Zhenys vs Aktobe: match statistics
Zhenys vs Aktobe: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Zhenys played Aktobe in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The match was played on 19 April 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Zhenys: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Aktobe: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Zhenys scores 0.40 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. Aktobe scores 1.40 and concedes 1.40. League average: 2.20 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Zhenys 40%, Aktobe 60%. Over 2.5: Zhenys 20%, Aktobe 40%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 37%.
xG, shots and style
Aktobe has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.28. Zhenys: 10.2 shots per match, Aktobe: 14.0.
Match halves
Zhenys: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.20. Aktobe: half-time lead 60%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Zhenys: 16-30 (1 goals). Aktobe: 16-30 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.20 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 37%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Aktobe is a marginal favorite: they have scored 7 goals this season versus Zhenys’s 2 and sit 9th compared to Zhenys at 13th. In the last 5 matches Aktobe have 2 wins and average 1.4 points per game, while Zhenys have 1 win and 1.0 ppg. Defensively the visitors concede 1.0 goal on average away, while the hosts concede 1.5 at home, giving Aktobe an edge in defensive efficiency despite a higher xG against (1.43 vs 1.21). In attack both teams average 0.5 goals per game and post similar shots per match (10.5 vs 9.5) with 3.5 on target, which points to a low-scoring affair. Based on this I assess the probabilities as: home win 25%, draw 30%, away win 45%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Analysis indicates BTTS - Yes is the more likely scenario: Zhenys has a seasonal BTTS rate of 67%, Aktobe 50%, league average 50%. Zhenys averages 2.0 goals per game while Aktobe concedes 1.0 on average; Zhenys xG is 1.85 versus xG against Aktobe 1.43, and Aktobe xG is 1.07 versus xG against Zhenys 1.29, showing both sides have realistic scoring opportunities. Hosts average 17.0 shots and 6.67 shots on target with a conversion rate of 12%; visitors average 9.5 shots and 3.5 shots on target with a 5% conversion. In the last 5 matches Zhenys scored 5 and conceded 8, Aktobe scored 7 and conceded 6, confirming both teams can find the net and are susceptible to conceding. Additionally Aktobe have 0% clean sheets this season while Zhenys have 33%, further increasing the likelihood of a goal opening; based on all numbers I assign BTTS 66% vs 34% and select 'yes' as the most probable outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model predicts 1.64 expected goals for Zhenys (xG attack 1.85 vs Aktobe defense 1.43) and 1.18 for Aktobe (xG attack 1.07 vs Zhenys defense 1.29), totaling 2.82 expected goals. Home side holds an offensive edge: on average 17 shots and 6.67 on target per match versus Aktobe’s 9.5 shots and 3.5 on target, and a higher conversion rate 12% vs 5%, which increases the likelihood of goals for the hosts. League stats show Zhenys has 67% of matches Over 2.5 goals, Aktobe 0%, while both teams record Over 0.5 in 100% of games and Zhenys has 67% BTTS (Aktobe 50%), suggesting high potential for at least two goals. Considering the combined xG (1.85+1.07=2.92) and the 2.82 goal projection, I recommend Over 2.5 as the preferred line (probability ~66%), with Over 1.5 being almost certain (~94%) and Over 3.5 less likely (~32%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The clear first-half favorite is Zhenys: the hosts led at the break in 3 of 3 home matches (100%) and score an average of 1.0 goals by half-time versus 0.0 for Aktobe, therefore HT=1 is the most likely. The control of the game is confirmed by the numbers – xG 1.85 vs 1.07, on average 17 shots vs 9.5 and 6.67 shots on target vs 3.5 – and Zhenys’ season goals average is 2.0 vs 0.5 for Aktobe, with a win rate of 67% vs 0% for the visitors, which increases the probability of a full-time home win. However, the risk of losing the lead is real: Zhenys conceded 3 goals in minutes 76–90 this season, and Aktobe scored 1 goal in that phase; additionally the hosts’ both-teams-to-score rate is 67%, so 1/X or 1/2 scenarios are possible. Caution is also warranted by form over the last 5 matches: the hosts led at half-time in only 1 of 5 (20%), while the visitors did so in 3 of 5 (60%), indicating some volatility after the break. Taking this into account, the most reliable signal is HT/FT 1/1, while keeping a reserve for a draw or a turnaround after half-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Zhenys | Aktobe | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.11 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Aktobe is 133% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Zhenys · 1.4 pts / match - Aktobe
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aktobe is 250% better for: goals scored per match.
0.4 goals / match - Zhenys · 1.4 goals / match - Aktobe
Aktobe is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.6 goals / match - Zhenys · 1.4 goals / match - Aktobe
Zhenys scores in 40% of matches (2 of 5 matches), while Aktobe keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
Aktobe scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Zhenys keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Zhenys
Over / Under - Aktobe
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Aktobe is 120% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Zhenys · 2.2 pts / match - Aktobe
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Zhenys - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Aktobe - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 40%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 1.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Zhenys
Aktobe
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Zhenys | Liga | Aktobe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.20 | ▲ 2.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 52% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 20% | 37% | ▲ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 30% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 60% | 57% | ▲ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 70% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Zhenys 1 - 0 - 1 Aktobe. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Zhenys vs Aktobe?
The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished Zhenys 1:0 Aktobe. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Zhenys and Aktobe?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Zhenys won 1, Aktobe won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Zhenys vs Aktobe?
Zhenys score 0.40 goals per game on average and Aktobe 1.40. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 37% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Zhenys's matches and 60% of Aktobe's.
What form are Zhenys and Aktobe in?
Over the last 5 games Zhenys have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Aktobe 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Zhenys vs Aktobe?
The statistical background for Zhenys vs Aktobe — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.