Železničar Pančevo vs Red Star Belgrade: match statistics
Železničar Pančevo vs Red Star Belgrade: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Železničar Pančevo played Red Star Belgrade in SuperLiga (Serbia). The match was played on 22 April 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Železničar Pančevo: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Red Star Belgrade: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Železničar Pančevo scores 1.39 and concedes 1.03 goals per match. Red Star Belgrade scores 2.94 and concedes 0.77. League average: 2.68 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Železničar Pančevo 42%, Red Star Belgrade 52%. Over 2.5: Železničar Pančevo 45%, Red Star Belgrade 74%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Red Star Belgrade has higher xG: 2.57 vs 1.44. Železničar Pančevo: 11.5 shots per match, Red Star Belgrade: 22.7.
Match halves
Železničar Pančevo: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.71. Red Star Belgrade: half-time lead 77%, second-half goals 1.55.
Goals by minute
Železničar Pančevo: 61-75 (10 goals). Red Star Belgrade: 31-45+ (22 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
SuperLiga: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 5.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Red Star Belgrade are the favorites: 25 wins this season and 91 goals scored, and they have won all 5 of their last 5 matches (averaging 3 points per game). The visitors' attack on the road averages 22.6 shots and 8.67 on target per match, translating to 2.33 goals away and xG 2.56, versus the hosts' 11.87 shots, 4.33 on target, 1.4 goals and xG 1.52 at home. Železničar Pančevo, however, possess strong defensive assets at home — only 0.53 goals conceded per match and 73% of games with a clean sheet — which limits opponents' chances. Considering the 91 to 43 goal difference this season, the visitors' superiority in shot volume and quality (xG 2.56 vs 1.52) and Red Star's run of 5 straight wins, I back an away victory for the visitors, while a draw (20%) is realistic given the hosts' solid defense.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal BTTS rates are 44% for Železničar Pančevo and 60% for Red Star, with the league average BTTS at 54%; in the last 5 matches BTTS values are 60% (home) vs 80% (away), which strongly indicates a Goal/Goal scenario. In xG terms both teams show high attacking potential: seasonal xG for attack is 2.57 (home) and 2.56 (away), while seasonal xG against is 0.86 and 1.02; in the last 5 matches attacking xG is 1.58 vs 2.45, and xG against 1.11 vs 0.78, meaning the away side particularly creates a lot of high-quality chances. Average shots 22.81 vs 22.6 and shots on target 8.94 vs 8.67, plus conversion 15% (home) vs 10% (away) confirm a realistic goal-scoring potential (season goals 43 and 91). The counterweight is that Železničar has a seasonal clean sheet expected rate of 50% and only 0.56 goals conceded per game on the season, which reduces BTTS probability; however, in the last 5 matches the home side concedes 1.2 goals on average and both teams have been regularly scoring recently. In summary, given the strong offensive signals, last5 BTTS 60%/80% and league average 54%, I assess BTTS - Yes probability at 70% vs 30% and recommend backing "Yes".
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams generate many chances: Železničar Pančevo has xG_for 2.57 and Red Star Belgrade 2.56 with average shots 22.81 and 22.6 and shots on target 8.94 and 8.67, indicating high offensive potential. After adjusting each attack for the opponent’s defense ((2.57+1.02)/2 = 1.80 for the home side; (2.56+0.86)/2 = 1.71 for the away side) we get expected goals of 1.80 and 1.71, totaling 3.51 goals in the match. Seasonal stats confirm a tendency for goals: Over 1.5 occurs in 88% of Železničar’s matches and 80% of Red Star’s, while Over 2.5 appears in 75% and 73% respectively; in the last 5 matches both teams have 80% on Over 2.5. The statistical model estimates probability of Over 1.5 ≈ 87% and Over 2.5 ≈ 68% (Over 3.5 ≈ 47%), therefore the strongest and most probable signal is to play OVER 1.5. Additionally, the hosts have a higher shot conversion rate of 15% versus 10% for the visitors, which increases the chance of extra goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
First-half statistics clearly favor Železničar: the hosts led at the break in 13 matches (81%), averaging 1.56 goals scored and just 0.13 conceded before halftime. Over the season Železničar win 88% of matches and average 3.5 goals scored with 0.56 conceded, which indicates a strong conversion of a halftime lead into a victory. Red Star has a similar xG (2.56 versus the hosts’ 2.57) and has won 5 of 5 recent matches, but in those five games they averaged 1.8 goals at the break and conceded 0.33, so they can apply pressure after halftime. On this basis the strongest signal is 1/1 (hosts leading at Half-Time and winning Full-Time), which I regard as the most likely scenario. Remaining probabilities are allocated to HT draws (X/1, X/X) and a small chance of a turnaround by the visitors after the break, taking into account their 2.56 xG and 5/5 form.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Železničar Pančevo | Red Star Belgrade | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Red Star Belgrade is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Železničar Pančevo · 3 pts / match - Red Star Belgrade
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Red Star Belgrade is 112% better for: goals scored per match.
1.39 goals / match - Železničar Pančevo · 2.94 goals / match - Red Star Belgrade
Red Star Belgrade is 34% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.03 goals / match - Železničar Pančevo · 0.77 goals / match - Red Star Belgrade
Železničar Pančevo scores in 77% of matches (24 of 31 matches), while Red Star Belgrade keeps a clean sheet in 42% (13 of 31 matches).
Red Star Belgrade scores in 87% of matches (27 of 31 matches), while Železničar Pančevo keeps a clean sheet in 45% (14 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Železničar Pančevo
Over / Under - Red Star Belgrade
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Red Star Belgrade is 59% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.58 pts / match - Železničar Pančevo · 2.52 pts / match - Red Star Belgrade
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Železničar Pančevo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Red Star Belgrade - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 77% of matches and wins 81%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (22 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +17 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Železničar Pančevo
Red Star Belgrade
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (SuperLiga).
Teams vs league
| Železničar Pančevo | Liga | Red Star Belgrade | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.42 | 2.68 | ▲ 3.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 53% | • 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 49% | ▲ 74% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 45% | 29% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 70% | ▲ 84% |
| Goal after half-time | • 74% | 74% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Železničar Pančevo 0 - 0 - 2 Red Star Belgrade. Average goals 5.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Železničar Pančevo vs Red Star Belgrade?
The SuperLiga match finished Železničar Pančevo 2:2 Red Star Belgrade. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Železničar Pančevo and Red Star Belgrade?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Železničar Pančevo won 0, Red Star Belgrade won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Železničar Pančevo vs Red Star Belgrade?
Železničar Pančevo score 1.39 goals per game on average and Red Star Belgrade 2.94. The SuperLiga average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Železničar Pančevo's matches and 52% of Red Star Belgrade's.
What form are Železničar Pančevo and Red Star Belgrade in?
Over the last 5 games Železničar Pančevo have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Red Star Belgrade 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Železničar Pančevo vs Red Star Belgrade?
The statistical background for Železničar Pančevo vs Red Star Belgrade — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.