Zhejiang FC vs Chongqing Tongliang Long: match statistics
Zhejiang FC vs Chongqing Tongliang Long: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Zhejiang FC played Chongqing Tongliang Long in Chinese Super League (China). The match was played on 5 April 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Zhejiang FC: 2-1-0, 2.33 points/match. Chongqing Tongliang Long: 1-2-0, 1.67 points/match.
Goal statistics
Zhejiang FC scores 2.33 and concedes 0.67 goals per match. Chongqing Tongliang Long scores 1.33 and concedes 1.00. League average: 3.07 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Zhejiang FC 67%, Chongqing Tongliang Long 33%. Over 2.5: Zhejiang FC 33%, Chongqing Tongliang Long 33%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Zhejiang FC has higher xG: 1.91 vs 1.19. Zhejiang FC: 16.3 shots per match, Chongqing Tongliang Long: 10.0.
Match halves
Zhejiang FC: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.67. Chongqing Tongliang Long: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.33.
Goals by minute
Zhejiang FC: 46-60 (2 goals). Chongqing Tongliang Long: 76-90+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Chinese Super League: 3.07 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win (1). Zhejiang FC have strong home offensive metrics: on average 17 shots per match, 7 shots on target, xG 1.93 and 1.5 goals scored per game at their stadium, and they have scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches. Chongqing Tongliang Long are practically non-threatening away — on average 5 attempts and only 1 on target, xG just 0.67 and 0 goals per away game; the percentage of away matches without scoring is 100%. The home defence concedes 0.5 goals per home match and has a 50% clean sheet rate, while the visitors theoretically have 100% clean sheets away, but their average away xG against is 0.85 versus the 1.93 xG created by Zhejiang at home, which indicates a quality advantage in chances for the hosts. Considering the superiority in chance creation (17 vs 5 shots, 7 vs 1 on target) and the fact Zhejiang scored 9 goals in 5 matches, I give higher probability to the home side's victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I rate No BTTS (No Goal) as the more likely outcome (70% vs 30%). Chongqing as the away side has a 0% rate of matches with both teams scoring and a 100% clean sheet rate, indicating no seasonal BTTS games and full clean sheets away. The visitors average only 5.0 shots and 1.0 shots on target with xG_for_avg 0.67 and a conversion rate of 0.0%, while Zhejiang generates 12.5 shots, 4.5 shots on target and xG_for_avg 1.44 — the hosts create significantly more and better chances. In the last 5 matches BTTS% was 60% for the home team and 20% for the away team, and in goal numbers the hosts had 9 scored and 7 conceded versus 6 scored and 3 conceded for the visitors. Despite a league average BTTS of 56%, the extreme away metrics (0% BTTS, 100% clean sheets) together with low shots on target and zero conversion for Chongqing make the 'No' scenario the strongest signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Using average xG: (1.44 attacking xG for Zhejiang + 0.85 xG conceded by Chongqing)/2 = 1.15 expected goals for the home side; similarly (0.67 + 1.11)/2 = 0.89 for the away side, total = 2.04. With λ=2.04 the Poisson distribution gives about a 60% chance of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5), and additionally the hosts score on average 2.0 goals per match this season, register 12.5 shots of which 4.5 are on target and have a conversion rate of 16% versus 0% for the visitors, which strengthens the signal for Over 1.5. The visitors have weaker attacking metrics (0.67 xG, 5.0 shots, 1.0 on target) and have averaged 1.2 goals in their last 5 matches, so their contribution to raising the total goals is limited. The 2.5 line is less convincing: Poisson estimates Over 2.5 at ~33%, although the hosts had 60% Over 2.5 in their last 5 matches and the visitors 20%, yielding a compromise of 38% for Over 2.5 and 62% for Under 2.5. Over 3.5 remains unlikely (~15% chance per Poisson), therefore I recommend the strongest signal: Over on the 1.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I select X/1 (draw at Half-Time, home win at Full-Time) as the most likely scenario and assign it a 32% probability. Chongqing finished the first half level in 80% of their last 5 matches and have a seasonal 100% rate of draws at Half-Time, which increases the chance of a draw at the break. Zhejiang have a clear offensive advantage: xG 1.44 versus 0.67, on average 12.5 shots versus 5.0 and 4.5 shots on target versus 1.0, with a conversion rate of 16% versus 0% for the visitors, so goals are expected to arrive after the break. The hosts are strong after Half-Time — an average of 2.5 goals in the second half versus 0.0 for the visitors, and their data show 1 goal in minutes 46–60, 1 in 61–75 and 2 in 76–90, which justifies an advantage late on. Therefore, alongside X/1 I give 1/1 as the second option (25%), low chances for a full-time draw (X/X 9%) and limited chances for an away win (approximately 15% total) given the visitors’ seasonal average goals of 0.0 and low xG of 0.67.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Zhejiang FC | Chongqing Tongliang Long | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 45% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Zhejiang FC is 40% better for: last-5 form.
2.33 pts / match - Zhejiang FC · 1.67 pts / match - Chongqing Tongliang Long
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Zhejiang FC is 75% better for: goals scored per match.
2.33 goals / match - Zhejiang FC · 1.33 goals / match - Chongqing Tongliang Long
Zhejiang FC is 49% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.67 goals / match - Zhejiang FC · 1 goals / match - Chongqing Tongliang Long
Zhejiang FC scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Chongqing Tongliang Long keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 matches).
Chongqing Tongliang Long scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Zhejiang FC keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Zhejiang FC
Over / Under - Chongqing Tongliang Long
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Zhejiang FC is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Zhejiang FC · 0.67 pts / match - Chongqing Tongliang Long
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Zhejiang FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Chongqing Tongliang Long - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.7 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.7 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 33% | 100% |
| No goal | 67% | 33% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.67 | 2.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 0.7 | 1.7 |
| 1 goal | 33% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 67% |
| No goal | 100% | 33% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Zhejiang FC
Chongqing Tongliang Long
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Chinese Super League).
Teams vs league
| Zhejiang FC | Liga | Chongqing Tongliang Long | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.00 | 3.07 | ▼ 2.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 59% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 59% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 22% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 66% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 90% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Zhejiang FC vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
The Chinese Super League match finished Zhejiang FC 0:1 Chongqing Tongliang Long. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Zhejiang FC vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
Zhejiang FC score 2.33 goals per game on average and Chongqing Tongliang Long 1.33. The Chinese Super League average is 3.07 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Zhejiang FC's matches and 33% of Chongqing Tongliang Long's.
What form are Zhejiang FC and Chongqing Tongliang Long in?
Over the last 5 games Zhejiang FC have a 2-1-0 record (2.33 points per game) and Chongqing Tongliang Long 1-2-0 (1.67 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Zhejiang FC vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
The statistical background for Zhejiang FC vs Chongqing Tongliang Long — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.