Željezničar vs Čelik: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Željezničar vs Čelik: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Željezničar play Čelik in Premier League of Bosnia (Bosnia & Herzegovina). The match date is 19 September 2026. Venue: Stadion Grbavica.
Current form
Željezničar: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Čelik: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Željezničar scores 1.29 and concedes 1.14 goals per match. Čelik scores 1.43 and concedes 1.57. League average: 2.43 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Željezničar 57%, Čelik 57%. Over 2.5: Željezničar 29%, Čelik 71%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Čelik has higher xG: 1.21 vs 0.98. Željezničar: 8.9 shots per match, Čelik: 10.7.
Match halves
Željezničar: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 1.00. Čelik: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.57.
Goals by minute
Željezničar: 61-75 (4 goals). Čelik: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League of Bosnia: 2.43 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Željezničar | Čelik | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.56 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Željezničar is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Željezničar · 1.4 pts / match - Čelik
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Čelik is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.29 goals / match - Željezničar · 1.43 goals / match - Čelik
Željezničar is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.14 goals / match - Željezničar · 1.57 goals / match - Čelik
Željezničar scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Čelik keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).
Čelik scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Željezničar keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Željezničar
Over / Under - Čelik
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Čelik is 83% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.86 pts / match - Željezničar · 1.57 pts / match - Čelik
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Željezničar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Čelik - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 29%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Željezničar
Čelik
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League of Bosnia).
Teams vs league
| Željezničar | Liga | Čelik | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.43 | 2.43 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 54% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 46% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 27% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 66% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 74% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
When do Željezničar and Čelik play?
Željezničar face Čelik on 19 September 2026 in Premier League of Bosnia at Stadion Grbavica. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Željezničar vs Čelik?
Željezničar score 1.29 goals per game on average and Čelik 1.43. The Premier League of Bosnia average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Željezničar's matches and 57% of Čelik's.
What form are Željezničar and Čelik in?
Over the last 5 games Željezničar have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Čelik 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Željezničar vs Čelik?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.