Zulte-Waregem vs Waasland-Beveren: match statistics

Zulte-Waregem are unbeaten in their last five matches, recording 4 wins and a draw while scoring 11 goals and conceding just 4. Waasland-Beveren have won 3 of their last 5 games, but have also suffered 2 defeats and conceded 8 goals during that period. The hosts average 2 goals per game at home, while the visitors concede an average of 2 goals away from home and have a high average xG conceded of 2.14. Zulte-Waregem are more clinical, converting 18% of their shots into goals compared with the opponents’ 8%, and they also hit the target more frequently, averaging 5 shots on target per game compared with the visitors’ 4. Although the hosts have yet to keep a clean sheet at home, their more consistent form and Waasland-Beveren’s significantly weaker away defence point towards a home win.

BTTS - Yes is supported by the current form of both teams: Zulte-Waregem have seen this outcome in 60% of their last 5 matches, while Waasland-Beveren have recorded it in 80%. The hosts have averaged 2.2 goals scored during this period, compared with 1.4 for the visitors, while Waasland-Beveren have conceded as many as 1.6 goals per match. Their attacking potential is confirmed by the xG figures: 1.52 for Zulte-Waregem and 1.36 for the visitors, while both defences allow opponents xG totals of 1.32 and 1.73 respectively. Particularly favourable for a home goal is the fact that Waasland-Beveren have not kept a clean sheet this season and concede 2.0 goals on average, while both teams have scored in 61% of league matches. Zulte-Waregem kept a clean sheet in their only home match, but the sample is very small, and the visitors’ weaker defence clearly strengthens the Goal/Goal scenario.

Both teams are showing clear goalscoring form: Zulte-Waregem averaged 2.2 goals in their last five matches, while Waasland-Beveren averaged 1.4. During the same period, the hosts recorded games with over 2.5 goals in 80% of cases, identical to the visitors, compared with a league average of 72%. Their attacking potential is confirmed by xG: 1.52 for the hosts and 1.36 for the visitors, while Waasland-Beveren concede an average of 1.73 xG. The visitors conceded 8 goals in five matches, while the hosts scored 11, strongly supporting the scenario of at least two goals. The strongest selection is Over 1.5, as it combines high attacking activity from both teams with the visitors' defensive vulnerability, without requiring the assumption of a very open game featuring four goals.

Zulte-Waregem are in a clearly stronger run of form: over their last five matches, they have averaged 2.2 goals scored and just 0.8 conceded, winning four games, while Waasland-Beveren have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. The hosts have looked particularly strong after the break, averaging 1.4 goals per match and allowing opponents just 0.2, whereas the visitors concede an average of 1.0 goal after half-time. The first half could nevertheless remain even, as Zulte-Waregem led at the break in only 40% of their last five appearances, while Waasland-Beveren kept a clean sheet before half-time in 100% of those matches. A draw at half-time followed by a home win at the final whistle best combines the visitors’ cautious start with Zulte-Waregem’s significant superiority in the second halves.