Zbrojovka Brno vs Líšeň: match statistics

Zbrojovka Brno have been clearly more effective in recent weeks: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches and scored 16 goals in the process, while Líšeň have scored just 4 and suffered 3 defeats. At home, the hosts win 75% of their matches, averaging 1.75 goals, whereas the visitors score only once per away game on average and fail to find the net in 33% of their outings. Brno’s superiority is also evident in chance creation, averaging 4.25 shots on target per match compared with Líšeň’s 3.33, while their shot conversion rate stands at 16% versus 9% for their opponents. Both defences concede around 1 goal per match on average, but Líšeň have failed to keep a clean sheet in any away fixture, which, combined with the hosts’ attacking form, increases Brno’s chances of victory. The hosts’ home xG is 1.35, compared with 1.17 for the visitors away from home, so a match dominated by Brno is the most likely outcome, although not necessarily one without conceding.

The stronger signal comes from recent form: BTTS occurred for both teams in only 20% of their last five matches, well below the league average of 56%. Líšeň averaged just 0.8 goals per match over this period, alongside 1.12 xG, and failed to score in 33% of their season matches. Zbrojovka are in excellent offensive form, recording 3.2 goals and 1.56 xG per match across their last five outings, giving the home side a strong basis for scoring. However, Brno’s defensive improvement to 1.2 goals conceded per match, combined with the visitors’ limited scoring potential, increases the likelihood of a scenario in which at least one team fails to score. Seasonal BTTS figures of 50% for Brno and 67% for Líšeň are more supportive of both teams scoring, but current data lean slightly towards BTTS - No. This means that at least one team is expected not to score; it does not automatically imply a 0:0 draw or that neither team will score.

Zbrojovka Brno are in excellent attacking form, averaging 3.2 goals over their last 5 matches, with an xG of 1.56. Over the same period, Líšeň scored only 0.8 goals per game and created an average of 1.12 xG, so their projected attacking output is considerably lower. Both teams recorded at least three goals in 60% of their last five matches, but only 20% of those games saw both teams score, increasing the risk of a one-sided result. Across the season, Líšeň have not exceeded 3.5 total goals in any match, while the hosts have done so in 50% of their games. The projected total of 2.45 goals indicates that the most stable option is Under 3.5 goals, with a safety margin for potential scores of 2:0, 2:1 or 3:0.

The strongest scenario is for Zbrojovka Brno to lead at the break and maintain their winning position, as the hosts have won 4 of their last 5 matches, while Líšeň have lost 3 of 5. Brno were ahead at half-time in 60% of those matches, scoring an average of 1.4 goals before the break and conceding just 0.2, whereas the visitors were trailing at half-time in 80% of their games and managed only 0.2 goals in that period. After the interval, the hosts still look dangerous offensively, averaging 1.8 goals scored across their last five appearances, compared with 0.6 for Líšeň. Caution is warranted due to Brno’s poor previous home run, which included a 0% win rate and an average of 3.25 goals conceded, but their current form clearly points to a turnaround. Líšeň create slightly more chances over the course of the season, averaging 3.33 shots on target compared with Brno’s 1.5, but the hosts’ current advantage in both halves is the stronger argument in favour of 1/1.