Estonia - MeistriliigaKuressaare linnastaadionData current as of October 18, 2026

Kuressaare vs Tallinna FC Flora: match statistics

Kuressaare crest
Kuressaare
2 : 0half-time 2:0
Tallinna FC Flora crest
Tallinna FC Flora

Kuressaare vs Tallinna FC Flora: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Kuressaare played against Tallinna FC Flora in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The game was played on October 11, 2026. Venue: Kuressaare linnastaadion. Final score: 2:0.

Recent form

Kuressaare has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Tallinna FC Flora has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Kuressaare scores 1.07 goals per game and allows 1.69. Tallinna FC Flora scores 2.03 and allows 1.34. Games in this league average 3.13 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 52% of Kuressaare's games and 59% of Tallinna FC Flora's. The Over 2.5 rates are 59% and 83%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 65% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Tallinna FC Flora has the higher season xG average, 1.95 to 1.49 per game. Kuressaare takes 12.0 shots per game, while Tallinna FC Flora takes 15.8.

First-half and second-half trends

Kuressaare leads at halftime in 24% of its games and scores 0.55 goals per game after halftime. Tallinna FC Flora leads at halftime in 34% and scores 1.14 after halftime.

When the teams score

Kuressaare's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For Tallinna FC Flora, it is minutes 61-75 (13 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Meistriliiga games average 3.13 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 65% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 7 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 6 away wins. Those games averaged 3.57 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Tallinna FC Flora are 2nd in the table and have won 4 of their last 5 matches, while eighth-placed Kuressaare have recorded 2 wins over the same period. Away from home, Flora win 64% of their matches and average 1.86 goals, while Kuressaare win 36% of their home games and score an average of 1.29 goals. The visitors also create better chances: their average away xG is 2.00, compared with the hosts’ 1.52 at home. Kuressaare allow chances worth an average xG of 1.87 at home and concede 1.57 goals per match; alongside Flora’s 13 goals in their last 5 matches, this points to the visitors. However, Flora have conceded 9 goals in their last 5 matches, so an away win is the most likely outcome, but the hosts finding the net cannot be ruled out.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

BTTS occurred in 60% of Kuressaare’s matches and 57% of Flora’s, rising to 60% and 100%, respectively, across their last 5 matches. Both teams score regularly: the hosts average 2.2 goals and the visitors 1.86, with xG of 1.90 and 2.00, respectively. At the same time, Kuressaare conceded an average of 2.0 goals and Flora 1.8 in their last 5 matches, increasing the chances of both sides finding the net. The risk of either team failing to score is also limited by the fact that the hosts drew a blank in 7% of their matches, compared with 14% for the visitors. Therefore, the more likely scenario is that both teams will score.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

At least 2 goals were scored in 87% of Kuressaare matches and 93% of Flora matches, making Over 1.5 the strongest pick. Both teams create chances consistently, with average xG of 1,90 and 2,00 respectively, and each recording more than 5 shots on target per match. The last 5 matches also point to open play: Kuressaare averaged 1,4 goals scored and 2,0 conceded, while Flora averaged 2,6 scored and 1,8 conceded. Although Over 2.5 landed in 80% of the hosts’ matches and 100% of the visitors’ during this period, the 1.5 line has stronger backing in the full-season data. A forecast of 3,65 total goals supports the selection of at least 2 goals without needing to rely on the riskier expectation of a 3-goal outcome.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

A draw at half-time is a realistic scenario: Kuressaare were level at the break in 40% of their matches, compared with 43% for Flora. The hosts average 1.07 goals before half-time, versus 0.71 for the visitors, so despite Flora’s better form, an early lead for the visitors is not the most reliable option. In their last five matches, Flora won four times and Kuressaare twice; over that period, the visitors scored an average of 2.6 goals per match, compared with 1.4 for the hosts. The biggest difference comes after half-time: across those five matches, Flora averaged 1.4 goals in the second half, while Kuressaare managed just 0.2. This points to the visitors turning the result in their favor after a closely contested first half, although a home lead at the break remains a significant alternative.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

2 : 0
First half
0 : 0
Second half

Game stats

32Possession (%)68
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora
9Shots13
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora
4Shots on target3
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora
1.18xG1.51
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora
3Corners3
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora
46Dangerous attacks66
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora
13Fouls11
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora
3Cards3
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

KuressaareTallinna FC Flora
1.07Goals scored / game2.03
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora
1.69Goals allowed / game1.34
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora
41%Average possession58%
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora
4.28Shots on target / game5.24
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.03Shots per game15.76
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora
4.28Shots on target5.24
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora
8.9%Shot conversion12.9%
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora
41%Possession58%
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora
1.49xG for1.95
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora
2.01xG against1.47
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora

Shooting quality

Kuressaare: BalancedTallinna FC Flora: Dominant
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora
Accuracy (shots on target)36%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.39

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Tallinna FC Flora is 160% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / game - Kuressaare · 2.6 pts / game - Tallinna FC Flora

Kuressaare
DWLLD
Season result split
28% W17% D55% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-5-16
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-3-6
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
DWDWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.64Opponent xG: 1.92BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Tallinna FC Flora
WWDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
62% W3% D34% L
Season (W-D-L)
18-1-10
1.90 pts / game · goal difference +20
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
9-1-4
Last 5 away
3-1-1
WWLDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.60Opponent xG: 1.86BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Tallinna FC Flora is 90% better for: goals scored per game.

1.07 goals / game - Kuressaare · 2.03 goals / game - Tallinna FC Flora

Tallinna FC Flora is 26% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.69 goals / game - Kuressaare · 1.34 goals / game - Tallinna FC Flora

Kuressaare scoring profile: mixed

Kuressaare scores in 52% of games (15 of 29 games), while Tallinna FC Flora keeps a clean sheet in 31% (9 of 29 games).

Tallinna FC Flora scoring profile: very strong

Tallinna FC Flora scores in 90% of games (26 of 29 games), while Kuressaare keeps a clean sheet in 10% (3 of 29 games).

31Goals scored (season)59
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora
49Goals conceded (season)39
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora
2.76Average goals per game3.38
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora
6Goals scored (last 5)13
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora
10Goals conceded (last 5)9
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora

How often they score at least...

52%1 goal90%
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora
34%2 goals62%
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora
21%3 goals31%
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora
0%4 goals10%
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora

How often they concede at least...

90%1 goal69%
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora
55%2 goals45%
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora
17%3 goals17%
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora
7%4 goals3%
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

58%
League average

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time28%
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora
3%BTTS in both halves3%
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora
24%Scored in both halves34%
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora

BTTS and goal count

48%Min. 3 goals and BTTS59%
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS24%
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora
60%BTTS - last 5100%
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

72%Min. 1 goal before half-time76%
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora
31%Min. 2 goals before half-time52%
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time90%
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora
45%Min. 2 goals after half-time55%
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time21%
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Tallinna FC Flora is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.07 pts / game - Kuressaare · 1.45 pts / game - Tallinna FC Flora

Kuressaare - half-time state
24% leading34% draw41% trailing
Tallinna FC Flora - half-time state
34% leading41% draw24% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.07Points per game (1st half)1.45
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora
0.52Goals scored (1st half)0.9
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora
0.66Goals conceded (1st half)0.66
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora
1.17Average goals (1st half)1.55
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora
48%Clean sheet before half-time52%
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora
62%No goal before half-time45%
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora

After half-time (2nd half)

0.79Points per game (2nd half)1.83
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora
0.55Goals scored (2nd half)1.14
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora
1.03Goals conceded (2nd half)0.69
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora
1.59Average goals (2nd half)1.83
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora
28%Clean sheet after half-time59%
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora
62%No goal after half-time31%
KuressaareTallinna FC Flora

Kuressaare - second-half results

14% W38% D48% L
31
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
23
Second-half points
-14
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.07
PPG before half-time
Lead holding117%

Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 28%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Tallinna FC Flora - second-half results

55% W17% D28% L
42
Half-time points
26
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
53
Second-half points
+13
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.45
PPG before half-time
Lead holding182%

Leads at halftime in 34% of games and wins 62%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Kuressaare - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.000.60
Goals scored / game0.80.4
Goals allowed / game1.01.0
Average goals per game1.81.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference-1-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Tallinna FC Flora - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.80
Goals scored / game1.21.4
Goals allowed / game1.00.8
Average goals per game2.22.2
1 goal80%60%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals60%40%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+1+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Kuressaare
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
5
10
16-30
7
6
31-45
2
8
46-60
5
10
61-75
9
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Tallinna FC Flora
ScoredConceded
6
4
0-15
10
8
16-30
10
7
31-45
10
6
46-60
13
6
61-75
10
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (13 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.06
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.2 : 1.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
56%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+16%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
47%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Kuressaare

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.52
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.10
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.42
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.32
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
60%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
125%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

Tallinna FC Flora

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.48
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.21
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
150%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
75%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.70
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

KuressaareLigaTallinna FC Flora
Average goals per game▼ 2.763.13▲ 3.38
Both teams scored▼ 52%58%• 59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 59%65%▲ 83%
Clean sheets▼ 10%23%▲ 31%
Goal before half-time▼ 72%76%• 76%
Goal after half-time▼ 83%89%• 90%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.13
Average goals per game
58%
Both teams scored
65%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.78
Home goals / game
1.35
Away goals / game
+32%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defensive advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
89%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. KuressaareYellow cardMarco Lukka
  2. Tallinna FC FloraYellow cardOscar Pihela
  3. Tallinna FC FloraYellow cardMatvei Jekimov
  4. KuressaareGoalAleksander Švedovski
  5. KuressaareGoalTaavi JürisooAssist: Deivid Andreas
  6. Tallinna FC FloraSubstitutionOn: Tristan Toomas TeeväliOff: Matvei Jekimov
  7. KuressaareYellow cardRico Piil
  8. Tallinna FC FloraSubstitutionOn: Rauno AllikuOff: Danil Kuraksin
  9. Tallinna FC FloraYellow cardRobert Veering
  10. KuressaareYellow cardJevgeni Demidov
  11. Tallinna FC FloraSubstitutionOn: Denis ZotovOff: Remo Valdmets

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Kuressaare's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 6 losses against Tallinna FC Flora. Games average 3.57 goals, and both teams scored in 57% of them.

Tallinna FC Flora
2 : 3
Kuressaare
Kuressaare
0 : 3
Tallinna FC Flora
Tallinna FC Flora
2 : 1
Kuressaare
Tallinna FC Flora
2 : 0
FC Kuressaare
FC Kuressaare
1 : 2
Tallinna FC Flora
FC Kuressaare
1 : 3
Tallinna FC Flora
Tallinna FC Flora
5 : 0
FC Kuressaare

FAQ

What was the result of Kuressaare vs Tallinna FC Flora?

The Meistriliiga match finished Kuressaare 2:0 Tallinna FC Flora. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Kuressaare and Tallinna FC Flora?

In the last 7 head-to-head matches Kuressaare won 1, Tallinna FC Flora won 6 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.57 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Kuressaare vs Tallinna FC Flora?

Kuressaare score 1.07 goals per game on average and Tallinna FC Flora 2.03. The Meistriliiga average is 3.13 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Kuressaare's matches and 59% of Tallinna FC Flora's.

What form are Kuressaare and Tallinna FC Flora in?

Over the last 5 games Kuressaare have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Tallinna FC Flora 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kuressaare vs Tallinna FC Flora?

The statistical background for Kuressaare vs Tallinna FC Flora — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.