Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock: match statistics
Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Aberdeen play Kilmarnock in Premiership (Scotland). The match date is 25 April 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Aberdeen: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Kilmarnock: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Aberdeen scores 1.05 and concedes 1.45 goals per match. Kilmarnock scores 1.32 and concedes 1.79. League average: 2.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Aberdeen 37%, Kilmarnock 55%. Over 2.5: Aberdeen 34%, Kilmarnock 66%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Kilmarnock has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.24. Aberdeen: 11.3 shots per match, Kilmarnock: 11.4.
Match halves
Aberdeen: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.58. Kilmarnock: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Aberdeen: 16-30 (10 goals). Kilmarnock: 31-45+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premiership: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 2-0-1. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 33%.
Match description
Aberdeen holds a clear seasonal advantage at home: they average 1.56 goals per match with an xG of 1.43, while Kilmarnock score only 0.94 goals away with an average xG of 1.07. The hosts create more chances (12.75 shots and 4.63 on target per game vs. the visitors' 8.88 shots and 3.44 on target) and register 51% possession compared to Kilmarnock's 38%, giving them control of the game. Defensively Aberdeen also performs better — they concede 1.31 goals at home on average versus Kilmarnock's 2.38 conceded away, and season-long goals against stand at 48 vs 65, indicating a significantly weaker away defense. One cautionary note: in the last 5 matches Aberdeen have scored only 4 goals and average 0.8 points, while Kilmarnock have 6 goals and 1.4 points on average in their last 5, so the visitors are in slightly better form. Considering the advantage in xG, shots, possession and Kilmarnock's very low away effectiveness (only 6% away wins vs Aberdeen's 31% home wins), I tip the hosts to win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Aberdeen | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kilmarnock is 71% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Aberdeen · 2.4 pts / match - Kilmarnock
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kilmarnock is 26% better for: goals scored per match.
1.05 goals / match - Aberdeen · 1.32 goals / match - Kilmarnock
Aberdeen is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.45 goals / match - Aberdeen · 1.79 goals / match - Kilmarnock
Aberdeen scores in 58% of matches (22 of 38 matches), while Kilmarnock keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 38 matches).
Kilmarnock scores in 74% of matches (28 of 38 matches), while Aberdeen keeps a clean sheet in 26% (10 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Aberdeen
Over / Under — Kilmarnock
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kilmarnock is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / match - Aberdeen · 1.42 pts / match - Kilmarnock
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aberdeen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Kilmarnock - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 26%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +8 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Aberdeen
Kilmarnock
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Aberdeen | Liga | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.50 | 2.78 | ▲ 3.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 37% | 52% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 34% | 53% | ▲ 66% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 28% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 76% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 80% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Aberdeen 2 - 0 - 1 Kilmarnock. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock?
The Premiership match finished Aberdeen 1:0 Kilmarnock. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Aberdeen and Kilmarnock?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Aberdeen won 2, Kilmarnock won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock?
Aberdeen score 1.05 goals per game on average and Kilmarnock 1.32. The Premiership average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Aberdeen's matches and 55% of Kilmarnock's.
What form are Aberdeen and Kilmarnock in?
Over the last 5 games Aberdeen have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Kilmarnock 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.