Zrinjski vs Velež: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Zrinjski played Velež in Premier League of Bosnia (Bosnia & Herzegovina). The match was played on 7 December 2025. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Zrinjski: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Velež: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Zrinjski scores 1.44 and concedes 0.56 goals per match. Velež scores 0.94 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.25 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Zrinjski 31%, Velež 35%. Over 2.5: Zrinjski 31%, Velež 35%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 38%.

xG, shots and style

Zrinjski has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.38. Zrinjski: 11.2 shots per match, Velež: 10.7.

Match halves

Zrinjski: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.94. Velež: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.65.

Goals by minute

Zrinjski: 46-60 (8 goals). Velež: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premier League of Bosnia: 2.25 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 38%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

44Possession (%)56
ZrinjskiVelež
10Shots9
ZrinjskiVelež
4Shots on target3
ZrinjskiVelež
1.28xG1.29
ZrinjskiVelež
3Corners6
ZrinjskiVelež
50Dangerous attacks70
ZrinjskiVelež
14Fouls14
ZrinjskiVelež
2Cards5
ZrinjskiVelež

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.44Goals scored / match0.94
ZrinjskiVelež
0.56Goals conceded / match1
ZrinjskiVelež
58%Average possession52%
ZrinjskiVelež
3.75Shots on target / match3.88
ZrinjskiVelež

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.19Shots per match10.71
ZrinjskiVelež
3.75Shots on target3.88
ZrinjskiVelež
12.8%Shot conversion8.8%
ZrinjskiVelež
58%Possession52%
ZrinjskiVelež
1.48xG for1.38
ZrinjskiVelež
0.97xG against1.28
ZrinjskiVelež

Shooting quality

Zrinjski: BalancedVelež: Balanced
ZrinjskiVelež
Accuracy (shots on target)34%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.24

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Zrinjski is 9% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / match - Zrinjski · 2.2 pts / match - Velež

Zrinjski
WWWLW
Season result split
69% W19% R13% P
Season (W-D-L)
11-3-2
2.25 pts / match · goal difference +14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-2-1
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WDWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.69Opponent xG: 1.02BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Velež
WWDWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
41% W18% R41% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-3-7
1.41 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-4
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WLLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.2xG: 1.25Opponent xG: 1.23BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Zrinjski is 53% better for: goals scored per match.

1.44 goals / match - Zrinjski · 0.94 goals / match - Velež

Zrinjski is 79% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.56 goals / match - Zrinjski · 1 goals / match - Velež

Zrinjski scoring profile: strong

Zrinjski scores in 75% of matches (12 of 16 matches), while Velež keeps a clean sheet in 35% (6 of 17 matches).

Velež scoring profile: mixed

Velež scores in 59% of matches (10 of 17 matches), while Zrinjski keeps a clean sheet in 56% (9 of 16 matches).

23Goals scored (season)16
ZrinjskiVelež
9Goals conceded (season)17
ZrinjskiVelež
2Average goals in match1.94
ZrinjskiVelež
8Goals scored (last 5)4
ZrinjskiVelež
4Goals conceded (last 5)1
ZrinjskiVelež

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal59%
ZrinjskiVelež
56%2 goals24%
ZrinjskiVelež
13%3 goals12%
ZrinjskiVelež
0%4 goals0%
ZrinjskiVelež

How often they concede at least...

44%1 goal65%
ZrinjskiVelež
13%2 goals24%
ZrinjskiVelež
0%3 goals12%
ZrinjskiVelež
0%4 goals0%
ZrinjskiVelež

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time12%
ZrinjskiVelež
0%BTTS in both halves0%
ZrinjskiVelež
38%Scored in both halves12%
ZrinjskiVelež

BTTS and goal count

25%Min. 3 goals and BTTS29%
ZrinjskiVelež
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
ZrinjskiVelež
40%BTTS - last 520%
ZrinjskiVelež

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

56%Min. 1 goal before half-time47%
ZrinjskiVelež
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time18%
ZrinjskiVelež
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
ZrinjskiVelež

2nd half

88%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
ZrinjskiVelež
31%Min. 2 goals after half-time35%
ZrinjskiVelež
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time12%
ZrinjskiVelež

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Zrinjski is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.31 pts / match - Zrinjski · 1.06 pts / match - Velež

Zrinjski - half-time state
25% leading56% draw19% trailing
Velež - half-time state
18% leading53% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.31Points per match (1st half)1.06
ZrinjskiVelež
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.29
ZrinjskiVelež
0.31Goals conceded (1st half)0.47
ZrinjskiVelež
0.81Average goals (1st half)0.76
ZrinjskiVelež
69%Clean sheet before half-time65%
ZrinjskiVelež
63%No goal before half-time76%
ZrinjskiVelež

After half-time (2nd half)

2.13Points per match (2nd half)1.35
ZrinjskiVelež
0.94Goals scored (2nd half)0.65
ZrinjskiVelež
0.25Goals conceded (2nd half)0.53
ZrinjskiVelež
1.19Average goals (2nd half)1.18
ZrinjskiVelež
75%Clean sheet after half-time59%
ZrinjskiVelež
25%No goal after half-time53%
ZrinjskiVelež

Zrinjski - second-half results

63% W25% R13% P
21
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
34
Second-half points
+11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.31
PPG before half-time
Lead holding276%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 69%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Velež - second-half results

29% W47% R24% P
18
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
23
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.06
PPG before half-time
Lead holding228%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Zrinjski - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.602.40
Goals scored / match0.21.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match0.81.6
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-2+6
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Velež - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.80
Goals scored / match0.20.6
Goals conceded / match0.00.2
Average goals in match0.20.8
1 goal20%60%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%80%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference+1+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Zrinjski
ScoredConceded
3
0
0-15
1
2
16-30
4
3
31-45
8
1
46-60
2
3
61-75
5
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Velež
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
0
2
16-30
2
4
31-45
2
5
46-60
4
1
61-75
5
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.97
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
88%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
33%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+103%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
44%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Zrinjski

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.51
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.37
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.41
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
104%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
64%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.15
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Velež

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.44
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
108%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
72%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.79
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League of Bosnia).

Teams vs league

ZrinjskiLigaVelež
Average goals in match 2.002.25 1.94
Both teams scored 31%40% 35%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 31%38% 35%
Clean sheets 56%36% 35%
Goal before half-time 56%60% 47%
Goal after half-time 88%71% 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.25
Average goals per match
40%
Both teams scored
38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
36%
Clean sheets
1.38
Home goals / match
0.87
Away goals / match
+59%
Home attack advantage
+37%
Home defence advantage
+26%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
60%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. ZrinjskiGoalNemanja BilbijaAssist: Leo Mikić
  2. VeležYellow cardAndro Babić
  3. ZrinjskiYellow cardMatej Šakota
  4. VeležYellow cardBesim Šerbečić
  5. VeležYellow cardAjdin Nukić
  6. VeležSubstitutionOn: Ivan ŠarićOff: Ajdin Nukić
  7. ZrinjskiSubstitutionOn: Goran KaračićOff: Marin Ljubić
  8. VeležSubstitutionOn: Amar MilakOff: Rafidine Abdullah
  9. ZrinjskiYellow cardToni Majić
  10. VeležYellow cardEdo Vehabović
  11. VeležGoalAmar Milak
  12. VeležYellow cardAmar Milak

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Luka BilbijaMatches officiated: 8
4Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 275%Home wins13%Draws13%Away wins

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Zrinjski 1 - 0 - 0 Velež. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FK Velež Mostar
1 : 3
HŠK Zrinjski Mostar

FAQ

What was the result of Zrinjski vs Velež?

The Premier League of Bosnia match finished Zrinjski 1:1 Velež. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Zrinjski vs Velež?

Zrinjski score 1.44 goals per game on average and Velež 0.94. The Premier League of Bosnia average is 2.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 31% of Zrinjski's matches and 35% of Velež's.

What form are Zrinjski and Velež in?

Over the last 5 games Zrinjski have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Velež 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Zrinjski vs Velež?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.