Znicz Biała Piska vs Swit: match statistics
Znicz Biała Piska vs Swit: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Znicz Biała Piska played Swit in 3 Liga Group 1 (Poland). The match was played on 9 May 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Znicz Biała Piska: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Swit: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Znicz Biała Piska scores 0.66 and concedes 2.97 goals per match. Swit scores 1.45 and concedes 1.93. League average: 3.36 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Znicz Biała Piska 45%, Swit 59%. Over 2.5: Znicz Biała Piska 72%, Swit 66%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 67%.
xG, shots and style
Swit has higher xG: 1.22 vs 0.95. Znicz Biała Piska: 4.5 shots per match, Swit: 6.5.
Match halves
Znicz Biała Piska: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.38. Swit: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Znicz Biała Piska: 61-75 (5 goals). Swit: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 1: 3.36 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 67%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Znicz Biała Piska sits 18th with a season record of 3-2-24, while Swit is 11th at 10-5-14. Offensively the visitors are clearly superior: Swit has scored 42 goals this season versus Znicz’s 19, with goals per game 0.79 for the hosts against 1.14 for Swit. Despite similar attacking xG (Znicz xG 1.15 vs Swit xG 1.18), the hosts’ defense is noticeably weaker — Znicz have conceded 86 goals this season compared to 56 for Swit and allow opponents 2.16 xG per game versus 1.75 for the visitors (≈0.41 xG difference). In the last 5 matches Znicz have scored only 1 and conceded 8 (averaging 0.6 points per game), while Swit have scored 7 and conceded 13 (averaging 0.8 points per game); additionally Swit finish matches without a goal less often (21% vs 36%). Considering the visitors’ advantage in goals scored (42 vs 19), superior possession (52% vs 44%) and lower xG against, I tip a Swit victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Analysis indicates a bias toward the 'BTTS - Yes' scenario: seasonal BTTS rates are 60% for Znicz and 57% for Swit, while league-wide BTTS occurs in 63% of matches, indicating a strong trend toward both teams scoring. Both sides regularly concede: average goals conceded are 1.4 for Znicz and 2.5 for Swit, with xG against at 1.49 vs 1.75, meaning opponents frequently create chances. Caution arises from Znicz's form over the last 5 matches — 0% BTTS and only 0.2 goals scored on average, whereas Swit has 60% BTTS and 1.4 goals per game in their last 5; this lowers confidence in the pick but does not erase the league-level statistical advantage. Additionally, season offensive xG is 1.25 for Znicz and 1.18 for Swit, with shots on target rates of 3.69 vs 3.44 and conversion rates of 20% vs 12%, suggesting at least one side should score; therefore I assess BTTS 'Yes' at 65% versus 'No' at 35%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The forecast is based on xG and seasonal averages: hosts have xG_for 1.25, visitors xG_for 1.18, while xG_against is 1.49 for hosts and 1.75 for visitors — yielding preliminary values (1.50 for hosts and 1.34 for visitors, total 2.84). Notable is the hosts' high finishing rate (conversion rate 20% versus 12% for visitors) and a league-level home advantage of about 24%, so the adjusted forecast is 1.60 goals for Znicz and 1.30 for Świt, total expected goals 2.90. Match data confirm a tendency toward higher scores: Over 1.5 landed 73% of the time for hosts and 86% for visitors, and the league averages 3.38 goals per match; additionally both teams have high BTTS rates (60% hosts, 57% visitors). As a result the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (estimated 86% probability), Over 2.5 has solid backing (68%), while Over 3.5 is less likely (42%) — seasonally Under 3.5 occurs 60%/57% for hosts/visitors. Given the 2.90 goals forecast and high seasonal Over 1.5 rates, I recommend betting on Over 1.5 as the best option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
At half-time the hosts most often register a draw: drawingAtHTPercentage_home = 60% with an average of 1.0 goals to the break for Znicz versus 0.36 for Świt, indicating frequent 0–0/1–1 or otherwise balanced first halves. Over full matches Znicz posts superior metrics: 1.73 goals scored per match versus 1.14 for Świt and lower average goals conceded 1.4 vs 2.5, and the home win percentage is 40% compared to 29% for the visitors, which confers an advantage to the home side by full-time. The hosts convert chances better (shot conversion 20% vs 12%) with a similar xG 1.25 vs 1.18, so they have higher prospects of breaking the deadlock after the break. Therefore the most reliable signal is a draw at half-time and a home win at full-time (X/1, 28%); I combine this with assessments of 1/1 = 12% and 1/2 = 4%, yielding approximately a ~45% probability of a home win, ~22% for a draw at full-time and ~33% for an away win.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Znicz Biała Piska | Swit | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.46 | 0.58 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Swit is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Znicz Biała Piska · 0.8 pts / match - Swit
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Swit is 120% better for: goals scored per match.
0.66 goals / match - Znicz Biała Piska · 1.45 goals / match - Swit
Swit is 54% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.97 goals / match - Znicz Biała Piska · 1.93 goals / match - Swit
Znicz Biała Piska scores in 52% of matches (15 of 29 matches), while Swit keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 29 matches).
Swit scores in 79% of matches (23 of 29 matches), while Znicz Biała Piska keeps a clean sheet in 10% (3 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Znicz Biała Piska
Over / Under - Swit
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Swit is 78% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.72 pts / match - Znicz Biała Piska · 1.28 pts / match - Swit
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Znicz Biała Piska - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 10%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Swit - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (24). Late-goal balance (76-90): -19 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Znicz Biała Piska
Swit
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 1).
Teams vs league
| Znicz Biała Piska | Liga | Swit | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.62 | 3.36 | • 3.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 63% | ▼ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 72% | 67% | • 66% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 10% | 20% | • 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 72% | 74% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 83% | 86% | • 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Znicz Biała Piska 0 - 0 - 1 Swit. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Znicz Biała Piska vs Swit?
The 3 Liga Group 1 match finished Znicz Biała Piska 0:2 Swit. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Znicz Biała Piska vs Swit?
Znicz Biała Piska score 0.66 goals per game on average and Swit 1.45. The 3 Liga Group 1 average is 3.36 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Znicz Biała Piska's matches and 59% of Swit's.
What form are Znicz Biała Piska and Swit in?
Over the last 5 games Znicz Biała Piska have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Swit 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Znicz Biała Piska vs Swit?
The statistical background for Znicz Biała Piska vs Swit — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


