Scotland - PremiershipCeltic ParkData current as of October 14, 2026

Celtic vs Hearts: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Celtic vs Hearts: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Celtic plays Hearts in Premiership (Scotland). The game is scheduled for October 18, 2026. Venue: Celtic Park.

Recent form

Celtic has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Hearts has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Celtic scores 2.00 goals per game and allows 0.50. Hearts scores 2.38 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.56 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 38% of Celtic's games and 75% of Hearts's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 88%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Celtic has the higher season xG average, 2.47 to 1.74 per game. Celtic takes 20.8 shots per game, while Hearts takes 15.9.

First-half and second-half trends

Celtic leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 0.88 goals per game after halftime. Hearts leads at halftime in 63% and scores 1.13 after halftime.

When the teams score

Celtic's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (5 goals). For Hearts, it is minutes 0-15 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Premiership games average 2.56 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 3.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.45)
(4.55)
(6.16)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

2Goals scored / game2.38
CelticHearts
0.5Goals allowed / game1
CelticHearts
62%Average possession54%
CelticHearts
9.13Shots on target / game5.38
CelticHearts

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

20.75Shots per game15.88
CelticHearts
9.13Shots on target5.38
CelticHearts
9.6%Shot conversion15%
CelticHearts
62%Possession54%
CelticHearts
2.47xG for1.74
CelticHearts
1.24xG against1.02
CelticHearts

Shooting quality

Celtic: DominantHearts: Attacking
CelticHearts
Accuracy (shots on target)44%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.220.44

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Celtic is 20% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / game - Celtic · 2 pts / game - Hearts

Celtic
WWWLW
Season result split
88% W0% D13% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-0-1
2.63 pts / game · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-0-1
Last 5 at home
3-0-1
WWWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 2.42Opponent xG: 1.34BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
Hearts
WWLDW
Season result split
63% W13% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-1-2
2.00 pts / game · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-2
Last 5 away
1-1-2
LWLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.77Opponent xG: 0.93BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Hearts is 19% better for: goals scored per game.

2 goals / game - Celtic · 2.38 goals / game - Hearts

Celtic is 100% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.5 goals / game - Celtic · 1 goals / game - Hearts

Celtic scoring profile: very strong

Celtic scores in 88% of games (7 of 8 games), while Hearts keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 games).

Hearts scoring profile: very strong

Hearts scores in 100% of games (8 of 8 games), while Celtic keeps a clean sheet in 50% (4 of 8 games).

16Goals scored (season)19
CelticHearts
4Goals conceded (season)8
CelticHearts
2.5Average goals per game3.38
CelticHearts
8Goals scored (last 5)12
CelticHearts
2Goals conceded (last 5)5
CelticHearts

How often they score at least...

88%1 goal100%
CelticHearts
63%2 goals63%
CelticHearts
25%3 goals38%
CelticHearts
13%4 goals25%
CelticHearts

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal75%
CelticHearts
0%2 goals25%
CelticHearts
0%3 goals0%
CelticHearts
0%4 goals0%
CelticHearts

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time13%
CelticHearts
0%BTTS in both halves0%
CelticHearts
25%Scored in both halves38%
CelticHearts

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS63%
CelticHearts
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS25%
CelticHearts
20%BTTS - last 580%
CelticHearts

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
CelticHearts
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time63%
CelticHearts
25%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
CelticHearts

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
CelticHearts
25%Min. 2 goals after half-time63%
CelticHearts
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
CelticHearts

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Hearts is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.75 pts / game - Celtic · 2 pts / game - Hearts

Celtic - half-time state
50% leading25% draw25% trailing
Hearts - half-time state
63% leading13% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.75Points per game (1st half)2
CelticHearts
1.13Goals scored (1st half)1.25
CelticHearts
0.25Goals conceded (1st half)0.38
CelticHearts
1.38Average goals (1st half)1.63
CelticHearts
75%Clean sheet before half-time63%
CelticHearts
50%No goal before half-time25%
CelticHearts

After half-time (2nd half)

2.13Points per game (2nd half)1.63
CelticHearts
0.88Goals scored (2nd half)1.13
CelticHearts
0.25Goals conceded (2nd half)0.63
CelticHearts
1.13Average goals (2nd half)1.75
CelticHearts
75%Clean sheet after half-time50%
CelticHearts
38%No goal after half-time38%
CelticHearts

Celtic - second-half results

63% W25% D13% L
14
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.75
PPG before half-time
Lead holding176%

Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 88%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Hearts - second-half results

50% W13% D38% L
16
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 63% of games and wins 63%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Celtic - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.402.20
Goals scored / game0.80.8
Goals allowed / game0.40.0
Average goals per game1.20.8
1 goal80%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%100%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+2+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4
Hearts - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.402.00
Goals scored / game1.01.4
Goals allowed / game0.60.4
Average goals per game1.61.8
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+2+5
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Celtic
ScoredConceded
4
0
0-15
1
1
16-30
4
1
31-45
5
1
46-60
2
1
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Hearts
ScoredConceded
4
1
0-15
2
2
16-30
4
0
31-45
3
2
46-60
2
1
61-75
4
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.94
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.5 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
115%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
57%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+28%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
88%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Celtic

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.47
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.74
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
160%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
38%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.23
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Hearts

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.72
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.66
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.64
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
182%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
80%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).

Teams vs league

CelticLigaHearts
Average goals per game• 2.502.56▲ 3.38
Both teams scored▼ 38%50%▲ 75%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 50%52%▲ 88%
Clean sheets▲ 50%27%▼ 25%
Goal before half-time▼ 75%81%▲ 100%
Goal after half-time• 75%75%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.56
Average goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.25
Home goals / game
1.31
Away goals / game
+-5%
Home attack advantage
+-5%
Home defensive advantage
+-2%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Celtic's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses against Hearts. Games average 3.75 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

FAQ

When do Celtic and Hearts play?

Celtic face Hearts on October 18, 2026 in Premiership at Celtic Park. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Celtic and Hearts?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Celtic won 1, Hearts won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Celtic vs Hearts?

Celtic score 2.00 goals per game on average and Hearts 2.38. The Premiership average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Celtic's matches and 75% of Hearts's.

What form are Celtic and Hearts in?

Over the last 5 games Celtic have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Hearts 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Celtic vs Hearts?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.