.67), while Al Ahly averages 1.5 goals away (xG 1.78), so goal-scoring potential is comparable. The hosts register more shots on target (5.42 vs 4.25) and boast a +13 home goal difference, which combined with superior defensive effectiveness (0.25 vs 1.33) gives them a tangible advantage. Considering form (Zamalek 2.2 points in the last 5 matches vs 0.8 for Al Ahly) and clean sheet stats (75% vs 17%), I assess the probabilities as 60% for Zamalek, 25% for a draw and 15% for the visitors.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Zamalek | Al Ahly | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Al Ahly is 20% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Zamalek · 2.4 pts / match - Al Ahly
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Ahly is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Zamalek · 1.69 goals / match - Al Ahly
Zamalek is 42% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.65 goals / match - Zamalek · 0.92 goals / match - Al Ahly
Zamalek scores in 85% of matches (22 of 26 matches), while Al Ahly keeps a clean sheet in 35% (9 of 26 matches).
Al Ahly scores in 85% of matches (22 of 26 matches), while Zamalek keeps a clean sheet in 54% (14 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Zamalek
Over / Under — Al Ahly
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Zamalek is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - Zamalek · 1.85 pts / match - Al Ahly
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Zamalek - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 54% of matches and wins 65%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Al Ahly - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 54% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Zamalek
Al Ahly
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Egyptian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Zamalek | Liga | Al Ahly | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.15 | 2.02 | ▲ 2.62 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 47% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 35% | 34% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 54% | 35% | • 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 65% | 58% | ▲ 85% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 73% | 70% | ▲ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Zamalek 0 - 0 - 1 Al Ahly. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Zamalek vs Al Ahly?
The Egyptian Premier League match finished Zamalek 0:3 Al Ahly. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Zamalek vs Al Ahly?
Zamalek score 1.50 goals per game on average and Al Ahly 1.69. The Egyptian Premier League average is 2.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Zamalek's matches and 58% of Al Ahly's.
What form are Zamalek and Al Ahly in?
Over the last 5 games Zamalek have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Al Ahly 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Zamalek vs Al Ahly?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.