Firpo vs Águila: match statistics

Firpo have been very strong at home, winning 83% of such matches, scoring an average of 2.33 goals and keeping a clean sheet in 67% of games. The hosts also create significantly more danger, averaging 12.5 shots, 7.33 shots on target and an xG of 1.92, while Águila manage only 0.67 goals per away match. Águila are unbeaten in their last five matches overall, with a record of 3 wins and 2 draws and just 4 goals conceded, but they win only 17% of their away games and fail to score in as many as 50% of them. Firpo concede an average of just 0.5 goals per home match, which, combined with the visitors’ poor away efficiency, should limit their chances. The hosts’ recent form has been less consistent, having lost 3 of their previous 5 matches overall, but their superior attacking quality and outstanding home record point towards a Firpo victory.

Firpo score an average of 2.4 goals per home match and have yet to keep a clean sheet, conceding an average of 1.8 goals, which strongly supports Águila scoring. The hosts have recorded BTTS - Yes in 100% of their home matches, although it should be noted that their overall BTTS rate over the last five matches has dropped to 40%. Águila score only 0.67 goals per away match and have failed to score in 50% of such fixtures, meaning the risk of a No Goal scenario for the visitors remains significant. However, the visitors' current attacking form is better, as they have averaged 2.0 goals across their last five matches, with an xG of 1.77 compared to 1.37 xG conceded by Firpo. The stronger signals pointing to the hosts' defensive weakness and both teams' high goal-scoring potential give a slight edge to BTTS - Yes.

Firpo score an average of 2.4 goals in home matches, and 100% of their games have gone Over 1.5 goals. Águila concede only 0.83 goals per away match and have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games, which reduces confidence in a high-scoring game above 2.5 goals. At the same time, the visitors’ current form is clearly attacking-minded: they have scored 10 goals in their last five matches, with an average xG of 1.77, while Firpo have conceded 9 goals during this period. The hosts create an average of 1.83 xG and register 5.2 shots on target per match, so their goal is highly likely despite the opponents’ solid defense. A projected total of 2.80 goals provides the strongest edge for Over 1.5, while the 2.5 line remains considerably more balanced.

A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome, as Águila were level at the break in 5 of their 6 matches, or 83% of the time, while Firpo recorded this outcome in 60% of their games. However, the hosts create more chances over the course of the season: their xG stands at 1.83 compared with 1.35 for the visitors, and they average 5.2 shots on target against Águila’s 3.17. The form advantage clearly lies with the away side: across their last five matches, they averaged 2.2 points per game and remained unbeaten, whereas Firpo suffered 3 defeats and conceded an average of 1.8 goals. In the second halves of their last five appearances, Águila scored an average of 1.2 goals and conceded just 0.4, while Firpo scored 0.6 and conceded 1.2. The HT/FT scenario of a draw at half-time followed by an away win best combines the visitors’ highly cautious starts with their clearly superior current efficiency in the second halves.