Zhenys vs Kairat: match statistics
Zhenys vs Kairat: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Zhenys played Kairat in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The match was played on 17 May 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Zhenys: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Kairat: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Zhenys scores 0.78 and concedes 1.11 goals per match. Kairat scores 1.50 and concedes 0.50. League average: 2.06 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Zhenys 33%, Kairat 40%. Over 2.5: Zhenys 22%, Kairat 30%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots and style
Kairat has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.21. Zhenys: 10.1 shots per match, Kairat: 15.4.
Match halves
Zhenys: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.33. Kairat: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.70.
Goals by minute
Zhenys: 0-15 (3 goals). Kairat: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.06 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Kairat is the clear favorite on paper: they sit 1st while Zhenys are 8th, with a season record of 6-4-0 versus the home side’s 3-4-2; visitors have scored 15 goals this season compared to Zhenys’ 7. Offensive metrics confirm this: Kairat averages 15 shots and 4.83 on-target per away match with xG 1.62, whereas Zhenys at home register 10.25 shots and 3 on target with xG 1.22. At the same time Zhenys have very good recent form — last 5: 4 wins and 1 draw, 9 goals and 2.6 points per game in that run — while Kairat’s last 5 are 2-2-1, 7 goals and 1.6 points per game, which mitigates some risk. Defensively the advantage lies with the visitors: Kairat concedes 0.5 goals per away game versus Zhenys’ 0.75 conceded at home and has lower xGA 0.98 vs 1.27, which limits the hosts’ upside. Considering the superior season record and higher chance creation (15 vs 10.25 shots, xG 1.62 vs 1.22), I tip an away win; proposed probabilities: away 55%, home 25%, draw 20%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I predict No BTTS as more likely (65% vs 35%), primarily due to the hosts' dominant defense: Zhenys has a season clean sheet rate of 75% and only 25% of home matches with BTTS, while Kairat has a season BTTS of 50%. The hosts concede on average 0.5 goals per game this season and only 0.8 in the last 5, whereas the visitors concede 0.5 this season but 1.2 in the last 5, indicating greater defensive instability from the visitors. In terms of chance creation both teams have similar xG: 1.69 for the hosts and 1.62 for the visitors, and comparable shots on target (5.0 vs 4.83), but the hosts have a higher shot conversion rate 14% vs 7%, suggesting the hosts convert chances more often without conceding frequently. Considering the league BTTS rate of 48% and the last 5 matches (40% hosts vs 80% visitors), the stronger signal is the hosts' high clean sheet percentage, therefore I recommend a 'No' bet.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Data indicate Zhenys has an attacking xG of 1.69 and scores on average 2.25 goals per home game, while Kairat has an attacking xG of 1.62 and averages 1.00 goal away; xG conceded are 1.10 for Zhenys and 0.98 for Kairat. The average offensive and defensive xG of the opponent (1.69 vs 0.98) yields a baseline of ~1.34 goals for the home side and ~1.36 for the away side, which after adjusting for Zhenys’ higher finishing efficiency (conversion 14% vs 7%) I corrected to ~1.50 for Zhenys and ~1.20 for Kairat, totaling ~2.70 goals. A Poisson model with λ=2.70 gives ~75% probability for at least 2 goals (Over 1.5), ~51% for 3+ goals (Over 2.5) and ~29% for 4+ goals (Over 3.5), signaling the strongest edge on the lower line. Additionally, Zhenys has 75% of home matches this season with Over 1.5 and a higher shot conversion, which reinforces the expectation that at least two goals are likely. Therefore I recommend playing Over 1.5 as the most justified line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal points to 2/1 (away team leads at the break, home team wins after full-time). In the last 5 matches Kairat led at the half in 3 of 5 games (60%), while Zhenys did so in only 1 of 5 (20%), and seasonally the visitors took a lead at the break in 50% of away fixtures, which increases Kairat’s chance to be leading at the interval. At the same time Zhenys are a very strong home side: they win 75% of home matches, score on average 2.25 goals per game and concede 0.5, and in the second half they score on average 1.25 goals and win the second half in 75% of cases, which favors a turnaround. The xG of both teams is similar (1.69 vs 1.62), but Zhenys have a clearly better shot conversion rate (14% vs 7%), so a higher probability should be assigned to a reversal after the break. Therefore I assign the highest probability to the 2/1 scenario (30%), with significant support for x/1 (20%) and 1/1 (10%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Zhenys | Kairat | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kairat is 10% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Zhenys · 2.2 pts / match - Kairat
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kairat is 92% better for: goals scored per match.
0.78 goals / match - Zhenys · 1.5 goals / match - Kairat
Kairat is 122% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.11 goals / match - Zhenys · 0.5 goals / match - Kairat
Zhenys scores in 56% of matches (5 of 9 matches), while Kairat keeps a clean sheet in 60% (6 of 10 matches).
Kairat scores in 90% of matches (9 of 10 matches), while Zhenys keeps a clean sheet in 44% (4 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Zhenys
Over / Under - Kairat
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kairat is 39% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / match - Zhenys · 1.7 pts / match - Kairat
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Zhenys - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Kairat - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Zhenys
Kairat
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Zhenys | Liga | Kairat | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.89 | 2.06 | • 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 48% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 22% | 35% | ▼ 30% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 44% | 32% | ▲ 60% |
| Goal before half-time | • 56% | 57% | ▲ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 69% | ▼ 60% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Zhenys 0 - 0 - 2 Kairat. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Zhenys vs Kairat?
The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished Zhenys 1:2 Kairat. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Zhenys and Kairat?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Zhenys won 0, Kairat won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Zhenys vs Kairat?
Zhenys score 0.78 goals per game on average and Kairat 1.50. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Zhenys's matches and 40% of Kairat's.
What form are Zhenys and Kairat in?
Over the last 5 games Zhenys have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Kairat 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Zhenys vs Kairat?
The statistical background for Zhenys vs Kairat — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.