Zorya vs SK Poltava: match statistics
Zorya is showing significantly better form and statistics at their home ground, where they achieve a 33% win rate and 44% clean sheets, with an average of only 1.11 goals conceded per match. SK Poltava is in 16th place in the table with a catastrophic away record - 67% losses, zero clean sheets, and a negative goal difference of -14. The visitors concede an average of 2.67 goals away, which, given their weak defense (xGA 2.08), represents a huge advantage for the hosts. Zorya also boasts better xG metrics (1.46 vs 1.07) and possession (52% vs 41%), which confirms their dominance in home matches. The form in the last five matches also speaks in favor of the hosts, who earn 0.8 points per match compared to just 0.6 points for the visitors.
Zorya vs SK Poltava: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Zorya played SK Poltava in Ukrainian Premier League (Ukraine). The match was played on 8 March 2026. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
Zorya: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. SK Poltava: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Zorya scores 1.22 and concedes 1.28 goals per match. SK Poltava scores 0.89 and concedes 2.39. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Zorya 56%, SK Poltava 61%. Over 2.5: Zorya 50%, SK Poltava 67%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Zorya has higher xG: 1.52 vs 0.98. Zorya: 13.1 shots per match, SK Poltava: 8.6.
Match halves
Zorya: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.44. SK Poltava: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.39.
Goals by minute
Zorya: 16-30 (5 goals). SK Poltava: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ukrainian Premier League: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Zorya is showing significantly better form and statistics at their home ground, where they achieve a 33% win rate and 44% clean sheets, with an average of only 1.11 goals conceded per match. SK Poltava is in 16th place in the table with a catastrophic away record - 67% losses, zero clean sheets, and a negative goal difference of -14. The visitors concede an average of 2.67 goals away, which, given their weak defense (xGA 2.08), represents a huge advantage for the hosts. Zorya also boasts better xG metrics (1.46 vs 1.07) and possession (52% vs 41%), which confirms their dominance in home matches. The form in the last five matches also speaks in favor of the hosts, who earn 0.8 points per match compared to just 0.6 points for the visitors.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Zorya | SK Poltava | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Zorya is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Zorya · 0.6 pts / match - SK Poltava
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Zorya is 37% better for: goals scored per match.
1.22 goals / match - Zorya · 0.89 goals / match - SK Poltava
Zorya is 87% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.28 goals / match - Zorya · 2.39 goals / match - SK Poltava
Zorya scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while SK Poltava keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 18 matches).
SK Poltava scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while Zorya keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Zorya
Over / Under - SK Poltava
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Zorya is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Zorya · 1.11 pts / match - SK Poltava
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Zorya - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 33%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
SK Poltava - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 11%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Zorya
SK Poltava
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ukrainian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Zorya | Liga | SK Poltava | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.50 | 2.55 | ▲ 3.28 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 43% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 47% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 28% | 34% | ▼ 6% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 70% | ▲ 94% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 75% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Zorya 1 - 0 - 0 SK Poltava. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Zorya vs SK Poltava?
The Ukrainian Premier League match finished Zorya 4:0 SK Poltava. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Zorya vs SK Poltava?
Zorya score 1.22 goals per game on average and SK Poltava 0.89. The Ukrainian Premier League average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Zorya's matches and 61% of SK Poltava's.
What form are Zorya and SK Poltava in?
Over the last 5 games Zorya have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and SK Poltava 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Zorya vs SK Poltava?
The statistical background for Zorya vs SK Poltava — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.