Zira vs Qarabağ: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Zira played Qarabağ in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match was played on 6 December 2025. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Zira: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Qarabağ: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Zira scores 1.62 and concedes 0.92 goals per match. Qarabağ scores 1.92 and concedes 0.42. League average: 2.48 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Zira 54%, Qarabağ 25%. Over 2.5: Zira 46%, Qarabağ 25%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 47%.

xG, shots and style

Qarabağ has higher xG: 2.00 vs 1.46. Zira: 11.4 shots per match, Qarabağ: 15.6.

Match halves

Zira: half-time lead 54%, second-half goals 0.85. Qarabağ: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 1.33.

Goals by minute

Zira: 31-45+ (8 goals). Qarabağ: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premyer Liqası: 2.48 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 47%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

38Possession (%)62
ZiraQarabağ
10Shots13
ZiraQarabağ
3Shots on target2
ZiraQarabağ
1.26xG1.77
ZiraQarabağ
3Corners2
ZiraQarabağ
58Dangerous attacks111
ZiraQarabağ
12Fouls10
ZiraQarabağ
0Cards3
ZiraQarabağ

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.62Goals scored / match1.92
ZiraQarabağ
0.92Goals conceded / match0.42
ZiraQarabağ
61%Average possession66%
ZiraQarabağ
4.77Shots on target / match5.5
ZiraQarabağ

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.38Shots per match15.58
ZiraQarabağ
4.77Shots on target5.5
ZiraQarabağ
14.2%Shot conversion12.3%
ZiraQarabağ
61%Possession66%
ZiraQarabağ
1.46xG for2
ZiraQarabağ
1.06xG against0.8
ZiraQarabağ

Shooting quality

Zira: Efficient finishingQarabağ: Dominant
ZiraQarabağ
Accuracy (shots on target)42%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Zira
WWDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
54% W38% D8% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-5-1
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-3-0
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
WDWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.29Opponent xG: 0.73BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Qarabağ
DWWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
75% W17% D8% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-2-1
2.42 pts / match · goal difference +18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-0-0
Last 5 away
4-0-0
WWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 2.08Opponent xG: 0.94BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Qarabağ is 19% better for: goals scored per match.

1.62 goals / match - Zira · 1.92 goals / match - Qarabağ

Qarabağ is 119% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.92 goals / match - Zira · 0.42 goals / match - Qarabağ

Zira scoring profile: mixed

Zira scores in 85% of matches (11 of 13 matches), while Qarabağ keeps a clean sheet in 67% (8 of 12 matches).

Qarabağ scoring profile: very strong

Qarabağ scores in 83% of matches (10 of 12 matches), while Zira keeps a clean sheet in 38% (5 of 13 matches).

21Goals scored (season)23
ZiraQarabağ
12Goals conceded (season)5
ZiraQarabağ
2.54Average goals in match2.33
ZiraQarabağ
7Goals scored (last 5)10
ZiraQarabağ
2Goals conceded (last 5)2
ZiraQarabağ

How often they score at least...

85%1 goal83%
ZiraQarabağ
46%2 goals67%
ZiraQarabağ
15%3 goals17%
ZiraQarabağ
8%4 goals17%
ZiraQarabağ

How often they concede at least...

62%1 goal33%
ZiraQarabağ
23%2 goals8%
ZiraQarabağ
8%3 goals0%
ZiraQarabağ
0%4 goals0%
ZiraQarabağ

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

8%BTTS at half-time8%
ZiraQarabağ
0%BTTS in both halves8%
ZiraQarabağ
15%Scored in both halves33%
ZiraQarabağ

BTTS and goal count

31%Min. 3 goals and BTTS17%
ZiraQarabağ
15%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
ZiraQarabağ
20%BTTS - last 520%
ZiraQarabağ

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

85%Min. 1 goal before half-time58%
ZiraQarabağ
23%Min. 2 goals before half-time17%
ZiraQarabağ
15%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
ZiraQarabağ

2nd half

69%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
ZiraQarabağ
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
ZiraQarabağ
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
ZiraQarabağ

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Zira is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.77 pts / match - Zira · 1.67 pts / match - Qarabağ

Zira - half-time state
54% leading15% draw31% trailing
Qarabağ - half-time state
42% leading42% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.77Points per match (1st half)1.67
ZiraQarabağ
0.77Goals scored (1st half)0.58
ZiraQarabağ
0.46Goals conceded (1st half)0.25
ZiraQarabağ
1.23Average goals (1st half)0.83
ZiraQarabağ
62%Clean sheet before half-time75%
ZiraQarabağ
46%No goal before half-time58%
ZiraQarabağ

After half-time (2nd half)

1.46Points per match (2nd half)2.42
ZiraQarabağ
0.85Goals scored (2nd half)1.33
ZiraQarabağ
0.46Goals conceded (2nd half)0.17
ZiraQarabağ
1.31Average goals (2nd half)1.5
ZiraQarabağ
62%Clean sheet after half-time83%
ZiraQarabağ
54%No goal after half-time25%
ZiraQarabağ

Zira - second-half results

38% W31% D31% L
23
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.77
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 54% of matches and wins 54%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Qarabağ - second-half results

75% W17% D8% L
20
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
+14
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding179%

Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Zira - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.80
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.20.2
Average goals in match0.61.2
1 goal60%40%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+1+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Qarabağ - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.60
Goals scored / match0.41.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.2
Average goals in match0.61.8
1 goal20%80%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference+1+7
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Zira
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
1
4
16-30
8
2
31-45
1
0
46-60
3
4
61-75
7
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Qarabağ
ScoredConceded
3
0
0-15
2
0
16-30
2
3
31-45
4
0
46-60
4
1
61-75
8
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.44
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
40%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-18%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
71%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Zira

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.40
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.30
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
132%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
74%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.60
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Qarabağ

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.30
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
154%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
34%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.18
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.8
Late goals
35% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
35%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).

Teams vs league

ZiraLigaQarabağ
Average goals in match 2.542.48 2.33
Both teams scored 54%44% 25%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 46%47% 25%
Clean sheets 38%32% 67%
Goal before half-time 85%64% 58%
Goal after half-time 69%75% 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.48
Average goals per match
44%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.23
Home goals / match
1.25
Away goals / match
+-2%
Home attack advantage
+-2%
Home defence advantage
+-4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. ZiraSubstitutionOn: Leroy-Jacques MickelsOff: Issa Djibrilla
  2. ZiraSubstitutionOn: Ceyhun NuriyevOff: Giorgi Papunashvili
  3. QarabağSubstitutionOn: Marko JankovićOff: Camilo Andres Durán Marquez
  4. ZiraSubstitutionOn: Eldar KuliievOff: İsmayıl İbrahimli
  5. QarabağYellow cardAbdellah Zoubir
  6. QarabağYellow cardJonathan Montiel Caballero
  7. QarabağYellow cardMarko Janković

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Zira 0 - 1 - 0 Qarabağ. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Qarabağ Ağdam FK
1 : 1
Zira IK

FAQ

What was the result of Zira vs Qarabağ?

The Premyer Liqası match finished Zira 1:1 Qarabağ. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Zira vs Qarabağ?

Zira score 1.62 goals per game on average and Qarabağ 1.92. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Zira's matches and 25% of Qarabağ's.

What form are Zira and Qarabağ in?

Over the last 5 games Zira have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Qarabağ 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Zira vs Qarabağ?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Zira vs Qarabağ: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.