NEC vs UPDF: match statistics
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Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
NEC vs UPDF: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
NEC plays UPDF in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The game is scheduled for November 3, 2026.
Recent form
NEC has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. UPDF has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
NEC scores 2.00 goals per game and allows 0.56. UPDF scores 0.50 and allows 0.88. Games in this league average 2.19 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 44% of NEC's games and 25% of UPDF's. The Over 2.5 rates are 44% and 25%, compared with league averages of 41% for BTTS and 41% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
NEC has the higher season xG average, 1.66 to 1.14 per game. NEC takes 9.4 shots per game, while UPDF takes 5.8.
First-half and second-half trends
NEC leads at halftime in 56% of its games and scores 1.11 goals per game after halftime. UPDF leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
NEC's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). For UPDF, it is minutes 0-15 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Uganda Premier League games average 2.19 goals. Both teams score in 41% of games, and 41% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| NEC | UPDF | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 52% | 52% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.17 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
NEC is 67% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - NEC · 1.2 pts / game - UPDF
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
NEC is 300% better for: goals scored per game.
2 goals / game - NEC · 0.5 goals / game - UPDF
NEC is 57% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.56 goals / game - NEC · 0.88 goals / game - UPDF
NEC scores in 78% of games (7 of 9 games), while UPDF keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 games).
UPDF scores in 38% of games (3 of 8 games), while NEC keeps a clean sheet in 56% (5 of 9 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - NEC
Over / Under - UPDF
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
NEC is 45% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / game - NEC · 1.38 pts / game - UPDF
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
NEC - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 56% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
UPDF - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 25%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
NEC
UPDF
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| NEC | Liga | UPDF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.56 | 2.19 | ▼ 1.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 44% | 41% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 44% | 41% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 56% | 37% | • 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 61% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | • 67% | 68% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from NEC's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against UPDF. Games average 0.50 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
When do NEC and UPDF play?
NEC face UPDF on November 3, 2026 in Uganda Premier League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between NEC and UPDF?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches NEC won 1, UPDF won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before NEC vs UPDF?
NEC score 2.00 goals per game on average and UPDF 0.50. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 44% of NEC's matches and 25% of UPDF's.
What form are NEC and UPDF in?
Over the last 5 games NEC have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and UPDF 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for NEC vs UPDF?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.