Latvia - VirsligaData current as of October 22, 2026

Grobiņa vs Riga: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Grobiņa vs Riga: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Grobiņa plays Riga in Virsliga (Latvia). The game is scheduled for October 26, 2026.

Recent form

Grobiņa has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Riga has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Grobiņa scores 0.76 goals per game and allows 1.70. Riga scores 2.73 and allows 0.94. Games in this league average 2.89 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 42% of Grobiņa's games and 58% of Riga's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 76%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 55% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Riga has the higher season xG average, 2.00 to 1.24 per game. Grobiņa takes 10.3 shots per game, while Riga takes 16.9.

First-half and second-half trends

Grobiņa leads at halftime in 18% of its games and scores 0.39 goals per game after halftime. Riga leads at halftime in 64% and scores 1.39 after halftime.

When the teams score

Grobiņa's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (6 goals). For Riga, it is minutes 76-90+ (20 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Virsliga games average 2.89 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 55% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 7 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 6 away wins. Those games averaged 2.57 goals, with both teams scoring in 14% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(11.00)
(6.30)
(1.15)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

0.76Goals scored / game2.73
GrobiņaRiga
1.7Goals allowed / game0.94
GrobiņaRiga
41%Average possession64%
GrobiņaRiga
3.39Shots on target / game6.36
GrobiņaRiga

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

10.33Shots per game16.85
GrobiņaRiga
3.39Shots on target6.36
GrobiņaRiga
7.3%Shot conversion16.2%
GrobiņaRiga
41%Possession64%
GrobiņaRiga
1.24xG for2
GrobiņaRiga
1.75xG against0.96
GrobiņaRiga

Shooting quality

Grobiņa: BalancedRiga: Dominant
GrobiņaRiga
Accuracy (shots on target)33%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.220.43

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Riga is 160% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / game - Grobiņa · 2.6 pts / game - Riga

Grobiņa
LDDLW
Season result split
18% W33% D48% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-11-16
0.88 pts / game · goal difference -31
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-6-6
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
WDWDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.30Opponent xG: 1.95BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Riga
DWWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
73% W21% D6% L
Season (W-D-L)
24-7-2
2.39 pts / game · goal difference +59
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
11-3-2
Last 5 away
3-1-1
DLWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.82Opponent xG: 0.96BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Riga is 259% better for: goals scored per game.

0.76 goals / game - Grobiņa · 2.73 goals / game - Riga

Riga is 81% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.7 goals / game - Grobiņa · 0.94 goals / game - Riga

Grobiņa scoring profile: mixed

Grobiņa scores in 55% of games (18 of 33 games), while Riga keeps a clean sheet in 42% (14 of 33 games).

Riga scoring profile: very strong

Riga scores in 97% of games (32 of 33 games), while Grobiņa keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 33 games).

25Goals scored (season)90
GrobiņaRiga
56Goals conceded (season)31
GrobiņaRiga
2.45Average goals per game3.67
GrobiņaRiga
5Goals scored (last 5)8
GrobiņaRiga
6Goals conceded (last 5)3
GrobiņaRiga

How often they score at least...

55%1 goal97%
GrobiņaRiga
12%2 goals82%
GrobiņaRiga
9%3 goals55%
GrobiņaRiga
0%4 goals27%
GrobiņaRiga

How often they concede at least...

79%1 goal58%
GrobiņaRiga
45%2 goals24%
GrobiņaRiga
21%3 goals12%
GrobiņaRiga
9%4 goals0%
GrobiņaRiga

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

12%BTTS at half-time24%
GrobiņaRiga
3%BTTS in both halves9%
GrobiņaRiga
9%Scored in both halves55%
GrobiņaRiga

BTTS and goal count

24%Min. 3 goals and BTTS55%
GrobiņaRiga
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS21%
GrobiņaRiga
60%BTTS - last 540%
GrobiņaRiga

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

61%Min. 1 goal before half-time85%
GrobiņaRiga
30%Min. 2 goals before half-time55%
GrobiņaRiga
12%Min. 3 goals before half-time30%
GrobiņaRiga

2nd half

76%Min. 1 goal after half-time82%
GrobiņaRiga
36%Min. 2 goals after half-time55%
GrobiņaRiga
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time30%
GrobiņaRiga

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Riga is 97% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.06 pts / game - Grobiņa · 2.09 pts / game - Riga

Grobiņa - half-time state
18% leading52% draw30% trailing
Riga - half-time state
64% leading18% draw18% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.06Points per game (1st half)2.09
GrobiņaRiga
0.36Goals scored (1st half)1.33
GrobiņaRiga
0.73Goals conceded (1st half)0.45
GrobiņaRiga
1.09Average goals (1st half)1.79
GrobiņaRiga
58%Clean sheet before half-time64%
GrobiņaRiga
70%No goal before half-time27%
GrobiņaRiga

After half-time (2nd half)

0.76Points per game (2nd half)2.03
GrobiņaRiga
0.39Goals scored (2nd half)1.39
GrobiņaRiga
0.97Goals conceded (2nd half)0.48
GrobiņaRiga
1.36Average goals (2nd half)1.88
GrobiņaRiga
36%Clean sheet after half-time67%
GrobiņaRiga
67%No goal after half-time21%
GrobiņaRiga

Grobiņa - second-half results

12% W39% D48% L
35
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
-12
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
-19
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.06
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 18%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Riga - second-half results

58% W30% D12% L
69
Half-time points
44
Half-time goals
+29
Goal difference (1st half)
67
Second-half points
+30
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.09
PPG before half-time
Lead holding114%

Leads at halftime in 64% of games and wins 73%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Grobiņa - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.800.40
Goals scored / game0.60.4
Goals allowed / game0.21.0
Average goals per game0.81.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+2-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Riga - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.002.00
Goals scored / game0.61.0
Goals allowed / game0.20.4
Average goals per game0.81.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+2+3
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Grobiņa
ScoredConceded
4
6
0-15
5
4
16-30
3
14
31-45
2
12
46-60
6
5
61-75
5
15
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.

Riga
ScoredConceded
9
5
0-15
16
6
16-30
19
4
31-45
11
7
46-60
15
4
61-75
20
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (20 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +15 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.06
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.8 : 2.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-16%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
53%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Grobiņa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.51
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.43
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+12.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.48
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
46%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
136%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.12
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Riga

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.75
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.73
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
218%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
57%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.21
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).

Teams vs league

GrobiņaLigaRiga
Average goals per game▼ 2.452.89▲ 3.67
Both teams scored▼ 42%55%▲ 58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 33%55%▲ 76%
Clean sheets▼ 21%25%▲ 42%
Goal before half-time▼ 61%75%▲ 85%
Goal after half-time▼ 76%81%• 82%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.89
Average goals per game
55%
Both teams scored
55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.64
Home goals / game
1.25
Away goals / game
+31%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defensive advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Grobiņa's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses against Riga. Games average 2.57 goals, and both teams scored in 14% of them.

Riga
4 : 0
Grobiņa
Riga
2 : 0
Grobiņa
Grobiņa
0 : 3
Riga
Grobinas Sporta Centrs
1 : 1
Riga FC
Riga FC
2 : 0
Grobinas Sporta Centrs
Grobinas Sporta Centrs
0 : 2
Riga FC
Riga FC
3 : 0
Grobinas Sporta Centrs

FAQ

When do Grobiņa and Riga play?

Grobiņa face Riga on October 26, 2026 in Virsliga. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Grobiņa and Riga?

In the last 7 head-to-head matches Grobiņa won 0, Riga won 6 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.57 goals, with both teams scoring in 14% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Grobiņa vs Riga?

Grobiņa score 0.76 goals per game on average and Riga 2.73. The Virsliga average is 2.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Grobiņa's matches and 58% of Riga's.

What form are Grobiņa and Riga in?

Over the last 5 games Grobiņa have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Riga 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grobiņa vs Riga?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.