Zürich vs Thun: match statistics
Zürich vs Thun: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Zürich played Thun in Super League (Switzerland). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: Stadion Letzigrund. Final score: 4:2.
Current form
Zürich: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Thun: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Zürich scores 1.56 and concedes 2.22 goals per match. Thun scores 1.67 and concedes 2.56. League average: 3.87 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Zürich 89%, Thun 67%. Over 2.5: Zürich 89%, Thun 78%. League level: BTTS 74%, Over 2.5 78%.
xG, shots and style
Thun has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.46. Zürich: 12.9 shots per match, Thun: 15.6.
Match halves
Zürich: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 1.11. Thun: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 1.11.
Goals by minute
Zürich: 46-60 (5 goals). Thun: 46-60 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Super League: 3.87 goals per match, BTTS 74%, Over 2.5 78%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 4.33, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Zürich sit 7th and have picked up 8 points in their last five matches, while ninth-placed Thun have collected 4 over the same period. The hosts have scored 10 goals in those games compared with their opponents’ 6, although both defences remain prone to mistakes: Zürich have conceded 10 goals and Thun 9. At home, Zürich average 1.75 goals and create chances worth 1.66 xG, while Thun register 1.57 xG away from home and concede an average of 2.4 goals. The visitors are still dangerous on the road, averaging 2.6 goals and winning 3 of their 5 away matches. Zürich’s stronger recent form and slightly higher chance quality give them the edge, but Thun’s away scoring record means the hosts’ advantage is only marginal.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS - Yes is more likely: Thun score an average of 2.6 goals away from home, while Zürich concede 2.75 goals per home match. The visitors have scored in 100% of their away matches, whereas Zürich have kept a clean sheet in only 25% of their home games. Greater doubts surround the hosts’ attack: they score just 0.5 goals per home match and have failed to score in 75% of those games. However, Zürich’s average home xG of 1.73 and the fact that Thun concede 2.4 goals per match away from home and have yet to keep a clean sheet on the road both point to a Zürich goal. In addition, Zürich have averaged 2 goals in their last five matches, with both teams scoring in every one of them, tipping the balance in favour of BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been reached in 100% of Thun’s matches and 50% of Zürich’s home games. The visitors average 2.6 goals away from home, while the hosts concede 2.75 at home, supporting at least two goals even if Zürich’s own scoring output is modest. Zürich’s last five matches averaged 4.0 goals, compared with 3.0 in Thun’s; Over 2.5 landed in 80% and 60% of those games, respectively. However, Zürich score just 0.5 goals per home match, making higher lines less reliable than Over 1.5. A predicted total of 3.60 goals supports selecting the lowest line as the most likely outcome.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal is Thun leading at the break and maintaining that advantage until full time: in the away matches analysed, the visitors were ahead after 45 minutes in 40% of games, while Zürich were trailing at home at that point in 75%. Thun score an average of 0.8 goals before half-time away from home, compared with Zürich conceding 1.5 at home, which points to an early lead for the visitors. Over the full match, Thun average 2.6 goals away from home, compared with Zürich’s just 0.5 at home, and their win rate is 60% versus 0% for the hosts. However, this is not a certain pick: across their last five matches regardless of venue, Zürich averaged 2.0 goals and 1.6 points per game, while Thun averaged 1.2 goals and 0.8 points, increasing the risk of the hosts completing a turnaround.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Zürich | Thun | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 24% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.44 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Zürich is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Zürich · 0.8 pts / match - Thun
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Thun is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.56 goals / match - Zürich · 1.67 goals / match - Thun
Zürich is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.22 goals / match - Zürich · 2.56 goals / match - Thun
Zürich scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Thun keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 matches).
Thun scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while Zürich keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Zürich
Over / Under - Thun
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Zürich - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Thun - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Zürich
Thun
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).
Teams vs league
| Zürich | Liga | Thun | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.78 | 3.87 | ▲ 4.22 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 89% | 74% | ▼ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 89% | 78% | • 78% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 14% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 78% | 81% | ▲ 89% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 89% | 91% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- ThunYellow cardAdam Ilic
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Zürich 1 - 0 - 2 Thun. Average goals 4.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Zürich vs Thun?
The Super League match finished Zürich 4:2 Thun. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Zürich and Thun?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Zürich won 1, Thun won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Zürich vs Thun?
Zürich score 1.56 goals per game on average and Thun 1.67. The Super League average is 3.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 78% of games. Both teams score in 89% of Zürich's matches and 67% of Thun's.
What form are Zürich and Thun in?
Over the last 5 games Zürich have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Thun 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Zürich vs Thun?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Zürich vs Thun: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.