Kazakhstan - Kazakhstan Premier LeagueOrtalıq Stadion JetisuData current as of 20 October 2026

Zhetysu vs Tobol: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Zhetysu vs Tobol: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Zhetysu play Tobol in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The match date is 24 October 2026. Venue: Ortalıq Stadion Jetisu.

Current form

Zhetysu: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Tobol: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Zhetysu scores 1.00 and concedes 1.64 goals per match. Tobol scores 1.39 and concedes 1.36. League average: 2.54 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Zhetysu 54%, Tobol 57%. Over 2.5: Zhetysu 54%, Tobol 50%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots and style

Tobol has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.12. Zhetysu: 9.1 shots per match, Tobol: 13.3.

Match halves

Zhetysu: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.61. Tobol: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.64.

Goals by minute

Zhetysu: 76-90+ (8 goals). Tobol: 16-30 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.54 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-2. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.88)
(3.50)
(2.10)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1Goals scored / match1.39
ZhetysuTobol
1.64Goals conceded / match1.36
ZhetysuTobol
51%Average possession54%
ZhetysuTobol
3.46Shots on target / match4.39
ZhetysuTobol

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.14Shots per match13.25
ZhetysuTobol
3.46Shots on target4.39
ZhetysuTobol
10.9%Shot conversion10.5%
ZhetysuTobol
51%Possession54%
ZhetysuTobol
1.12xG for1.55
ZhetysuTobol
1.33xG against1.6
ZhetysuTobol

Shooting quality

Zhetysu: BalancedTobol: Balanced
ZhetysuTobol
Accuracy (shots on target)38%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Tobol is 100% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Zhetysu · 2.4 pts / match - Tobol

Zhetysu
WLLLW
Season result split
21% W25% D54% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-7-15
0.89 pts / match · goal difference -18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-3-6
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
LLWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 0.93Opponent xG: 1.24BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Tobol
WWLWW
Season result split
43% W14% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
12-4-12
1.43 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-10
Last 5 away
2-1-2
DLWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.69Opponent xG: 1.49BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Tobol is 39% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Zhetysu · 1.39 goals / match - Tobol

Tobol is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.64 goals / match - Zhetysu · 1.36 goals / match - Tobol

Zhetysu scoring profile: very strong

Zhetysu scores in 68% of matches (19 of 28 matches), while Tobol keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 28 matches).

Tobol scoring profile: very strong

Tobol scores in 71% of matches (20 of 28 matches), while Zhetysu keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 28 matches).

28Goals scored (season)39
ZhetysuTobol
46Goals conceded (season)38
ZhetysuTobol
2.64Average goals in match2.75
ZhetysuTobol
4Goals scored (last 5)13
ZhetysuTobol
5Goals conceded (last 5)7
ZhetysuTobol

How often they score at least...

68%1 goal71%
ZhetysuTobol
29%2 goals39%
ZhetysuTobol
4%3 goals21%
ZhetysuTobol
0%4 goals7%
ZhetysuTobol

How often they concede at least...

79%1 goal86%
ZhetysuTobol
50%2 goals39%
ZhetysuTobol
25%3 goals7%
ZhetysuTobol
11%4 goals4%
ZhetysuTobol

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

11%BTTS at half-time36%
ZhetysuTobol
0%BTTS in both halves4%
ZhetysuTobol
11%Scored in both halves29%
ZhetysuTobol

BTTS and goal count

46%Min. 3 goals and BTTS46%
ZhetysuTobol
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
ZhetysuTobol
40%BTTS - last 580%
ZhetysuTobol

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

68%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
ZhetysuTobol
21%Min. 2 goals before half-time39%
ZhetysuTobol
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time18%
ZhetysuTobol

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
ZhetysuTobol
46%Min. 2 goals after half-time39%
ZhetysuTobol
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
ZhetysuTobol

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Tobol is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.04 pts / match - Zhetysu · 1.54 pts / match - Tobol

Zhetysu - half-time state
21% leading39% draw39% trailing
Tobol - half-time state
36% leading46% draw18% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.04Points per match (1st half)1.54
ZhetysuTobol
0.39Goals scored (1st half)0.75
ZhetysuTobol
0.64Goals conceded (1st half)0.61
ZhetysuTobol
1.04Average goals (1st half)1.36
ZhetysuTobol
54%Clean sheet before half-time50%
ZhetysuTobol
68%No goal before half-time43%
ZhetysuTobol

After half-time (2nd half)

0.89Points per match (2nd half)1.18
ZhetysuTobol
0.61Goals scored (2nd half)0.64
ZhetysuTobol
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.75
ZhetysuTobol
1.61Average goals (2nd half)1.39
ZhetysuTobol
39%Clean sheet after half-time46%
ZhetysuTobol
54%No goal after half-time57%
ZhetysuTobol

Zhetysu - second-half results

14% W46% D39% L
29
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
-11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.04
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Tobol - second-half results

29% W32% D39% L
43
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
33
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.54
PPG before half-time
Lead holding119%

Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Zhetysu - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.40
Goals scored / match0.20.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match0.81.0
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Tobol - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.002.20
Goals scored / match1.41.2
Goals conceded / match1.20.2
Average goals in match2.61.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet20%80%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+1+5
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 7

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Zhetysu
ScoredConceded
4
6
0-15
2
8
16-30
5
4
31-45
3
9
46-60
6
7
61-75
8
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

Tobol
ScoredConceded
7
4
0-15
10
6
16-30
4
7
31-45
8
7
46-60
7
9
61-75
3
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.70
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
56%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+24%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
48%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Zhetysu

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.21
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.43
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
69%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
152%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

Tobol

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
129%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
94%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.97
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
8% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
8%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).

Teams vs league

ZhetysuLigaTobol
Average goals in match▲ 2.642.54▲ 2.75
Both teams scored• 54%55%▲ 57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 54%50%• 50%
Clean sheets▼ 21%26%▼ 14%
Goal before half-time• 68%68%▲ 71%
Goal after half-time• 75%76%▲ 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.54
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.45
Home goals / match
1.08
Away goals / match
+34%
Home attack advantage
+26%
Home defence advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Zhetysu 0 - 1 - 2 Tobol. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Tobol
2 : 2
Zhetysu
FK Zhetysu Taldykorgan
1 : 2
FK Tobol Kostanay
FK Tobol Kostanay
2 : 1
FK Zhetysu Taldykorgan

FAQ

When do Zhetysu and Tobol play?

Zhetysu face Tobol on 24 October 2026 in Kazakhstan Premier League at Ortalıq Stadion Jetisu. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Zhetysu and Tobol?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Zhetysu won 0, Tobol won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Zhetysu vs Tobol?

Zhetysu score 1.00 goals per game on average and Tobol 1.39. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Zhetysu's matches and 57% of Tobol's.

What form are Zhetysu and Tobol in?

Over the last 5 games Zhetysu have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Tobol 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Zhetysu vs Tobol?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.