Barry Town United has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Connah's Quay has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Barry Town United scores 2.50 goals per game and allows 1.60. Connah's Quay scores 2.30 and allows 0.70. Games in this league average 3.34 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 80% of Barry Town United's games and 50% of Connah's Quay's. The Over 2.5 rates are 80% and 70%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 61% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Connah's Quay has the higher season xG average, 1.76 to 1.59 per game. Barry Town United takes 12.4 shots per game, while Connah's Quay takes 13.3.

First-half and second-half trends

Barry Town United leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 1.50 goals per game after halftime. Connah's Quay leads at halftime in 70% and scores 1.20 after halftime.

When the teams score

Barry Town United's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (5 goals). For Connah's Quay, it is minutes 46-60 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Welsh Premier League games average 3.34 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 61% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 2 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.84)

(3.35)

(2.27)

-Double chance 1X

-Double chance X2

-BTTS Yes odds

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

2.2Points per game2.2

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

2.5Goals scored / game2.3

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

1.6Goals allowed / game0.7

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

1.59xG for1.76

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

49%Average possession57%

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

5.9Shots on target / game5.1

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

10%Clean sheets50%

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

80%Both teams scored50%

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.4Shots per game13.3

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

5.9Shots on target5.1

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

20.2%Shot conversion17.3%

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

49%Possession57%

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

1.59xG for1.76

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

1.5xG against0.94

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

Shooting quality

Barry Town United: Efficient finishingConnah's Quay: Efficient finishing

	Barry Town United	Connah's Quay
Accuracy (shots on target)	48%	38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)	0.13	0.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)	0.42	0.45

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Connah's Quay is 43% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / game - Barry Town United · 2 pts / game - Connah's Quay

Barry Town United

WLWDL

Season result split

70% W10% D20% L

Season (W-D-L)

7-1-2

2.20 pts / game · goal difference +9

Last 5 (W-D-L)

2-1-2

1.40 pts / game

Record at home (W-D-L)

4-1-0

Last 5 at home

4-1-0

WWWWD

Last 5 games - averages

Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.51Opponent xG: 1.66BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Connah's Quay

WDLWW

Season result split

70% W10% D20% L

Season (W-D-L)

7-1-2

2.20 pts / game · goal difference +16

Last 5 (W-D-L)

3-1-1

2.00 pts / game

Record away (W-D-L)

3-0-1

Last 5 away

3-0-1

WWWL

Last 5 games - averages

Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.49Opponent xG: 1.02BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Barry Town United is 9% better for: goals scored per game.

2.5 goals / game - Barry Town United · 2.3 goals / game - Connah's Quay

Connah's Quay is 129% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.6 goals / game - Barry Town United · 0.7 goals / game - Connah's Quay

Barry Town United scoring profile: strong

Barry Town United scores in 90% of games (9 of 10 games), while Connah's Quay keeps a clean sheet in 50% (5 of 10 games).

Connah's Quay scoring profile: very strong

Connah's Quay scores in 100% of games (10 of 10 games), while Barry Town United keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 games).

25Goals scored (season)23

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

16Goals conceded (season)7

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

4.1Average goals per game3

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

12Goals scored (last 5)8

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

10Goals conceded (last 5)4

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

Barry Town United

10%

Clean sheets1 of 10 games

10%

No goal1 of 10 games

Connah's Quay

50%

Clean sheets5 of 10 games

No goal0 of 10 games

How often they score at least...

90%1 goal100%

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

80%2 goals60%

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

50%3 goals40%

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

30%4 goals10%

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

How often they concede at least...

90%1 goal50%

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

40%2 goals20%

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

10%3 goals0%

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

10%4 goals0%

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

80%

Barry Town United - BTTS8 of 10 games

50%

Connah's Quay - BTTS5 of 10 games

52%

League average

Goal patterns

30%BTTS at half-time10%

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

0%BTTS in both halves0%

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

60%Scored in both halves40%

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

BTTS and goal count

80%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS30%

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

80%BTTS - last 560%

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

100%Min. 1 goal (Over 0.5)100%

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

80%Min. 2 goals (Over 1.5)90%

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

80%Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)70%

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

70%Min. 4 goals (Over 3.5)20%

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

50%Min. 5 goals (Over 4.5)10%

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

Over / Under - Barry Town United

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)

Over 100%Under 0%

Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)

Over 80%Under 20%

Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)

Over 80%Under 20%

Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)

Over 70%Under 30%

Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)

Over 50%Under 50%

Over / Under - Connah's Quay

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)

Over 100%Under 0%

Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)

Over 90%Under 10%

Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)

Over 70%Under 30%

Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)

Over 20%Under 80%

Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)

Over 10%Under 90%

1st half

70%Min. 1 goal before half-time70%

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

50%Min. 2 goals before half-time30%

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

20%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time90%

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

80%Min. 2 goals after half-time60%

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

60%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Connah's Quay is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.9 pts / game - Barry Town United · 2.4 pts / game - Connah's Quay

Barry Town United - half-time state

50% leading40% draw10% trailing

Connah's Quay - half-time state

70% leading30% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.9Points per game (1st half)2.4

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

1Goals scored (1st half)1.1

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

0.4Goals conceded (1st half)0.1

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

1.4Average goals (1st half)1.2

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

70%Clean sheet before half-time90%

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

30%No goal before half-time30%

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

After half-time (2nd half)

2.1Points per game (2nd half)1.8

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

1.5Goals scored (2nd half)1.2

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

1.2Goals conceded (2nd half)0.6

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

2.7Average goals (2nd half)1.8

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

30%Clean sheet after half-time60%

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

20%No goal after half-time30%

Barry Town UnitedConnah's Quay

Barry Town United - second-half results

70% W0% D30% L

Half-time points

Half-time goals

Goal difference (1st half)

Second-half points

Goal difference (2nd half)

1.90

PPG before half-time

Lead holding140%

Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 70%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.8

Allows 0.8 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Connah's Quay - second-half results

50% W30% D20% L

Half-time points

Half-time goals

+10

Goal difference (1st half)

Second-half points

Goal difference (2nd half)

2.40

PPG before half-time

Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 70% of games and wins 70%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Barry Town United - last 5 games by half
	1st half	2nd half
Points per game	2.60	1.20
Goals scored / game	1.4	1.0
Goals allowed / game	0.2	1.8
Average goals per game	1.6	2.8
1 goal	80%	100%
2 goals	60%	80%
3 goals	20%	80%
Clean sheet	80%	0%
No goal	20%	40%
Goal difference	+6	-4

Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing

2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost

BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 7

Connah's Quay - last 5 games by half
	1st half	2nd half
Points per game	1.80	1.60
Goals scored / game	0.4	1.2
Goals allowed / game	0.0	0.8
Average goals per game	0.4	2.0
1 goal	40%	100%
2 goals	0%	80%
3 goals	0%	20%
Clean sheet	100%	40%
No goal	60%	20%
Goal difference	+2	+2

Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing

2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost

BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Barry Town United

ScoredConceded

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Connah's Quay

ScoredConceded

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.55

Estimated goals

attack vs. opponent defense

1.6 : 1.9

Estimated goal split

home : away

106%

Pace vs league

100% = league average

65%

Both teams scored (BTTS)

average from both teams' seasons

-51%

Derby effect

H2H goals vs typical matches

90%

BTTS estimate

from both teams' scoring frequency

0:0 risk

practically zero

2-3

Most common goal range

attack vs. defense for both teams

Barry Town United

Net xG balance

Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.

+0.09

Results compared with xG

Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.

+0.81

Points compared with goal balance

Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.

+0.7 pts

Finishing efficiency

Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.

+0.91

Defensive efficiency

Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.

-0.10

Attack vs league

How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.

136%

Defense vs. league

Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.

106%

Form trend

Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.

-0.80

Stronger second half?

How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.

+0.5

Late goals

20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.

20%

Connah's Quay

Net xG balance

Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.

+0.82

Results compared with xG

Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.

+0.78

Points compared with goal balance

Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.

-5.5 pts

Finishing efficiency

Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.

+0.54

Defensive efficiency

Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.

+0.24

Attack vs league

How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.

152%

Defense vs. league

Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.

38%

Form trend

Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.

-0.20

Stronger second half?

How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.

+0.1

Late goals

22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.

22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).

Teams vs league

	Barry Town United	Liga	Connah's Quay
Average goals per game	▲ 4.10	3.34	▼ 3.00
Both teams scored	▲ 80%	52%	▼ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)	▲ 80%	61%	▲ 70%
Clean sheets	▼ 10%	25%	▲ 50%
Goal before half-time	▼ 70%	80%	▼ 70%
Goal after half-time	▲ 100%	85%	▲ 90%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.34

Average goals per game

52%

Both teams scored

61%

Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)

25%

Clean sheets

1.84

Home goals / game

1.51

Away goals / game

+22%

Home attack advantage

+18%

Home defensive advantage

+18%

Total home advantage

Goals in 1st half (whole league)

80%

1 goal

41%

2 goals

22%

3 goals

10%

4 goals

Goals in 2nd half (whole league)

85%

1 goal

54%

2 goals

27%

3 goals

11%

4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Barry Town United's perspective: 1 win, 2 draws and 1 loss against Connah's Quay. Games average 1.75 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

Connah's Quay Nomads FC

1 : 103/29/2026

Barry Town United FC

1 : 002/21/2026

Connah's Quay Nomads FC

3 : 101/03/2026

Barry Town United FC

0 : 009/27/2025

Connah's Quay Nomads FC

FAQ

When do Barry Town United and Connah's Quay play?

Barry Town United face Connah's Quay on September 26, 2026 in Welsh Premier League at Jenner Park. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Barry Town United and Connah's Quay?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Barry Town United won 1, Connah's Quay won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Barry Town United vs Connah's Quay?

Barry Town United score 2.50 goals per game on average and Connah's Quay 2.30. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Barry Town United's matches and 50% of Connah's Quay's.

What form are Barry Town United and Connah's Quay in?

Over the last 5 games Barry Town United have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Connah's Quay 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Barry Town United vs Connah's Quay?

The statistical background for Barry Town United vs Connah's Quay — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.