Zorya vs Karpaty: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Zorya played Karpaty in Ukrainian Premier League (Ukraine). The match was played on 5 December 2025. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Zorya: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Karpaty: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Zorya scores 1.29 and concedes 1.14 goals per match. Karpaty scores 1.29 and concedes 1.21. League average: 2.59 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Zorya 57%, Karpaty 50%. Over 2.5: Zorya 50%, Karpaty 36%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

Karpaty has higher xG: 1.80 vs 1.52. Zorya: 12.9 shots per match, Karpaty: 15.2.

Match halves

Zorya: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.57. Karpaty: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.79.

Goals by minute

Zorya: 31-45+ (4 goals). Karpaty: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ukrainian Premier League: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

42Possession (%)58
ZoryaKarpaty
12Shots10
ZoryaKarpaty
4Shots on target3
ZoryaKarpaty
1.24xG1.06
ZoryaKarpaty
2Corners9
ZoryaKarpaty
29Dangerous attacks30
ZoryaKarpaty
16Fouls11
ZoryaKarpaty
1Cards1
ZoryaKarpaty

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.29Goals scored / match1.29
ZoryaKarpaty
1.14Goals conceded / match1.21
ZoryaKarpaty
53%Average possession53%
ZoryaKarpaty
5.07Shots on target / match5.57
ZoryaKarpaty

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.93Shots per match15.21
ZoryaKarpaty
5.07Shots on target5.57
ZoryaKarpaty
9.9%Shot conversion8.5%
ZoryaKarpaty
53%Possession53%
ZoryaKarpaty
1.52xG for1.8
ZoryaKarpaty
1.39xG against1.4
ZoryaKarpaty

Shooting quality

Zorya: BalancedKarpaty: Attacking
ZoryaKarpaty
Accuracy (shots on target)39%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.23

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Zorya
DWWDL
Season result split
36% W36% R29% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-5-4
1.43 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-4-2
Last 5 at home
1-3-1
LDDWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.73Opponent xG: 1.16BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Karpaty
DWWLD
Season result split
29% W50% R21% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-7-3
1.36 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-3-0
Last 5 away
3-2-0
DWWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.71Opponent xG: 1.21BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Zorya is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.14 goals / match - Zorya · 1.21 goals / match - Karpaty

Zorya scoring profile: mixed

Zorya scores in 64% of matches (9 of 14 matches), while Karpaty keeps a clean sheet in 43% (6 of 14 matches).

Karpaty scoring profile: very strong

Karpaty scores in 79% of matches (11 of 14 matches), while Zorya keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 matches).

18Goals scored (season)18
ZoryaKarpaty
16Goals conceded (season)17
ZoryaKarpaty
2.43Average goals in match2.5
ZoryaKarpaty
6Goals scored (last 5)3
ZoryaKarpaty
5Goals conceded (last 5)2
ZoryaKarpaty

How often they score at least...

64%1 goal79%
ZoryaKarpaty
43%2 goals36%
ZoryaKarpaty
14%3 goals14%
ZoryaKarpaty
7%4 goals0%
ZoryaKarpaty

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal57%
ZoryaKarpaty
29%2 goals43%
ZoryaKarpaty
14%3 goals21%
ZoryaKarpaty
0%4 goals0%
ZoryaKarpaty

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time21%
ZoryaKarpaty
7%BTTS in both halves14%
ZoryaKarpaty
29%Scored in both halves29%
ZoryaKarpaty

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS36%
ZoryaKarpaty
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
ZoryaKarpaty
40%BTTS - last 520%
ZoryaKarpaty

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

57%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
ZoryaKarpaty
36%Min. 2 goals before half-time36%
ZoryaKarpaty
21%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
ZoryaKarpaty

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
ZoryaKarpaty
43%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
ZoryaKarpaty
7%Min. 3 goals after half-time21%
ZoryaKarpaty

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Zorya is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.5 pts / match - Zorya · 1.21 pts / match - Karpaty

Zorya - half-time state
36% leading43% draw21% trailing
Karpaty - half-time state
29% leading36% draw36% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per match (1st half)1.21
ZoryaKarpaty
0.71Goals scored (1st half)0.5
ZoryaKarpaty
0.43Goals conceded (1st half)0.71
ZoryaKarpaty
1.14Average goals (1st half)1.21
ZoryaKarpaty
71%Clean sheet before half-time50%
ZoryaKarpaty
57%No goal before half-time57%
ZoryaKarpaty

After half-time (2nd half)

0.93Points per match (2nd half)1.79
ZoryaKarpaty
0.57Goals scored (2nd half)0.79
ZoryaKarpaty
0.71Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
ZoryaKarpaty
1.29Average goals (2nd half)1.29
ZoryaKarpaty
36%Clean sheet after half-time71%
ZoryaKarpaty
50%No goal after half-time36%
ZoryaKarpaty

Zorya - second-half results

7% W71% R21% P
21
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Karpaty - second-half results

50% W29% R21% P
17
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.21
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Zorya - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.20
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.01.2
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Karpaty - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.20
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.20.2
Average goals in match0.60.4
1 goal40%40%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Zorya
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
3
1
16-30
4
4
31-45
4
2
46-60
2
3
61-75
2
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Karpaty
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
4
5
16-30
2
3
31-45
3
4
46-60
4
1
61-75
4
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.46
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
95%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
54%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
51%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Zorya

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.23
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.25
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
106%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
83%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
11% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
11%

Karpaty

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.40
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.32
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.51
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
94%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
99%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.24
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ukrainian Premier League).

Teams vs league

ZoryaLigaKarpaty
Average goals in match 2.432.59 2.50
Both teams scored 57%47% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%46% 36%
Clean sheets 29%32% 43%
Goal before half-time 57%71% 71%
Goal after half-time 71%74% 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.59
Average goals per match
47%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.22
Home goals / match
1.37
Away goals / match
+-11%
Home attack advantage
+-12%
Home defence advantage
+-5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. KarpatySubstitutionOn: Yaroslav KarabinOff: Oleh Fedor
  2. ZoryaSubstitutionOn: Navin MalyshOff: Roman Vantukh
  3. ZoryaSubstitutionOn: Jakov BašićOff: Petar Mićin
  4. KarpatyYellow cardVladislav Baboglo
  5. ZoryaYellow cardPylyp Budkivskyi

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of Zorya vs Karpaty?

The Ukrainian Premier League match finished Zorya 1:0 Karpaty. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Zorya vs Karpaty?

Zorya score 1.29 goals per game on average and Karpaty 1.29. The Ukrainian Premier League average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Zorya's matches and 50% of Karpaty's.

What form are Zorya and Karpaty in?

Over the last 5 games Zorya have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Karpaty 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Zorya vs Karpaty?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Zorya vs Karpaty: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.