Paide vs Nõmme Kalju: match statistics
Paide vs Nõmme Kalju: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Paide played against Nõmme Kalju in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The game was played on October 28, 2026. Venue: Paide linnastaadion. Final score: 0:2.
Recent form
Paide has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Nõmme Kalju has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Paide scores 1.61 goals per game and allows 1.18. Nõmme Kalju scores 1.70 and allows 1.03. Games in this league average 3.09 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 64% of Paide's games and 55% of Nõmme Kalju's. The Over 2.5 rates are 52% and 52%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 64% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Nõmme Kalju has the higher season xG average, 1.85 to 1.76 per game. Paide takes 14.6 shots per game, while Nõmme Kalju takes 15.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Paide leads at halftime in 36% of its games and scores 0.91 goals per game after halftime. Nõmme Kalju leads at halftime in 48% and scores 0.76 after halftime.
When the teams score
Paide's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (14 goals). For Nõmme Kalju, it is minutes 16-30 (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Meistriliiga games average 3.09 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 64% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 7 previous meetings were available. The record was 3 home wins, 4 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.14 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Paide have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 9 goals and conceding 4, while Nõmme Kalju recorded 2 wins over the same period, scoring 7 and conceding 7. The home side win 63% of their home matches, compared with 50% of the visitors' away games, giving Paide an edge when combined with their current form. Both teams create chances of similar quality — Paide's home xG is 1.75, while Kalju's away xG is 1.74 — but the hosts have failed to score in just 13% of their home matches, compared with 25% of Kalju's away games. The risk of a closely contested match remains considerable, as Kalju concede an average of 0.94 goals away from home and keep a clean sheet in 44% of matches, while Paide concede an average of 1 goal at home.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS - Yes is marginally more likely: Paide score an average of 2.00 goals per match, while Nõmme Kalju average 1.38. Their attacking potential is reflected in xG figures of 1.98 and 1.74, respectively, although Paide allow opponents chances worth an average xG of 1.58. Both teams scored in 69% of Paide’s matches, compared with just 38% of Nõmme Kalju’s, which limits confidence in the pick. The visitors kept a clean sheet in 44% of their matches, but Paide failed to score in only 13%, so the hosts to score looks a solid prospect. The bet may hinge on Nõmme Kalju’s finishing: they averaged 1.4 goals in their last five matches, while Paide conceded 0.8.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Paide average 2.00 goals per match with an xG of 1.98, while Nõmme Kalju average 1.38 goals with an xG of 1.74, indicating attacking potential from both teams. Their last five matches averaged 3.2 goals, with at least three goals scored in 60% of those games. Across the season, at least two goals were scored in 81% of Paide’s matches and 69% of Nõmme Kalju’s. However, the visitors kept a clean sheet in 44% of their matches, making the 2.5 line less reliable than 1.5. With a projected total of 2.90 goals, Over 1.5 is the strongest pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest indication that Paide will lead at the break is their recent form: the hosts were ahead at half-time in 3 of their last 5 matches, while Nõmme Kalju were trailing at that point in 2 of 5. In those same matches, Paide conceded an average of just 0.2 goals before the break, compared with 0.8 for the visitors, strengthening the case for an early home lead. Paide’s 4 wins in their last 5 matches, compared with Kalju’s 2, and the hosts’ average of 1.8 goals scored against 1.4 for the visitors also support them holding on to their advantage. Paide have created more chances over the season too, recording an xG of 1.98 compared with their opponents’ 1.74, although Kalju’s clean sheet in 44% of their matches calls for caution. Therefore, a Paide half-time lead followed by a full-time win is the most likely single scenario, but a draw at half-time followed by a home win remains a significant alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Paide | Nõmme Kalju | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Paide is 71% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / game - Paide · 1.4 pts / game - Nõmme Kalju
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nõmme Kalju is 6% better for: goals scored per game.
1.61 goals / game - Paide · 1.7 goals / game - Nõmme Kalju
Nõmme Kalju is 15% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.18 goals / game - Paide · 1.03 goals / game - Nõmme Kalju
Paide scores in 88% of games (29 of 33 games), while Nõmme Kalju keeps a clean sheet in 30% (10 of 33 games).
Nõmme Kalju scores in 82% of games (27 of 33 games), while Paide keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 33 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Paide
Over / Under - Nõmme Kalju
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nõmme Kalju is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.58 pts / game - Paide · 1.76 pts / game - Nõmme Kalju
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Paide - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 55%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Nõmme Kalju - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 48% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Paide
Nõmme Kalju
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Paide | Liga | Nõmme Kalju | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.79 | 3.09 | ▼ 2.73 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 57% | ▼ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 64% | ▼ 52% |
| Clean sheets | • 24% | 23% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 78% | ▼ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 86% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Paide's perspective: 3 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses against Nõmme Kalju. Games average 2.14 goals, and both teams scored in 57% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Paide vs Nõmme Kalju?
The Meistriliiga match finished Paide 0:2 Nõmme Kalju. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Paide and Nõmme Kalju?
In the last 7 head-to-head matches Paide won 3, Nõmme Kalju won 0 and 4 ended level. These games averaged 2.14 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Paide vs Nõmme Kalju?
Paide score 1.61 goals per game on average and Nõmme Kalju 1.70. The Meistriliiga average is 3.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Paide's matches and 55% of Nõmme Kalju's.
What form are Paide and Nõmme Kalju in?
Over the last 5 games Paide have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Nõmme Kalju 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paide vs Nõmme Kalju?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.