AaB vs Hobro: match statistics
AaB vs Hobro: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
AaB played against Hobro in 1st Division (Denmark). The game was played on October 30, 2026. Venue: Aalborg Portland Park. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
AaB has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Hobro has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
AaB scores 1.25 goals per game and allows 1.42. Hobro scores 1.25 and allows 1.83. Games in this league average 2.71 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 58% of AaB's games and 75% of Hobro's. The Over 2.5 rates are 58% and 75%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
AaB has the higher season xG average, 1.52 to 1.23 per game. AaB takes 13.9 shots per game, while Hobro takes 9.1.
First-half and second-half trends
AaB leads at halftime in 42% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Hobro leads at halftime in 17% and scores 0.83 after halftime.
When the teams score
AaB's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (5 goals). For Hobro, it is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
1st Division games average 2.71 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 5 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 2 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
AaB have a slight edge thanks to home advantage, although they have won just 17% of their home matches. The hosts create chances worth an average xG of 1.51 in these games, while Hobro average 1.07 xG away from home and concede 1.96 xG to their opponents. The visitors’ biggest weakness is their defense: they concede an average of 2.6 goals away from home and have yet to keep a clean sheet on the road. AaB, however, need to improve their finishing, as they score just 0.67 goals per game despite averaging 14.33 shots at home. Neither side has won any of its last five matches, so the draw remains a significant threat to the predicted home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS - Yes has occurred in 71% of AaB matches and 80% of Hobro matches, both above the league average of 60%. The hosts’ chances of scoring are boosted by the fact that Hobro concede an average of 2.6 goals per match and have yet to keep a clean sheet. Hobro, meanwhile, score an average of 1.4 goals, while AaB concede 1.29; in their last five matches, the hosts have conceded an average of 2.0 goals. The visitors’ recent scoring rate of 1.0 goal per match warrants caution, but with both sides conceding so frequently, it is more likely that each team will find the net.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Hobro concede an average of 2.6 goals per match and allow opponents to create chances worth 1.96 xG, which bodes well for AaB to score. AaB, in turn, concede an average of 1.29 goals, and both teams have scored in 71% of their matches; the figure is 80% in Hobro’s games. AaB’s last five matches have averaged 3.6 goals, while Hobro’s have averaged 3.2—both above the league average of 2.71. The Over 1.5 goals line has the strongest statistical backing: it has been hit in 71% of AaB’s matches and 100% of Hobro’s, compared with 57% and 100%, respectively, for Over 2.5. Therefore, I’m backing Over 1.5 goals as the safer option than a higher line, despite the expected total of 3.20 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is that AaB will take the lead at the break and hold on to it until full time, making 1/1 the preferred HT/FT outcome. In their last five matches, the hosts led at half-time twice, while Hobro went into the break trailing three times; the visitors have averaged just 0.2 first-half goals. AaB’s season-long second-half record supports the prospect of them maintaining their advantage: they average 0.86 goals scored and 0.43 conceded after the break, while Hobro concede 1.2 goals in the second half. The visitors’ defense allows an average of 2.6 goals per match and has yet to keep a clean sheet, further strengthening the hosts’ chances. Confidence in the pick is tempered, however, by the fact that neither team has won any of their last five matches and AaB have lost 60% of second halves over that period, so a draw after the hosts lead at the break remains a significant alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| AaB | Hobro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AaB is 29% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.42 goals / game - AaB · 1.83 goals / game - Hobro
AaB scores in 75% of games (9 of 12 games), while Hobro keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 games).
Hobro scores in 83% of games (10 of 12 games), while AaB keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AaB
Over / Under - Hobro
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AaB is 101% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.67 pts / game - AaB · 0.83 pts / game - Hobro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AaB - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 42% of games and wins 25%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Hobro - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -6 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
AaB
Hobro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).
Teams vs league
| AaB | Liga | Hobro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.67 | 2.71 | ▲ 3.08 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 58% | 60% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 54% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 26% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 74% | • 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 74% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from AaB's perspective: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses against Hobro. Games average 1.80 goals, and both teams scored in 60% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of AaB vs Hobro?
The 1st Division match finished AaB 1:1 Hobro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between AaB and Hobro?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches AaB won 1, Hobro won 2 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before AaB vs Hobro?
AaB score 1.25 goals per game on average and Hobro 1.25. The 1st Division average is 2.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 58% of AaB's matches and 75% of Hobro's.
What form are AaB and Hobro in?
Over the last 5 games AaB have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Hobro 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AaB vs Hobro?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.