Atlético Nacional vs Junior: match statistics
Atlético Nacional vs Junior: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Atlético Nacional played against Junior in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The game was played on October 1, 2026. Venue: Estadio Atanasio Girardot. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
Atlético Nacional has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Junior has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Atlético Nacional scores 1.97 goals per game and allows 0.88. Junior scores 1.53 and allows 1.24. Games in this league average 2.57 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 44% of Atlético Nacional's games and 53% of Junior's. The Over 2.5 rates are 62% and 50%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 49% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Atlético Nacional has the higher season xG average, 1.77 to 1.45 per game. Atlético Nacional takes 16.7 shots per game, while Junior takes 13.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Atlético Nacional leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 1.26 goals per game after halftime. Junior leads at halftime in 38% and scores 0.79 after halftime.
When the teams score
Atlético Nacional's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (18 goals). For Junior, it is minutes 76-90+ (14 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Categoria Primera A games average 2.57 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 49% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 7 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlético Nacional have won 87% of their home matches and remain unbeaten, while Junior have lost 44% of their away games. At home, the hosts average 2.53 goals scored from an xG of 2.02, while the visitors average 1.44 goals and an xG of 1.27 away from home, pointing to Atlético's advantage in chance creation. The defensive gap is also clear: Atlético concede an average of 0.47 goals at home and keep a clean sheet in 53% of matches, whereas Junior concede 1.25 goals away. In their last five matches, Atlético have recorded 3 wins and conceded 5 goals, while Junior have won just once and conceded 10. These figures support a home win, although Junior's 10 goals in their last five matches show that the visitors can still pose a threat.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS has occurred in 53% of Atlético Nacional’s matches this season and 56% of Junior’s, so the starting point slightly favors both teams scoring. The hosts average 1.59 goals, with an xG of 1.57; they face an opponent that concedes an average of 1.64 xG, strengthening the chances of a home goal. Junior score an average of 1.44 goals with an xG of 1.27, while Atlético concede an average of 1.29 goals, making an away goal a realistic prospect as well. In their last five matches, Junior recorded BTTS in 80% of games and conceded an average of 2.0 goals, although BTTS occurred in only 40% of the hosts’ matches over the same period. This discrepancy limits confidence in the prediction, but the stronger season-long indicators and the scoring potential of both teams support a BTTS - Yes pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been surpassed in 88% of Atlético Nacional matches and 75% of Junior matches. The hosts average 1.59 goals scored, while the visitors concede 1.25; additionally, Atlético’s xG is 1.57, while their opponents allow chances worth 1.64 xG. Junior average 1.44 goals scored, so they could also get on the scoresheet, although Atlético allow opponents 1.21 xG. The 2.88-goal forecast supports backing at least two goals, while the 2.5 line is less certain: it has been exceeded in 53% of the hosts’ matches and 50% of the visitors’ matches.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely starting point: both teams went into the break level in 3 of their last 5 matches, while Atlético Nacional were level at half-time in 41% of their matches this season. Junior led at the break in 44% of matches, compared with 35% for Atlético Nacional, so a strong start from the visitors cannot be ruled out. However, recent form after the break favors the hosts: over their last 5 matches, they averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.2 conceded, while Junior conceded an average of 1.4 goals in the second half. Atlético Nacional have also won 3 of their last 5 matches, compared with just 1 for Junior, strengthening the case for a home win after a closely contested first half.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Nacional | Junior | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Atlético Nacional is 25% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Atlético Nacional · 1.6 pts / game - Junior
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Nacional is 29% better for: goals scored per game.
1.97 goals / game - Atlético Nacional · 1.53 goals / game - Junior
Atlético Nacional is 41% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.88 goals / game - Atlético Nacional · 1.24 goals / game - Junior
Atlético Nacional scores in 74% of games (25 of 34 games), while Junior keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 games).
Junior scores in 79% of games (27 of 34 games), while Atlético Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 32% (11 of 34 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético Nacional
Over / Under - Junior
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Junior is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / game - Atlético Nacional · 1.53 pts / game - Junior
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Nacional - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 71%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Junior - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +15 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Atlético Nacional
Junior
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Nacional | Liga | Junior | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.85 | 2.57 | ▲ 2.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 55% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 49% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 26% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 68% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 78% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Atlético Nacional's perspective: 2 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses against Junior. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 57% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético Nacional vs Junior?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Atlético Nacional 3:1 Junior. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Nacional and Junior?
In the last 7 head-to-head matches Atlético Nacional won 2, Junior won 4 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Nacional vs Junior?
Atlético Nacional score 1.97 goals per game on average and Junior 1.53. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Atlético Nacional's matches and 53% of Junior's.
What form are Atlético Nacional and Junior in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Nacional have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Junior 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Nacional vs Junior?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.