Estonia - MeistriliigaA. Le Coq ArenaData current as of August 13, 2026

Tallinna FC Flora vs Kuressaare: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Tallinna FC Flora vs Kuressaare: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Tallinna FC Flora plays Kuressaare in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The game is scheduled for August 16, 2026. Venue: A. Le Coq Arena.

Recent form

Tallinna FC Flora has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Kuressaare has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Tallinna FC Flora scores 2.00 goals per game and allows 1.05. Kuressaare scores 1.00 and allows 1.64. Games in this league average 3.11 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 40% of Tallinna FC Flora's games and 50% of Kuressaare's. The Over 2.5 rates are 75% and 55%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 65% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Tallinna FC Flora has the higher season xG average, 2.07 to 1.44 per game. Tallinna FC Flora takes 16.9 shots per game, while Kuressaare takes 11.5.

First-half and second-half trends

Tallinna FC Flora leads at halftime in 35% of its games and scores 1.20 goals per game after halftime. Kuressaare leads at halftime in 23% and scores 0.64 after halftime.

When the teams score

Tallinna FC Flora's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (10 goals). For Kuressaare, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Meistriliiga games average 3.11 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 65% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 6 previous meetings were available. The record was 6 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.32)
(4.85)
(7.37)

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Tallinna FC FloraKuressaare
2Goals scored / game1
Tallinna FC FloraKuressaare
1.05Goals allowed / game1.64
Tallinna FC FloraKuressaare
59%Average possession41%
Tallinna FC FloraKuressaare
5.55Shots on target / game3.86
Tallinna FC FloraKuressaare

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

16.95Shots per game11.5
Tallinna FC FloraKuressaare
5.55Shots on target3.86
Tallinna FC FloraKuressaare
11.8%Shot conversion8.7%
Tallinna FC FloraKuressaare
59%Possession41%
Tallinna FC FloraKuressaare
2.07xG for1.44
Tallinna FC FloraKuressaare
1.37xG against2.03
Tallinna FC FloraKuressaare

Shooting quality

Tallinna FC Flora: DominantKuressaare: Balanced
Tallinna FC FloraKuressaare
Accuracy (shots on target)33%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Tallinna FC Flora is 125% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / game - Tallinna FC Flora · 0.8 pts / game - Kuressaare

Tallinna FC Flora
LWWLW
Season result split
65% W0% R35% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-0-7
1.95 pts / game · goal difference +19
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-0-4
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
WLLLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 2.04Opponent xG: 1.67BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Kuressaare
LLDLW
Season result split
27% W14% R59% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-3-13
0.95 pts / game · goal difference -14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-8
Last 5 away
1-1-3
DWLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.50Opponent xG: 2.14BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Tallinna FC Flora is 100% better for: goals scored per game.

2 goals / game - Tallinna FC Flora · 1 goals / game - Kuressaare

Tallinna FC Flora is 56% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.05 goals / game - Tallinna FC Flora · 1.64 goals / game - Kuressaare

Tallinna FC Flora scoring profile: very strong

Tallinna FC Flora scores in 85% of games (17 of 20 meczów), while Kuressaare keeps a clean sheet in 9% (2 of 22 meczów).

Kuressaare scoring profile: mixed

Kuressaare scores in 50% of games (11 of 22 meczów), while Tallinna FC Flora keeps a clean sheet in 45% (9 of 20 meczów).

40Goals scored (season)22
Tallinna FC FloraKuressaare
21Goals conceded (season)36
Tallinna FC FloraKuressaare
3.05Average goals per game2.64
Tallinna FC FloraKuressaare
8Goals scored (last 5)5
Tallinna FC FloraKuressaare
5Goals conceded (last 5)9
Tallinna FC FloraKuressaare

How often they score at least...

85%1 goal50%
Tallinna FC FloraKuressaare
55%2 goals32%
Tallinna FC FloraKuressaare
30%3 goals18%
Tallinna FC FloraKuressaare
15%4 goals0%
Tallinna FC FloraKuressaare

How often they concede at least...

55%1 goal91%
Tallinna FC FloraKuressaare
30%2 goals55%
Tallinna FC FloraKuressaare
15%3 goals14%
Tallinna FC FloraKuressaare
5%4 goals5%
Tallinna FC FloraKuressaare

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

40%
Tallinna FC Flora - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.8 of 20 meczów
58%
League average

Goal patterns

15%BTTS at half-time9%
Tallinna FC FloraKuressaare
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Tallinna FC FloraKuressaare
40%Scored in both halves23%
Tallinna FC FloraKuressaare

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS45%
Tallinna FC FloraKuressaare
35%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
Tallinna FC FloraKuressaare
60%BTTS - last 540%
Tallinna FC FloraKuressaare

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time68%
Tallinna FC FloraKuressaare
45%Min. 2 goals before half-time18%
Tallinna FC FloraKuressaare
5%Min. 3 goals before half-time5%
Tallinna FC FloraKuressaare

2nd half

95%Min. 1 goal after half-time86%
Tallinna FC FloraKuressaare
55%Min. 2 goals after half-time45%
Tallinna FC FloraKuressaare
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
Tallinna FC FloraKuressaare

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Tallinna FC Flora is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.45 pts / game - Tallinna FC Flora · 1.05 pts / game - Kuressaare

Tallinna FC Flora - half-time state
35% leading40% draw25% trailing
Kuressaare - half-time state
23% leading36% draw41% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.45Points per game (1st half)1.05
Tallinna FC FloraKuressaare
0.8Goals scored (1st half)0.36
Tallinna FC FloraKuressaare
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.55
Tallinna FC FloraKuressaare
1.3Average goals (1st half)0.91
Tallinna FC FloraKuressaare
60%Clean sheet before half-time55%
Tallinna FC FloraKuressaare
50%No goal before half-time68%
Tallinna FC FloraKuressaare

After half-time (2nd half)

2.05Points per game (2nd half)0.86
Tallinna FC FloraKuressaare
1.2Goals scored (2nd half)0.64
Tallinna FC FloraKuressaare
0.55Goals conceded (2nd half)1.09
Tallinna FC FloraKuressaare
1.75Average goals (2nd half)1.73
Tallinna FC FloraKuressaare
70%Clean sheet after half-time27%
Tallinna FC FloraKuressaare
25%No goal after half-time59%
Tallinna FC FloraKuressaare

Tallinna FC Flora - second-half results

65% W10% R25% P
29
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
41
Second-half points
+13
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.45
PPG before half-time
Lead holding186%

Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 65%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Kuressaare - second-half results

18% W32% R50% P
23
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
-10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.05
PPG before half-time
Lead holding117%

Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Tallinna FC Flora - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.002.40
Goals scored / game0.41.2
Goals allowed / game0.80.2
Average goals per game1.21.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-2+5
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Kuressaare - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.600.40
Goals scored / game0.40.6
Goals allowed / game0.21.6
Average goals per game0.62.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+1-5
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Tallinna FC Flora
ScoredConceded
5
3
0-15
6
5
16-30
5
2
31-45
7
4
46-60
10
3
61-75
7
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Kuressaare
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
2
5
16-30
3
5
31-45
1
7
46-60
5
7
61-75
8
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.84
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.8 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
91%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
45%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+17%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
43%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Tallinna FC Flora

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.70
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.25
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.32
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
112%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
79%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.15
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Kuressaare

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.59
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.44
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.39
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
75%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.15
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
36% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
36%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

Tallinna FC FloraLigaKuressaare
Average goals per game 3.053.11 2.64
Both teams scored 40%58% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 75%65% 55%
Clean sheets 45%23% 9%
Goal before half-time 75%75% 68%
Goal after half-time 95%89% 86%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.11
Average goals per game
58%
Both teams scored
65%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.78
Home goals / game
1.33
Away goals / game
+34%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defensive advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
89%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Tallinna FC Flora's perspective: 6 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Kuressaare. Games average 3.33 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

Kuressaare
0 : 3
Tallinna FC Flora
Tallinna FC Flora
2 : 1
Kuressaare
Tallinna FC Flora
2 : 0
FC Kuressaare
FC Kuressaare
1 : 2
Tallinna FC Flora
FC Kuressaare
1 : 3
Tallinna FC Flora
Tallinna FC Flora
5 : 0
FC Kuressaare

FAQ

When do Tallinna FC Flora and Kuressaare play?

Tallinna FC Flora face Kuressaare on August 16, 2026 in Meistriliiga at A. Le Coq Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Tallinna FC Flora and Kuressaare?

In the last 6 head-to-head matches Tallinna FC Flora won 6, Kuressaare won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Tallinna FC Flora vs Kuressaare?

Tallinna FC Flora score 2.00 goals per game on average and Kuressaare 1.00. The Meistriliiga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Tallinna FC Flora's matches and 50% of Kuressaare's.

What form are Tallinna FC Flora and Kuressaare in?

Over the last 5 games Tallinna FC Flora have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Kuressaare 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tallinna FC Flora vs Kuressaare?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tallinna FC Flora vs Kuressaare: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.