BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums: match statistics
BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
BFC Daugavpils played against Tukums in Virsliga (Latvia). The game was played on November 1, 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Recent form
BFC Daugavpils has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Tukums has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.
Scoring records
BFC Daugavpils scores 1.18 goals per game and allows 1.09. Tukums scores 1.29 and allows 1.91. Games in this league average 2.90 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 53% of BFC Daugavpils's games and 74% of Tukums's. The Over 2.5 rates are 41% and 65%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 55% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
BFC Daugavpils has the higher season xG average, 1.57 to 1.36 per game. BFC Daugavpils takes 12.8 shots per game, while Tukums takes 11.3.
First-half and second-half trends
BFC Daugavpils leads at halftime in 26% of its games and scores 0.79 goals per game after halftime. Tukums leads at halftime in 18% and scores 0.68 after halftime.
When the teams score
BFC Daugavpils's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (17 goals). For Tukums, it is minutes 76-90+ (15 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Virsliga games average 2.90 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 55% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 7 previous meetings were available. The record was 3 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.86 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
BFC Daugavpils sit 4th and have won 3 of their last 5 matches, while ninth-placed Tukums have failed to win during that period and have scored just 1 goal. Home advantage is clear: the hosts have won 53% of their home matches, while the visitors have yet to win away and have lost 71% of their away games. Daugavpils concede an average of 0.82 goals per home match, compared with Tukums' 2.29 away, further tilting the balance in the hosts' favor. The quality of chances created also points to their advantage: Daugavpils' home xG is 1.59, against Tukums' away xG of 1.27. Although the hosts score an average of just 1.18 goals at home, the visitors' defensive frailties make a BFC Daugavpils win the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Although both teams scored in 82% of Daugavpils' matches and 65% of Tukums' matches this season, the visitors' recent results significantly reduce the likelihood of that pattern repeating. Tukums have scored just 1 goal in their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in only 20% of those games. Over the same period, Daugavpils conceded an average of 0.8 goals per match, making it even harder for the visitors to break through. The hosts have a strong chance of scoring, averaging 1.65 goals per match, while Tukums concede 2.29; however, BTTS - No remains slightly more likely because of the risk that the visitors fail to score. This means at least one team is expected to draw a blank, not necessarily that the match will finish 0-0.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been reached in 94% of BFC Daugavpils’ matches and 88% of Tukums’ matches. The hosts average 1.65 goals scored, while the visitors concede 2.29, which favors BFC scoring at least twice. On the other hand, Tukums have scored just 1 goal in their last 5 matches, so I rate the chances of a higher goal total more cautiously. Although both teams have gone Over 2.5 goals in 65% of their matches, their recent scoring form supports the safer Over 1.5 goals line, with a projected total of 2.70.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is slightly more likely than a home lead at the break: both teams went into half-time level in 3 of their last 5 matches, and Tukums scored no first-half goals in those games. BFC Daugavpils’ record over their last five matches supports a home win, with 3 wins for the hosts and none for the visitors. The difference could emerge after the break, with the hosts scoring an average of 0.94 goals while Tukums concede 1.29 per match. Across the season, BFC Daugavpils average 1.65 goals per match compared with Tukums’ 0.94, further supporting the HT/FT scenario of a draw at half-time followed by a home win.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| BFC Daugavpils | Tukums | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
BFC Daugavpils is 400% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - BFC Daugavpils · 0.4 pts / game - Tukums
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tukums is 9% better for: goals scored per game.
1.18 goals / game - BFC Daugavpils · 1.29 goals / game - Tukums
BFC Daugavpils is 75% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.09 goals / game - BFC Daugavpils · 1.91 goals / game - Tukums
BFC Daugavpils scores in 71% of games (24 of 34 games), while Tukums keeps a clean sheet in 6% (2 of 34 games).
Tukums scores in 76% of games (26 of 34 games), while BFC Daugavpils keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - BFC Daugavpils
Over / Under - Tukums
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
BFC Daugavpils is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / game - BFC Daugavpils · 0.91 pts / game - Tukums
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
BFC Daugavpils - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Tukums - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 15%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (17 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| BFC Daugavpils | Liga | Tukums | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.26 | 2.90 | ▲ 3.21 |
| Both teams scored | • 53% | 54% | ▲ 74% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 55% | ▲ 65% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 26% | ▼ 6% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 74% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | • 82% | 81% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from BFC Daugavpils's perspective: 3 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss against Tukums. Games average 1.86 goals, and both teams scored in 43% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums?
The Virsliga match finished BFC Daugavpils 2:0 Tukums. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between BFC Daugavpils and Tukums?
In the last 7 head-to-head matches BFC Daugavpils won 3, Tukums won 1 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 1.86 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums?
BFC Daugavpils score 1.18 goals per game on average and Tukums 1.29. The Virsliga average is 2.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 53% of BFC Daugavpils's matches and 74% of Tukums's.
What form are BFC Daugavpils and Tukums in?
Over the last 5 games BFC Daugavpils have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Tukums 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.