Zira vs Karvan FK: match statistics
Zira are the clear favorites for this match, sitting in 4th place in the table with a solid record of 8 wins and just 3 losses this season. The hosts are showing impressive home form with 50% clean sheets and an average of 1.4 goals scored per match, while conceding only 0.8 goals. Karvan FK are in 12th place with a disastrous away record - just 1 win, 15 losses, and a goal difference of -12 on the road. The visitors have lost 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of just 0.78 goals and conceding 2.11 goals per away game. xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.5 vs 0.85), and Karvan's 44% missed chances rate confirms their offensive struggles. Considering Zira's advantage in possession (60% vs 40%), shot efficiency, and current form, a confident home win is the most likely scenario.
Zira vs Karvan FK: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Zira played Karvan FK in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match was played on 14 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Zira: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Karvan FK: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Zira scores 1.42 and concedes 1.05 goals per match. Karvan FK scores 0.68 and concedes 2.16. League average: 2.54 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Zira 58%, Karvan FK 53%. Over 2.5: Zira 47%, Karvan FK 58%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Zira has higher xG: 1.46 vs 0.86. Zira: 11.1 shots per match, Karvan FK: 6.4.
Match halves
Zira: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.68. Karvan FK: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.32.
Goals by minute
Zira: 31-45+ (10 goals). Karvan FK: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premyer Liqası: 2.54 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Zira are the clear favorites for this match, sitting in 4th place in the table with a solid record of 8 wins and just 3 losses this season. The hosts are showing impressive home form with 50% clean sheets and an average of 1.4 goals scored per match, while conceding only 0.8 goals. Karvan FK are in 12th place with a disastrous away record - just 1 win, 15 losses, and a goal difference of -12 on the road. The visitors have lost 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of just 0.78 goals and conceding 2.11 goals per away game. xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.5 vs 0.85), and Karvan's 44% missed chances rate confirms their offensive struggles. Considering Zira's advantage in possession (60% vs 40%), shot efficiency, and current form, a confident home win is the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Zira | Karvan FK | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Zira is 400% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Zira · 0.2 pts / match - Karvan FK
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Zira is 109% better for: goals scored per match.
1.42 goals / match - Zira · 0.68 goals / match - Karvan FK
Zira is 106% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.05 goals / match - Zira · 2.16 goals / match - Karvan FK
Zira scores in 79% of matches (15 of 19 matches), while Karvan FK keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 19 matches).
Karvan FK scores in 53% of matches (10 of 19 matches), while Zira keeps a clean sheet in 37% (7 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Zira
Over / Under - Karvan FK
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Zira is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.68 pts / match - Zira · 1.05 pts / match - Karvan FK
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Zira - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 42%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Karvan FK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 5%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Zira
Karvan FK
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| Zira | Liga | Karvan FK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.47 | 2.54 | ▲ 2.84 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 46% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 47% | 48% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 37% | 32% | ▼ 5% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 68% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 75% | • 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Zira 1 - 0 - 0 Karvan FK. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Zira vs Karvan FK?
The Premyer Liqası match finished Zira 1:0 Karvan FK. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Zira vs Karvan FK?
Zira score 1.42 goals per game on average and Karvan FK 0.68. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Zira's matches and 53% of Karvan FK's.
What form are Zira and Karvan FK in?
Over the last 5 games Zira have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Karvan FK 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Zira vs Karvan FK?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Zira vs Karvan FK: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.