Estonia - MeistriliigaKuressaare linnastaadionData current as of October 15, 2026

Kuressaare vs Tallinna FC Levadia: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Kuressaare vs Tallinna FC Levadia: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Kuressaare plays Tallinna FC Levadia in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The game is scheduled for October 18, 2026. Venue: Kuressaare linnastaadion.

Recent form

Kuressaare has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Tallinna FC Levadia has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Kuressaare scores 1.10 goals per game and allows 1.58. Tallinna FC Levadia scores 2.73 and allows 0.70. Games in this league average 3.10 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 48% of Kuressaare's games and 60% of Tallinna FC Levadia's. The Over 2.5 rates are 55% and 70%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 64% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Tallinna FC Levadia has the higher season xG average, 2.42 to 1.48 per game. Kuressaare takes 11.8 shots per game, while Tallinna FC Levadia takes 20.1.

First-half and second-half trends

Kuressaare leads at halftime in 26% of its games and scores 0.55 goals per game after halftime. Tallinna FC Levadia leads at halftime in 57% and scores 1.43 after halftime.

When the teams score

Kuressaare's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). For Tallinna FC Levadia, it is minutes 76-90+ (19 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Meistriliiga games average 3.10 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 64% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 7 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 7 away wins. Those games averaged 2.86 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
1.1Goals scored / game2.73
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
1.58Goals allowed / game0.7
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
41%Average possession59%
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
4.29Shots on target / game7.47
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.84Shots per game20.13
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
4.29Shots on target7.47
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
9.3%Shot conversion13.6%
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
41%Possession59%
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
1.48xG for2.42
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
1.97xG against1.05
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia

Shooting quality

Kuressaare: BalancedTallinna FC Levadia: Dominant
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
Accuracy (shots on target)36%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Tallinna FC Levadia is 86% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / game - Kuressaare · 2.6 pts / game - Tallinna FC Levadia

Kuressaare
LLDWW
Season result split
32% W16% D52% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-5-16
1.13 pts / game · goal difference -15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-3-6
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WDWLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.26Opponent xG: 1.82BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
Tallinna FC Levadia
WWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
77% W20% D3% L
Season (W-D-L)
23-6-1
2.50 pts / game · goal difference +61
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
12-3-0
Last 5 away
3-2-0
DWWWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 3.2Goals conceded: 0.2xG: 2.34Opponent xG: 1.08BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Tallinna FC Levadia is 148% better for: goals scored per game.

1.1 goals / game - Kuressaare · 2.73 goals / game - Tallinna FC Levadia

Tallinna FC Levadia is 126% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.58 goals / game - Kuressaare · 0.7 goals / game - Tallinna FC Levadia

Kuressaare scoring profile: mixed

Kuressaare scores in 55% of games (17 of 31 games), while Tallinna FC Levadia keeps a clean sheet in 40% (12 of 30 games).

Tallinna FC Levadia scoring profile: very strong

Tallinna FC Levadia scores in 100% of games (30 of 30 games), while Kuressaare keeps a clean sheet in 16% (5 of 31 games).

34Goals scored (season)82
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
49Goals conceded (season)21
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
2.68Average goals per game3.43
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
4Goals scored (last 5)16
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
7Goals conceded (last 5)1
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia

How often they score at least...

55%1 goal100%
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
35%2 goals73%
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
19%3 goals47%
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
0%4 goals27%
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia

How often they concede at least...

84%1 goal60%
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
52%2 goals10%
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
16%3 goals0%
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
6%4 goals0%
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

60%
Tallinna FC Levadia - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.18 of 30 games
57%
League average

Goal patterns

16%BTTS at half-time20%
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
3%BTTS in both halves3%
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
23%Scored in both halves60%
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia

BTTS and goal count

45%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS27%
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
20%BTTS - last 520%
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
32%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia

2nd half

81%Min. 1 goal after half-time97%
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
42%Min. 2 goals after half-time70%
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Tallinna FC Levadia is 80% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.13 pts / game - Kuressaare · 2.03 pts / game - Tallinna FC Levadia

Kuressaare - half-time state
26% leading35% draw39% trailing
Tallinna FC Levadia - half-time state
57% leading33% draw10% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.13Points per game (1st half)2.03
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
0.55Goals scored (1st half)1.3
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
0.61Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
1.16Average goals (1st half)1.63
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
52%Clean sheet before half-time70%
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
61%No goal before half-time30%
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia

After half-time (2nd half)

0.87Points per game (2nd half)2.2
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
0.55Goals scored (2nd half)1.43
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
0.97Goals conceded (2nd half)0.37
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
1.52Average goals (2nd half)1.8
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
32%Clean sheet after half-time67%
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
61%No goal after half-time10%
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia

Kuressaare - second-half results

16% W39% D45% L
35
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
-13
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding123%

Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Tallinna FC Levadia - second-half results

63% W30% D7% L
61
Half-time points
39
Half-time goals
+29
Goal difference (1st half)
66
Second-half points
+32
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.03
PPG before half-time
Lead holding135%

Leads at halftime in 57% of games and wins 77%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Kuressaare - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.00
Goals scored / game0.60.2
Goals allowed / game0.80.6
Average goals per game1.40.8
1 goal60%60%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-1-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Tallinna FC Levadia - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.602.40
Goals scored / game1.81.4
Goals allowed / game0.00.2
Average goals per game1.81.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet100%80%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+9+6
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 9

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Kuressaare
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
5
10
16-30
9
6
31-45
2
8
46-60
5
10
61-75
10
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Tallinna FC Levadia
ScoredConceded
11
3
0-15
17
3
16-30
11
4
31-45
10
3
46-60
14
3
61-75
19
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +14 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.06
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.9 : 2.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
54%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-6%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
55%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Kuressaare

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.49
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.38
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.39
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
62%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
119%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

Tallinna FC Levadia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.37
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.66
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.31
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.35
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
205%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
40%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

KuressaareLigaTallinna FC Levadia
Average goals per game▼ 2.683.10▲ 3.43
Both teams scored▼ 48%57%▲ 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 55%64%▲ 70%
Clean sheets▼ 16%23%▲ 40%
Goal before half-time▼ 71%76%▲ 80%
Goal after half-time▼ 81%88%▲ 97%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.10
Average goals per game
57%
Both teams scored
64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.77
Home goals / game
1.33
Away goals / game
+33%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defensive advantage
+5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Kuressaare's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses against Tallinna FC Levadia. Games average 2.86 goals, and both teams scored in 43% of them.

Tallinna FC Levadia
4 : 0
Kuressaare
Kuressaare
1 : 2
Tallinna FC Levadia
Tallinna FC Levadia
2 : 0
Kuressaare
FC Kuressaare
0 : 3
Tallinna FC Levadia
Tallinna FC Levadia
2 : 0
FC Kuressaare
FC Kuressaare
1 : 2
Tallinna FC Levadia
Tallinna FC Levadia
2 : 1
FC Kuressaare

FAQ

When do Kuressaare and Tallinna FC Levadia play?

Kuressaare face Tallinna FC Levadia on October 18, 2026 in Meistriliiga at Kuressaare linnastaadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Kuressaare and Tallinna FC Levadia?

In the last 7 head-to-head matches Kuressaare won 0, Tallinna FC Levadia won 7 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.86 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Kuressaare vs Tallinna FC Levadia?

Kuressaare score 1.10 goals per game on average and Tallinna FC Levadia 2.73. The Meistriliiga average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Kuressaare's matches and 60% of Tallinna FC Levadia's.

What form are Kuressaare and Tallinna FC Levadia in?

Over the last 5 games Kuressaare have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Tallinna FC Levadia 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kuressaare vs Tallinna FC Levadia?

The statistical background for Kuressaare vs Tallinna FC Levadia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.