Estonia - MeistriliigaMänniku staadionData current as of October 15, 2026

Nõmme United vs Nõmme Kalju: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Nõmme United vs Nõmme Kalju: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Nõmme United plays Nõmme Kalju in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The game is scheduled for October 17, 2026. Venue: Männiku staadion.

Recent form

Nõmme United has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Nõmme Kalju has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Nõmme United scores 1.52 goals per game and allows 2.39. Nõmme Kalju scores 1.74 and allows 0.97. Games in this league average 3.10 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 77% of Nõmme United's games and 55% of Nõmme Kalju's. The Over 2.5 rates are 87% and 48%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 64% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Nõmme Kalju has the higher season xG average, 1.85 to 1.55 per game. Nõmme United takes 12.1 shots per game, while Nõmme Kalju takes 15.5.

First-half and second-half trends

Nõmme United leads at halftime in 23% of its games and scores 0.90 goals per game after halftime. Nõmme Kalju leads at halftime in 48% and scores 0.81 after halftime.

When the teams score

Nõmme United's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). For Nõmme Kalju, it is minutes 16-30 (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Meistriliiga games average 3.10 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 64% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(4.82)
(4.30)
(1.53)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Nõmme UnitedNõmme Kalju
1.52Goals scored / game1.74
Nõmme UnitedNõmme Kalju
2.39Goals allowed / game0.97
Nõmme UnitedNõmme Kalju
47%Average possession52%
Nõmme UnitedNõmme Kalju
4.48Shots on target / game5.35
Nõmme UnitedNõmme Kalju

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.06Shots per game15.52
Nõmme UnitedNõmme Kalju
4.48Shots on target5.35
Nõmme UnitedNõmme Kalju
12.6%Shot conversion11.2%
Nõmme UnitedNõmme Kalju
47%Possession52%
Nõmme UnitedNõmme Kalju
1.55xG for1.85
Nõmme UnitedNõmme Kalju
2.08xG against1.42
Nõmme UnitedNõmme Kalju

Shooting quality

Nõmme United: Counter-attackingNõmme Kalju: Attacking
Nõmme UnitedNõmme Kalju
Accuracy (shots on target)37%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Nõmme Kalju is 133% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / game - Nõmme United · 1.4 pts / game - Nõmme Kalju

Nõmme United
WLLLL
Season result split
29% W3% D68% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-1-21
0.90 pts / game · goal difference -27
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-0-11
Last 5 at home
0-0-5
LLLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.91Opponent xG: 2.13BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Nõmme Kalju
LWWLD
Season result split
48% W19% D32% L
Season (W-D-L)
15-6-10
1.65 pts / game · goal difference +24
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
8-3-4
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WLLWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.86Opponent xG: 1.51BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Nõmme Kalju is 14% better for: goals scored per game.

1.52 goals / game - Nõmme United · 1.74 goals / game - Nõmme Kalju

Nõmme Kalju is 146% better for: goals allowed per game.

2.39 goals / game - Nõmme United · 0.97 goals / game - Nõmme Kalju

Nõmme United scoring profile: very strong

Nõmme United scores in 77% of games (24 of 31 games), while Nõmme Kalju keeps a clean sheet in 32% (10 of 31 games).

Nõmme Kalju scoring profile: very strong

Nõmme Kalju scores in 84% of games (26 of 31 games), while Nõmme United keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 31 games).

47Goals scored (season)54
Nõmme UnitedNõmme Kalju
74Goals conceded (season)30
Nõmme UnitedNõmme Kalju
3.9Average goals per game2.71
Nõmme UnitedNõmme Kalju
5Goals scored (last 5)8
Nõmme UnitedNõmme Kalju
13Goals conceded (last 5)6
Nõmme UnitedNõmme Kalju

How often they score at least...

77%1 goal84%
Nõmme UnitedNõmme Kalju
39%2 goals45%
Nõmme UnitedNõmme Kalju
16%3 goals23%
Nõmme UnitedNõmme Kalju
6%4 goals10%
Nõmme UnitedNõmme Kalju

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal68%
Nõmme UnitedNõmme Kalju
68%2 goals23%
Nõmme UnitedNõmme Kalju
42%3 goals6%
Nõmme UnitedNõmme Kalju
16%4 goals0%
Nõmme UnitedNõmme Kalju

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

57%
League average

Goal patterns

29%BTTS at half-time13%
Nõmme UnitedNõmme Kalju
3%BTTS in both halves0%
Nõmme UnitedNõmme Kalju
19%Scored in both halves29%
Nõmme UnitedNõmme Kalju

BTTS and goal count

74%Min. 3 goals and BTTS42%
Nõmme UnitedNõmme Kalju
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
Nõmme UnitedNõmme Kalju
60%BTTS - last 560%
Nõmme UnitedNõmme Kalju

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

90%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
Nõmme UnitedNõmme Kalju
55%Min. 2 goals before half-time39%
Nõmme UnitedNõmme Kalju
19%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
Nõmme UnitedNõmme Kalju

2nd half

97%Min. 1 goal after half-time84%
Nõmme UnitedNõmme Kalju
65%Min. 2 goals after half-time35%
Nõmme UnitedNõmme Kalju
39%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
Nõmme UnitedNõmme Kalju

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Nõmme Kalju is 88% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.94 pts / game - Nõmme United · 1.77 pts / game - Nõmme Kalju

Nõmme United - half-time state
23% leading26% draw52% trailing
Nõmme Kalju - half-time state
48% leading32% draw19% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.94Points per game (1st half)1.77
Nõmme UnitedNõmme Kalju
0.61Goals scored (1st half)0.94
Nõmme UnitedNõmme Kalju
1.1Goals conceded (1st half)0.39
Nõmme UnitedNõmme Kalju
1.71Average goals (1st half)1.32
Nõmme UnitedNõmme Kalju
26%Clean sheet before half-time71%
Nõmme UnitedNõmme Kalju
55%No goal before half-time45%
Nõmme UnitedNõmme Kalju

After half-time (2nd half)

0.97Points per game (2nd half)1.48
Nõmme UnitedNõmme Kalju
0.9Goals scored (2nd half)0.81
Nõmme UnitedNõmme Kalju
1.29Goals conceded (2nd half)0.58
Nõmme UnitedNõmme Kalju
2.19Average goals (2nd half)1.39
Nõmme UnitedNõmme Kalju
19%Clean sheet after half-time52%
Nõmme UnitedNõmme Kalju
48%No goal after half-time42%
Nõmme UnitedNõmme Kalju

Nõmme United - second-half results

26% W19% D55% L
29
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
-15
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
-12
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.94
PPG before half-time
Lead holding126%

Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Nõmme Kalju - second-half results

39% W32% D29% L
55
Half-time points
29
Half-time goals
+17
Goal difference (1st half)
46
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.77
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 48% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Nõmme United - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.200.00
Goals scored / game0.60.4
Goals allowed / game0.81.8
Average goals per game1.42.2
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-1-7
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 0% draw - 100% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Nõmme Kalju - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.402.00
Goals scored / game0.61.0
Goals allowed / game0.60.6
Average goals per game1.21.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Nõmme United
ScoredConceded
3
8
0-15
8
16
16-30
8
10
31-45
9
10
46-60
8
11
61-75
11
19
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.

Nõmme Kalju
ScoredConceded
7
1
0-15
11
7
16-30
11
4
31-45
4
5
46-60
11
5
61-75
10
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.31
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.2 : 2.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
107%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
66%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+51%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
65%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Nõmme United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.53
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.34
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
86%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
180%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

Nõmme Kalju

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.43
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.34
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-20.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.45
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
131%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
55%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.25
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

Nõmme UnitedLigaNõmme Kalju
Average goals per game▲ 3.903.10▼ 2.71
Both teams scored▲ 77%57%▼ 55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 87%64%▼ 48%
Clean sheets▼ 0%23%▲ 32%
Goal before half-time▲ 90%76%▼ 71%
Goal after half-time▲ 97%88%▼ 84%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.10
Average goals per game
57%
Both teams scored
64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.77
Home goals / game
1.33
Away goals / game
+33%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defensive advantage
+5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Nõmme United's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses against Nõmme Kalju. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

FAQ

When do Nõmme United and Nõmme Kalju play?

Nõmme United face Nõmme Kalju on October 17, 2026 in Meistriliiga at Männiku staadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Nõmme United and Nõmme Kalju?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Nõmme United won 1, Nõmme Kalju won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Nõmme United vs Nõmme Kalju?

Nõmme United score 1.52 goals per game on average and Nõmme Kalju 1.74. The Meistriliiga average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 77% of Nõmme United's matches and 55% of Nõmme Kalju's.

What form are Nõmme United and Nõmme Kalju in?

Over the last 5 games Nõmme United have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Nõmme Kalju 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nõmme United vs Nõmme Kalju?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Nõmme United vs Nõmme Kalju: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.