Libertad vs Guaraní: match statistics
Libertad vs Guaraní: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Libertad played against Guaraní in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The game was played on October 11, 2026. Venue: Estadio Dr. Nicolás Leoz. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
Libertad has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Guaraní has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Libertad scores 1.57 goals per game and allows 1.14. Guaraní scores 1.17 and allows 0.94. Games in this league average 2.44 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 49% of Libertad's games and 49% of Guaraní's. The Over 2.5 rates are 49% and 34%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 45% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Libertad has the higher season xG average, 1.58 to 1.30 per game. Libertad takes 14.6 shots per game, while Guaraní takes 11.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Libertad leads at halftime in 26% of its games and scores 0.91 goals per game after halftime. Guaraní leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.71 after halftime.
When the teams score
Libertad's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (12 goals). For Guaraní, it is minutes 76-90+ (15 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Division Profesional games average 2.44 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 45% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 7 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. Those games averaged 3.14 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Libertad win 59% of their home matches and score an average of 1.82 goals in them, while Guaraní win 24% of their away games and average 0.94 goals. The hosts also create more chances: their home xG is 1.64, compared with the visitors’ away xG of 1.21, while they average 5.53 shots on target per match against Guaraní’s 3.41. However, Guaraní are unbeaten in their last five matches, recording three wins and conceding just two goals; Libertad have won twice over the same period and conceded four. In addition, the visitors keep a clean sheet in 53% of their away games and draw 53% of them, so their defensive record significantly increases the likelihood of a share of the points. Despite this, Libertad’s advantage in finishing and chance quality at home points to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest case for BTTS - No is Guaraní’s defense: the visitors kept a clean sheet in 53% of their matches and conceded an average of just 0.4 goals across their last 5 games. Libertad score an average of 1.39 goals from an xG of 1.39, so they could breach that defense; however, Guaraní failed to score in 35% of their matches and averaged just 0.94 goals. The historical BTTS rate is 56% for Libertad and 41% for Guaraní, offering no clear indication that both teams will score. In their last 5 matches, the teams recorded BTTS in 60% and 40% of games respectively, while Guaraní conceded just 2 goals over that period. Therefore, it is slightly more likely that at least one team will fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: this line has not been exceeded in 78% of Libertad matches and 82% of Guaraní matches. Both teams concede no more than one goal per match on average this season—Libertad 1.00 and Guaraní 0.88—which limits the likelihood of a high-scoring game. Libertad’s last five matches averaged 2.0 goals, while Guaraní’s averaged 1.6; Over 2.5 goals landed in only 20% and 0% of those matches, respectively. Although average attacking xG stands at 1.39 for the hosts and 1.21 for the visitors, Guaraní’s season average is just 0.94 goals scored, bringing the projected total to 2.15 goals. The 3.5 line offers more margin than 2.5, with clear support from both season-long data and recent results.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: Guaraní went into the break level in 65% of their matches, and this result occurred in 60% of the teams’ last five games. The first halves also look evenly matched in terms of goals, with Libertad averaging 0.50 goals and Guaraní 0.41. The visitors’ defense favors the draw holding: they kept a clean sheet in 53% of their matches and conceded an average of just 0.40 goals per game across their last five. Libertad did win 44% of their matches and averaged 1.39 goals compared with Guaraní’s 0.94, but the visitors drew as many as 53% of their games and averaged 2.2 points across their last five, compared with the hosts’ 1.6. Therefore, the X/X scenario has a slight edge over a Libertad win after a goalless or level first half.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Libertad | Guaraní | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Guaraní is 10% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Libertad · 2.2 pts / game - Guaraní
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Libertad is 34% better for: goals scored per game.
1.57 goals / game - Libertad · 1.17 goals / game - Guaraní
Guaraní is 21% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.14 goals / game - Libertad · 0.94 goals / game - Guaraní
Libertad scores in 74% of games (26 of 35 games), while Guaraní keeps a clean sheet in 40% (14 of 35 games).
Guaraní scores in 71% of games (25 of 35 games), while Libertad keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 35 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Libertad
Over / Under - Guaraní
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Libertad - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 49%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Guaraní - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 34%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (12 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Libertad
Guaraní
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).
Teams vs league
| Libertad | Liga | Guaraní | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.71 | 2.44 | ▼ 2.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 49% | 52% | ▼ 49% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 49% | 45% | ▼ 34% |
| Clean sheets | • 29% | 28% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | • 66% | 66% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 81% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Libertad's perspective: 2 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses against Guaraní. Games average 3.14 goals, and both teams scored in 57% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Libertad vs Guaraní?
The Division Profesional match finished Libertad 2:2 Guaraní. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Libertad and Guaraní?
In the last 7 head-to-head matches Libertad won 2, Guaraní won 4 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.14 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Libertad vs Guaraní?
Libertad score 1.57 goals per game on average and Guaraní 1.17. The Division Profesional average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 49% of Libertad's matches and 49% of Guaraní's.
What form are Libertad and Guaraní in?
Over the last 5 games Libertad have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Guaraní 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Libertad vs Guaraní?
The statistical background for Libertad vs Guaraní — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.