Željezničar vs Sarajevo: match statistics
Željezničar vs Sarajevo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Željezničar played Sarajevo in Premier League of Bosnia (Bosnia & Herzegovina). The match was played on 4 April 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Željezničar: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Sarajevo: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Željezničar scores 0.92 and concedes 1.15 goals per match. Sarajevo scores 1.35 and concedes 1.08. League average: 2.13 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Željezničar 38%, Sarajevo 35%. Over 2.5: Željezničar 35%, Sarajevo 42%. League level: BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 37%.
xG, shots and style
Sarajevo has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.20. Željezničar: 9.3 shots per match, Sarajevo: 11.2.
Match halves
Željezničar: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.62. Sarajevo: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.69.
Goals by minute
Željezničar: 76-90+ (8 goals). Sarajevo: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League of Bosnia: 2.13 goals per match, BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 37%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Željezničar has clearer short-term form: the hosts scored 6 goals in the last 5 matches and average 1.4 points per game in that period, while Sarajevo scored 4 goals and averages 0.8 points. At home Željezničar averages 1.15 goals with xG 1.37 and concedes 1.23 goals, whereas Sarajevo away averages 0.85 goals per game with xG 1.29 and concedes 1.54 goals. The conversion gap is significant: the hosts’ finishing rate is 11% versus the visitors’ 8%, and Sarajevo failed to score in 38% of away trips, compared to Željezničar failing to score in 31% of home matches. Both teams have a similar average of shots on target (3.46), and the visitors dominate possession (62% vs 53%), but high ball control does not translate into away goals for Sarajevo. Overall, the hosts’ defensive edge at home and superior attacking trends over the last 5 matches lead me to back a Željezničar win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Željezničar has a strong home defense: 69% clean sheets and an average of 0.62 goals conceded per game, with an average 1.85 goals scored and xG 1.53, indicating frequent wins without conceding. Sarajevo as the away side averages 0.85 goals scored per game, has a shot conversion rate of 8% and has scored only 4 and conceded 9 in the last 5 matches (avg. 0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded), so they have poor away effectiveness. Seasonal BTTS rates are 31% for hosts and 38% for guests, while the league-wide BTTS level is 37% with as many as 75% of matches producing a clean sheet, indicating a league tendency toward low BTTS occurrence. Although BTTS in the last 5 matches is 40% for both teams, the dominant 69% home clean sheets, the low away goals average of 0.85 and the much higher home shot conversion (15% vs 8%) favor a 'No' scenario, therefore I recommend selecting 'No' (No Goal).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Željezničar averages 1.85 goals per game, Sarajevo 0.85; xG are 1.53 for the home side and 1.29 for the visitors, leading to estimated expected goals of 1.28 for Željezničar and 1.15 for Sarajevo (total 2.43). Season percentages of matches over 1.5 are 62% for the home team and 69% for the away team, so I assess Over 1.5 at around 66%. Over 2.5 occurs relatively rarely: 38% for the home team and 46% for the away, hence I estimate Over 2.5 at ~42% (Under 58%). Over 3.5 is exceptionally rare (23% home, 15% away) and, given the projected 2.43 goals and Željezničar’s 69% clean sheets, the strongest signal is Under 3.5 (approximately 81% chance of under). Consequently I recommend playing Under 3.5 as the most likely and valuable line; Under 2.5 has a moderate edge, and Over 1.5 remains a lower-value option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Željezničar led at half-time in 54% of matches (7 occurrences in the data) and scores on average 0.85 goals by the break while conceding only 0.08, which strongly supports the hosts leading after 45 minutes. Over the season the hosts average 1.85 goals per match versus Sarajevo’s 0.85, and average xG is 1.53 versus 1.29, with a higher conversion rate of 15% vs 8%, so Željezničar both creates and converts more chances. Additionally the hosts have 69% clean sheets over the season and as many as 92% clean sheets at half-time, so maintaining the lead and converting it into a win is very likely — hence the largest share for 1/1 (49%). A draw at half-time with a later home victory (X/1) is also realistic given 46% of matches are level at the break (6 occurrences), whereas a Sarajevo turnaround is rated low due to their average 0.85 goals per game and 1.54 conceded.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Željezničar | Sarajevo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sarajevo is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Željezničar · 1.4 pts / match - Sarajevo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sarajevo is 47% better for: goals scored per match.
0.92 goals / match - Željezničar · 1.35 goals / match - Sarajevo
Sarajevo is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.15 goals / match - Željezničar · 1.08 goals / match - Sarajevo
Željezničar scores in 62% of matches (16 of 26 matches), while Sarajevo keeps a clean sheet in 50% (13 of 26 matches).
Sarajevo scores in 77% of matches (20 of 26 matches), while Željezničar keeps a clean sheet in 35% (9 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Željezničar
Over / Under - Sarajevo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sarajevo is 80% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.88 pts / match - Željezničar · 1.58 pts / match - Sarajevo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Željezničar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Sarajevo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Željezničar
Sarajevo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League of Bosnia).
Teams vs league
| Željezničar | Liga | Sarajevo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.08 | 2.13 | ▲ 2.42 |
| Both teams scored | • 38% | 37% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 37% | ▲ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 35% | 37% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 54% | 57% | ▲ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | • 73% | 72% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Željezničar 1 - 0 - 1 Sarajevo. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Željezničar vs Sarajevo?
The Premier League of Bosnia match finished Željezničar 0:0 Sarajevo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Željezničar and Sarajevo?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Željezničar won 1, Sarajevo won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Željezničar vs Sarajevo?
Željezničar score 0.92 goals per game on average and Sarajevo 1.35. The Premier League of Bosnia average is 2.13 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 37% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Željezničar's matches and 35% of Sarajevo's.
What form are Željezničar and Sarajevo in?
Over the last 5 games Željezničar have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Sarajevo 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Željezničar vs Sarajevo?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Željezničar vs Sarajevo: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.