Zob Ahan vs Fajr Sepasi: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates balanced chances for both teams, with a slight advantage for a draw scenario. Zob Ahan shows very poor offensive form at home (just 0.44 goals per match, 67% of matches without a scored goal), but impresses defensively with 56% clean sheets and only 0.44 goals conceded on average per home match. Fajr Sepasi has better form in their last five matches (1.8 points per match compared to the hosts' 0.6) and a more effective attack away (1.11 goals on average), but at the same time concedes more goals (1.0 per match). A key factor is Zob Ahan's tendency for draws – as many as 67% of home matches end in a share of points, which, combined with Fajr Sepasi's 56% draws away, strongly suggests a goalless or low-scoring draw. The difference in xG (1.58 vs 0.76 in favor of the hosts in attack, but 1.29 vs 1.52 in defense) further confirms the balanced nature of this encounter.
Zob Ahan vs Fajr Sepasi: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Zob Ahan played Fajr Sepasi in Persian Gulf Pro League (Iran). The match was played on 2 February 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Zob Ahan: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Fajr Sepasi: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Zob Ahan scores 0.50 and concedes 0.83 goals per match. Fajr Sepasi scores 1.11 and concedes 1.17. League average: 1.72 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Zob Ahan 22%, Fajr Sepasi 56%. Over 2.5: Zob Ahan 11%, Fajr Sepasi 44%. League level: BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 26%.
xG, shots and style
Zob Ahan has higher xG: 1.32 vs 0.76. Zob Ahan: 4.7 shots per match, Fajr Sepasi: 0.8.
Match halves
Zob Ahan: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.17. Fajr Sepasi: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Zob Ahan: 31-45+ (3 goals). Fajr Sepasi: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Persian Gulf Pro League: 1.72 goals per match, BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 26%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates balanced chances for both teams, with a slight advantage for a draw scenario. Zob Ahan shows very poor offensive form at home (just 0.44 goals per match, 67% of matches without a scored goal), but impresses defensively with 56% clean sheets and only 0.44 goals conceded on average per home match. Fajr Sepasi has better form in their last five matches (1.8 points per match compared to the hosts' 0.6) and a more effective attack away (1.11 goals on average), but at the same time concedes more goals (1.0 per match). A key factor is Zob Ahan's tendency for draws – as many as 67% of home matches end in a share of points, which, combined with Fajr Sepasi's 56% draws away, strongly suggests a goalless or low-scoring draw. The difference in xG (1.58 vs 0.76 in favor of the hosts in attack, but 1.29 vs 1.52 in defense) further confirms the balanced nature of this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Zob Ahan | Fajr Sepasi | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | -27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.28 | 0.92 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.00 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fajr Sepasi is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Zob Ahan · 1.8 pts / match - Fajr Sepasi
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fajr Sepasi is 122% better for: goals scored per match.
0.5 goals / match - Zob Ahan · 1.11 goals / match - Fajr Sepasi
Zob Ahan is 41% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.83 goals / match - Zob Ahan · 1.17 goals / match - Fajr Sepasi
Zob Ahan scores in 28% of matches (5 of 18 matches), while Fajr Sepasi keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
Fajr Sepasi scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Zob Ahan keeps a clean sheet in 44% (8 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Zob Ahan
Over / Under - Fajr Sepasi
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fajr Sepasi is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / match - Zob Ahan · 1.28 pts / match - Fajr Sepasi
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Zob Ahan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 11%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Fajr Sepasi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Zob Ahan
Fajr Sepasi
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Persian Gulf Pro League).
Teams vs league
| Zob Ahan | Liga | Fajr Sepasi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.33 | 1.72 | ▲ 2.28 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 22% | 37% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 11% | 26% | ▲ 44% |
| Clean sheets | • 44% | 43% | ▼ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 44% | 51% | ▼ 44% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 60% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Zob Ahan 0 - 0 - 1 Fajr Sepasi. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Zob Ahan vs Fajr Sepasi?
The Persian Gulf Pro League match finished Zob Ahan 2:1 Fajr Sepasi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Zob Ahan vs Fajr Sepasi?
Zob Ahan score 0.50 goals per game on average and Fajr Sepasi 1.11. The Persian Gulf Pro League average is 1.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 26% of games. Both teams score in 22% of Zob Ahan's matches and 56% of Fajr Sepasi's.
What form are Zob Ahan and Fajr Sepasi in?
Over the last 5 games Zob Ahan have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Fajr Sepasi 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Zob Ahan vs Fajr Sepasi?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.