Dungannon Swifts vs Carrick Rangers: match statistics
Dungannon Swifts vs Carrick Rangers: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Dungannon Swifts played against Carrick Rangers in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The game was played on October 10, 2026. Venue: Stangmore Park. Final score: 2:4.
Recent form
Dungannon Swifts has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Carrick Rangers has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Dungannon Swifts scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.11. Carrick Rangers scores 1.50 and allows 1.50. Games in this league average 2.65 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 22% of Dungannon Swifts's games and 40% of Carrick Rangers's. The Over 2.5 rates are 22% and 50%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Carrick Rangers has the higher season xG average, 1.46 to 1.40 per game. Dungannon Swifts takes 10.8 shots per game, while Carrick Rangers takes 11.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Dungannon Swifts leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.56 goals per game after halftime. Carrick Rangers leads at halftime in 30% and scores 0.80 after halftime.
When the teams score
Dungannon Swifts's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (4 goals). For Carrick Rangers, it is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
NIFL Premiership games average 2.65 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Carrick Rangers have a slight edge: they have won 40% of their away matches, while Dungannon Swifts have won 25% of their home games. The visitors average 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded away from home, compared with 1.0 scored and 1.25 conceded by the hosts on home soil. However, Dungannon create higher-quality chances, posting a home xG of 1.42 against the visitors’ away xG of 1.18, so the gap in goals scored may be difficult to sustain. Both teams have won just one of their last five matches, with Carrick conceding as many as 11 goals in that spell, compared with 7 for Dungannon. The visitors’ finishing and stronger away record support the “2” pick, although their recent defensive struggles limit confidence in this prediction.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have recorded BTTS in 40% of their matches, below the league average of 48%, which slightly favors BTTS - No. Dungannon have averaged just 0.6 goals in their last 5 matches, while Carrick have failed to score in 40% of their games, so there is a genuine risk that at least one side will draw a blank. However, this is not a strong signal: the hosts average 1.69 xG, and the visitors have conceded 2.2 goals per game over their last 5 matches, giving Dungannon a chance to score. Carrick could also find the net against hosts who have conceded an average of 2.0 goals per game this season, but the overall BTTS frequency and the risk of one side failing to score give a slight edge to BTTS - No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
At least two goals were scored in 80% of matches involving the two teams, providing the strongest signal in favor of Over 1.5 goals. Dungannon average 1.6 goals at home, while Carrick score 1.4 away, although the hosts’ tally has dropped to 0.6 goals per match over their last five games. Dungannon’s average xG of 1.69 and 5.4 shots on target per match strengthen their case, while Carrick have conceded an average of 2.2 goals across their last five outings. On the other hand, the hosts have maintained a moderate scoring pace in their last five matches, with Over 2.5 goals landing in only 20% of them, making the higher line a less reliable pick. The projected total of 2.67 goals supports Over 1.5, but does not offer equally strong backing for Over 2.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Dungannon were level at half-time in 3 of their last 5 matches, while season-long figures show that both teams were level at the break in 40% of their games, pointing to a tight opening. After the break, Carrick have recently averaged 0.8 goals per match, compared with just 0.2 for the hosts, giving the visitors a better chance of turning such a draw in their favor. Carrick have also averaged 1.6 goals across their last five matches, against Dungannon’s 0.6, and recorded 1.4 points per game in the season data, compared with the hosts’ 1.2. However, the visitors’ advantage is not decisive: they have conceded 2.2 goals per match recently, while Dungannon’s xG stands at 1.69 against Carrick’s 1.18. A draw at half-time followed by a Carrick win is therefore the most likely single HT/FT scenario, although the risk of a different outcome remains significant.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Dungannon Swifts | Carrick Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Carrick Rangers is 50% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - Dungannon Swifts · 1.5 goals / game - Carrick Rangers
Dungannon Swifts is 35% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.11 goals / game - Dungannon Swifts · 1.5 goals / game - Carrick Rangers
Dungannon Swifts scores in 67% of games (6 of 9 games), while Carrick Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 games).
Carrick Rangers scores in 70% of games (7 of 10 games), while Dungannon Swifts keeps a clean sheet in 44% (4 of 9 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Dungannon Swifts
Over / Under - Carrick Rangers
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Dungannon Swifts is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / game - Dungannon Swifts · 1.3 pts / game - Carrick Rangers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dungannon Swifts - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Carrick Rangers - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Dungannon Swifts
Carrick Rangers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Dungannon Swifts | Liga | Carrick Rangers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.11 | 2.65 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 22% | 47% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 22% | 51% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 44% | 28% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | • 67% | 68% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 84% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Dungannon Swifts's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses against Carrick Rangers. Games average 4.50 goals, and both teams scored in 75% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Dungannon Swifts vs Carrick Rangers?
The NIFL Premiership match finished Dungannon Swifts 2:4 Carrick Rangers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Dungannon Swifts and Carrick Rangers?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Dungannon Swifts won 1, Carrick Rangers won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Dungannon Swifts vs Carrick Rangers?
Dungannon Swifts score 1.00 goals per game on average and Carrick Rangers 1.50. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 22% of Dungannon Swifts's matches and 40% of Carrick Rangers's.
What form are Dungannon Swifts and Carrick Rangers in?
Over the last 5 games Dungannon Swifts have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Carrick Rangers 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dungannon Swifts vs Carrick Rangers?
The statistical background for Dungannon Swifts vs Carrick Rangers — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.