Estonia - MeistriliigaMänniku staadionData current as of October 20, 2026

Nõmme United vs Vaprus: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Nõmme United vs Vaprus: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Nõmme United plays Vaprus in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The game is scheduled for October 23, 2026. Venue: Männiku staadion.

Recent form

Nõmme United has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Vaprus has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Nõmme United scores 1.56 goals per game and allows 2.31. Vaprus scores 1.31 and allows 2.00. Games in this league average 3.09 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 75% of Nõmme United's games and 66% of Vaprus's. The Over 2.5 rates are 88% and 66%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 64% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Nõmme United has the higher season xG average, 1.54 to 1.25 per game. Nõmme United takes 12.0 shots per game, while Vaprus takes 9.6.

First-half and second-half trends

Nõmme United leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.88 goals per game after halftime. Vaprus leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.69 after halftime.

When the teams score

Nõmme United's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). For Vaprus, it is minutes 46-60 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Meistriliiga games average 3.09 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 64% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 4.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.30)
(3.75)
(2.50)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Nõmme UnitedVaprus
1.56Goals scored / game1.31
Nõmme UnitedVaprus
2.31Goals allowed / game2
Nõmme UnitedVaprus
47%Average possession46%
Nõmme UnitedVaprus
4.5Shots on target / game3.75
Nõmme UnitedVaprus

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.97Shots per game9.59
Nõmme UnitedVaprus
4.5Shots on target3.75
Nõmme UnitedVaprus
13.1%Shot conversion13.7%
Nõmme UnitedVaprus
47%Possession46%
Nõmme UnitedVaprus
1.54xG for1.25
Nõmme UnitedVaprus
2.09xG against1.99
Nõmme UnitedVaprus

Shooting quality

Nõmme United: Counter-attackingVaprus: Counter-attacking
Nõmme UnitedVaprus
Accuracy (shots on target)38%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Nõmme United is 50% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / game - Nõmme United · 0.4 pts / game - Vaprus

Nõmme United
LLLLW
Season result split
31% W3% D66% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-1-21
0.97 pts / game · goal difference -24
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-0-11
Last 5 at home
1-0-4
LLLLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.76Opponent xG: 1.97BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%
Vaprus
LLDDL
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
28% W19% D53% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-6-17
1.03 pts / game · goal difference -22
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-2-11
Last 5 away
0-1-4
DLLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.71Opponent xG: 1.86BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Nõmme United is 19% better for: goals scored per game.

1.56 goals / game - Nõmme United · 1.31 goals / game - Vaprus

Vaprus is 16% better for: goals allowed per game.

2.31 goals / game - Nõmme United · 2 goals / game - Vaprus

Nõmme United scoring profile: very strong

Nõmme United scores in 78% of games (25 of 32 games), while Vaprus keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 32 games).

Vaprus scoring profile: very strong

Vaprus scores in 78% of games (25 of 32 games), while Nõmme United keeps a clean sheet in 3% (1 of 32 games).

50Goals scored (season)42
Nõmme UnitedVaprus
74Goals conceded (season)64
Nõmme UnitedVaprus
3.88Average goals per game3.31
Nõmme UnitedVaprus
6Goals scored (last 5)6
Nõmme UnitedVaprus
12Goals conceded (last 5)11
Nõmme UnitedVaprus

How often they score at least...

78%1 goal78%
Nõmme UnitedVaprus
41%2 goals38%
Nõmme UnitedVaprus
19%3 goals9%
Nõmme UnitedVaprus
6%4 goals3%
Nõmme UnitedVaprus

How often they concede at least...

97%1 goal81%
Nõmme UnitedVaprus
66%2 goals66%
Nõmme UnitedVaprus
41%3 goals28%
Nõmme UnitedVaprus
16%4 goals9%
Nõmme UnitedVaprus

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

56%
League average

Goal patterns

28%BTTS at half-time31%
Nõmme UnitedVaprus
3%BTTS in both halves6%
Nõmme UnitedVaprus
19%Scored in both halves28%
Nõmme UnitedVaprus

BTTS and goal count

72%Min. 3 goals and BTTS63%
Nõmme UnitedVaprus
16%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
Nõmme UnitedVaprus
40%BTTS - last 560%
Nõmme UnitedVaprus

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

91%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
Nõmme UnitedVaprus
56%Min. 2 goals before half-time47%
Nõmme UnitedVaprus
22%Min. 3 goals before half-time19%
Nõmme UnitedVaprus

2nd half

94%Min. 1 goal after half-time91%
Nõmme UnitedVaprus
63%Min. 2 goals after half-time47%
Nõmme UnitedVaprus
38%Min. 3 goals after half-time22%
Nõmme UnitedVaprus

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Vaprus is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / game - Nõmme United · 1.16 pts / game - Vaprus

Nõmme United - half-time state
25% leading25% draw50% trailing
Vaprus - half-time state
25% leading41% draw34% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per game (1st half)1.16
Nõmme UnitedVaprus
0.69Goals scored (1st half)0.63
Nõmme UnitedVaprus
1.06Goals conceded (1st half)0.88
Nõmme UnitedVaprus
1.75Average goals (1st half)1.5
Nõmme UnitedVaprus
28%Clean sheet before half-time47%
Nõmme UnitedVaprus
53%No goal before half-time47%
Nõmme UnitedVaprus

After half-time (2nd half)

0.97Points per game (2nd half)1.06
Nõmme UnitedVaprus
0.88Goals scored (2nd half)0.69
Nõmme UnitedVaprus
1.25Goals conceded (2nd half)1.13
Nõmme UnitedVaprus
2.13Average goals (2nd half)1.81
Nõmme UnitedVaprus
22%Clean sheet after half-time31%
Nõmme UnitedVaprus
50%No goal after half-time47%
Nõmme UnitedVaprus

Nõmme United - second-half results

25% W22% D53% L
32
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
-12
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
-12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding124%

Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 31%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Vaprus - second-half results

28% W22% D50% L
37
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
34
Second-half points
-14
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.16
PPG before half-time
Lead holding112%

Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 28%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Nõmme United - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.200.20
Goals scored / game0.80.4
Goals allowed / game0.81.6
Average goals per game1.62.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference0-6
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4
Vaprus - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.800.60
Goals scored / game0.40.8
Goals allowed / game0.81.4
Average goals per game1.22.2
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-2-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Nõmme United
ScoredConceded
3
8
0-15
9
16
16-30
10
10
31-45
9
10
46-60
8
11
61-75
11
19
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.

Vaprus
ScoredConceded
4
10
0-15
8
9
16-30
8
9
31-45
9
13
46-60
7
12
61-75
6
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.59
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.8 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
116%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
71%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+30%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
61%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Nõmme United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.55
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
88%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
175%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.37
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Vaprus

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.74
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
99%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
113%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.63
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

Nõmme UnitedLigaVaprus
Average goals per game▲ 3.883.09▲ 3.31
Both teams scored▲ 75%56%▲ 66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 88%64%▲ 66%
Clean sheets▼ 3%23%▼ 19%
Goal before half-time▲ 91%77%▼ 75%
Goal after half-time▲ 94%88%▲ 91%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.09
Average goals per game
56%
Both teams scored
64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.77
Home goals / game
1.32
Away goals / game
+34%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defensive advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Nõmme United's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Vaprus. Games average 4.67 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.

FAQ

When do Nõmme United and Vaprus play?

Nõmme United face Vaprus on October 23, 2026 in Meistriliiga at Männiku staadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Nõmme United and Vaprus?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Nõmme United won 2, Vaprus won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Nõmme United vs Vaprus?

Nõmme United score 1.56 goals per game on average and Vaprus 1.31. The Meistriliiga average is 3.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Nõmme United's matches and 66% of Vaprus's.

What form are Nõmme United and Vaprus in?

Over the last 5 games Nõmme United have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Vaprus 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nõmme United vs Vaprus?

The statistical background for Nõmme United vs Vaprus — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.