Ukraine - Ukrainian Premier LeagueStadion Dynamo im. Valery Lobanovsky (Kyjiv (Kiev))Data current as of 15 October 2026

Zorya vs Chornomorets: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Zorya vs Chornomorets: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Zorya play Chornomorets in Ukrainian Premier League (Ukraine). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Stadion Dynamo im. Valery Lobanovsky (Kyjiv (Kiev)).

Current form

Zorya: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Chornomorets: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Zorya scores 1.25 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Chornomorets scores 0.57 and concedes 1.29. League average: 2.38 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Zorya 63%, Chornomorets 43%. Over 2.5: Zorya 50%, Chornomorets 29%. League level: BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots and style

Zorya has higher xG: 1.26 vs 0.70. Zorya: 10.0 shots per match, Chornomorets: 4.7.

Match halves

Zorya: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.63. Chornomorets: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.29.

Goals by minute

Zorya: 31-45+ (3 goals). Chornomorets: 0-15 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ukrainian Premier League: 2.38 goals per match, BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.63)
(3.70)
(5.20)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.25Goals scored / match0.57
ZoryaChornomorets
1.5Goals conceded / match1.29
ZoryaChornomorets
51%Average possession43%
ZoryaChornomorets
4.88Shots on target / match1.86
ZoryaChornomorets

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10Shots per match4.71
ZoryaChornomorets
4.88Shots on target1.86
ZoryaChornomorets
12.5%Shot conversion12.1%
ZoryaChornomorets
51%Possession43%
ZoryaChornomorets
1.26xG for0.7
ZoryaChornomorets
1.08xG against1.46
ZoryaChornomorets

Shooting quality

Zorya: BalancedChornomorets: Counter-attacking
ZoryaChornomorets
Accuracy (shots on target)49%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Zorya
LDDLW
Season result split
38% W25% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-3
1.38 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-3
Last 5 at home
1-0-3
WLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.04Opponent xG: 1.06BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Chornomorets
WDLDL
Season result split
14% W29% D57% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-4
0.71 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-2
Last 5 away
0-0-2
LL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 0.80Opponent xG: 1.39BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Zorya is 119% better for: goals scored per match.

1.25 goals / match - Zorya · 0.57 goals / match - Chornomorets

Chornomorets is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.5 goals / match - Zorya · 1.29 goals / match - Chornomorets

Zorya scoring profile: very strong

Zorya scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Chornomorets keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).

Chornomorets scoring profile: strong

Chornomorets scores in 57% of matches (4 of 7 matches), while Zorya keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).

10Goals scored (season)4
ZoryaChornomorets
12Goals conceded (season)9
ZoryaChornomorets
2.75Average goals in match1.86
ZoryaChornomorets
5Goals scored (last 5)3
ZoryaChornomorets
8Goals conceded (last 5)5
ZoryaChornomorets

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal57%
ZoryaChornomorets
38%2 goals0%
ZoryaChornomorets
13%3 goals0%
ZoryaChornomorets
0%4 goals0%
ZoryaChornomorets

How often they concede at least...

88%1 goal71%
ZoryaChornomorets
38%2 goals57%
ZoryaChornomorets
25%3 goals0%
ZoryaChornomorets
0%4 goals0%
ZoryaChornomorets

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time14%
ZoryaChornomorets
0%BTTS in both halves0%
ZoryaChornomorets
13%Scored in both halves0%
ZoryaChornomorets

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS29%
ZoryaChornomorets
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
ZoryaChornomorets
60%BTTS - last 540%
ZoryaChornomorets

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
ZoryaChornomorets
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
ZoryaChornomorets
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
ZoryaChornomorets

2nd half

88%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
ZoryaChornomorets
75%Min. 2 goals after half-time14%
ZoryaChornomorets
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
ZoryaChornomorets

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Zorya is 74% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.5 pts / match - Zorya · 0.86 pts / match - Chornomorets

Zorya - half-time state
38% leading38% draw25% trailing
Chornomorets - half-time state
14% leading43% draw43% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per match (1st half)0.86
ZoryaChornomorets
0.63Goals scored (1st half)0.29
ZoryaChornomorets
0.38Goals conceded (1st half)0.71
ZoryaChornomorets
1Average goals (1st half)1
ZoryaChornomorets
63%Clean sheet before half-time43%
ZoryaChornomorets
50%No goal before half-time71%
ZoryaChornomorets

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)0.86
ZoryaChornomorets
0.63Goals scored (2nd half)0.29
ZoryaChornomorets
1.13Goals conceded (2nd half)0.57
ZoryaChornomorets
1.75Average goals (2nd half)0.86
ZoryaChornomorets
38%Clean sheet after half-time43%
ZoryaChornomorets
63%No goal after half-time71%
ZoryaChornomorets

Zorya - second-half results

25% W25% D50% L
12
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.7

Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Chornomorets - second-half results

14% W43% D43% L
6
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.86
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Zorya - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.40
Goals scored / match0.80.2
Goals conceded / match0.41.2
Average goals in match1.21.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+2-5
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Chornomorets - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.20
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match0.80.8
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-20
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Zorya
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
1
2
16-30
3
0
31-45
1
2
46-60
3
4
61-75
1
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Chornomorets
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
1
16-30
1
3
31-45
1
3
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.30
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
53%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
43%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Zorya

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.18
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.43
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.42
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
93%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
146%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.38
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
10% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
10%

Chornomorets

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.76
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.04
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
55%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
96%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.29
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ukrainian Premier League).

Teams vs league

ZoryaLigaChornomorets
Average goals in match▲ 2.752.38▼ 1.86
Both teams scored▲ 63%42%• 43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 50%48%▼ 29%
Clean sheets▼ 13%37%▼ 29%
Goal before half-time▲ 75%65%▲ 71%
Goal after half-time▲ 88%73%▼ 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.38
Average goals per match
42%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
37%
Clean sheets
1.35
Home goals / match
1.03
Away goals / match
+31%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Zorya and Chornomorets play?

Zorya face Chornomorets on 17 October 2026 in Ukrainian Premier League at Stadion Dynamo im. Valery Lobanovsky (Kyjiv (Kiev)). The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Zorya vs Chornomorets?

Zorya score 1.25 goals per game on average and Chornomorets 0.57. The Ukrainian Premier League average is 2.38 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Zorya's matches and 43% of Chornomorets's.

What form are Zorya and Chornomorets in?

Over the last 5 games Zorya have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Chornomorets 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Zorya vs Chornomorets?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.