Zulte-Waregem vs KRC Genk: match statistics

Zulte-Waregem are showing excellent current form, having won all 5 of their last matches and scoring 13 goals in the process—an average of 2.6 per game. The hosts have conceded just 4 goals during this run, while KRC Genk have allowed 8 goals in their last 5 outings. Genk have won only 2 of those 5 matches and drawn two more, scoring 7 goals—6 fewer than Zulte-Waregem. Another noteworthy factor is the difference in league position: Genk sit fourth, but the hosts’ current run clearly surpasses the visitors’ results. With such attacking efficiency and a more stable defence, Zulte-Waregem should make home advantage count and secure the win.

Zulte-Waregem’s latest form strongly supports a home goal: the team has scored 13 goals in five matches, averaging 2.6 per game, while Genk have conceded an average of 1.6 goals. Genk also have a basis for a response, as their average xG over the last five appearances stands at 1.70, while Zulte-Waregem have allowed opponents 1.36 xG per match. BTTS landed in 60% of the hosts’ last five matches and in 40% of Genk’s games, providing a moderately positive, though not one-sided, signal for both teams to score. The risk to this pick is Zulte-Waregem’s solid defence, having conceded just 4 goals, or 0.8 per match, but Genk’s attacking potential still supports a scenario in which the visitors score. Therefore, BTTS - Yes is more likely, although the advantage over the BTTS - No variant, meaning that at least one team fails to score, remains limited.

Zulte-Waregem’s latest form has been highly attacking-minded: the team scored 13 goals in five matches, averaging 2.6 per game, and won all five. Genk conceded 8 goals over this period, an average of 1.6, which strengthens the outlook for at least two home goals or an open game. Chance-quality indicators are also high, with average xG of 1.72 for the home side and 1.70 for the visitors, while xG conceded stands at 1.36 and 1.48 respectively. Over 2.5 goals landed in 80% of Zulte-Waregem’s last five matches and in 40% of Genk’s games, but the limited sample increases the risk at the higher line. Therefore, the safest choice is Over 1.5: the projected total of 3.00 goals gives this selection a clear edge.

Zulte-Waregem have won all of their last five matches, scoring an average of 2.6 goals and conceding just 0.8, while Genk’s record over the same period stands at two wins, two draws and one defeat. The hosts held a lead at the break in 60% of those matches, scoring an average of 1.0 goal before half-time and conceding just 0.4; Genk led at half-time in 40% of their games and conceded 0.6 goals in the first halves. After the break, Zulte-Waregem’s advantage becomes even more pronounced, with the team scoring an average of 1.6 goals compared with Genk’s 0.6, while the visitors concede an average of 1.0 goal. The most likely scenario is therefore for the hosts to lead at half-time and maintain their winning result through to full-time, although a draw at half-time remains a significant alternative.